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Inside Money, Output, and Causality

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Author Info
Freeman, Scott
Huffman, Gregory W

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Abstract

The authors present an explicit general equilibrium model consistent with these observations: (1) innovations in the nominal money stock are positively correlated with and precede (" Granger-cause") innovations in output; (2) these innovations in the nominal money stock represent innovations in inside, not outside, money; and (3) when interest rates are included in vector autoregressions, their innovations, not money's, are seen to precede output. Changes in the money stock represent an endogenous reaction to some third factor and do not cause subsequent changes in output. Therefore, a change in the current fiat money stock will not lead to any change in output. Copyright 1991 by Economics Department of the University of Pennsylvania and the Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association.

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Publisher Info
Article provided by Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association in its journal International Economic Review.

Volume (Year): 32 (1991)
Issue (Month): 3 (August)
Pages: 645-67
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Handle: RePEc:ier:iecrev:v:32:y:1991:i:3:p:645-67

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  1. Peter N. Ireland, 2002. "Endogenous Money or Sticky Prices?," NBER Working Papers 9390, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
  2. Joseph H. Haslag & Scott E. Hein, 1995. "Measuring the policy effects of changes in reserve requirement ratios," Economic and Financial Policy Review, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, issue Q III, pages 2-15. [Downloadable!]
  3. Jeremy Greenwood & Stephen D. Williamson, 1988. "International financial intermediation and aggregate fluctuations under alternative exchange rate regimes," Staff Report 112, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  4. Burton Abrams & Russell Settle, 2005. "Is Money Neutral in the Long Run?," Working Papers 05-04, University of Delaware, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
  5. Joseph H. Haslag, 1997. "Output, growth, welfare, and inflation: a survey," Economic and Financial Policy Review, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, issue Q II, pages 11-21. [Downloadable!]
  6. Jha, Raghbendra & Prasad Rath, Deba, 2001. "On the Endogeneity of the Money Multiplier in India," Departmental Working Papers 2001-01, Australian National University, Economics RSPAS. [Downloadable!]
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  7. Peter Ireland, 2005. "EconomicDynamics Interviews Peter Ireland on Money and the Business Cycle," EconomicDynamics Newsletter, Review of Economic Dynamics, vol. 7(1), November. [Downloadable!]
  8. Scott Freeman & Finn Kydland, 1998. "Monetary aggregates and output," Working Paper 9813, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
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