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Are Long-run Inflation Expectations Well Anchored?

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Abstract

Many observers anticipate that the recent run-up in inflation in the United States will prove to be temporary, and annual inflation will be near the Fed’s target of 2% in 2022 and 2023. An important consideration for policymakers, however, is whether the private sector will similarly read the rise in inflation as temporary. That is, are long-run inflation expectations likely to remain anchored, or might the sharp rise in inflation cause long-run expectations to increase substantially as well?

Suggested Citation

  • Gadi Barlevy & Jonas D. M. Fisher & May Tysinger, 2021. "Are Long-run Inflation Expectations Well Anchored?," Chicago Fed Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, issue 458, pages 1-7, July.
  • Handle: RePEc:fip:fedhle:92897
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    Cited by:

    1. Simpson, Julija & Bambra, Clare & Brown, Heather, 2021. "Do Changes in Employment and Hours Worked Contribute to a Decreasing in the Mental Health of Single Mothers during a Period of Welfare Reform in the UK? A Longitudinal Analysis (2009-2019)," IZA Discussion Papers 14968, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
    2. Olli-Pekka Hilmola, 2021. "Inflation and Hyperinflation Countries in 2018–2020: Risks of Different Assets and Foreign Trade," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 14(12), pages 1-16, December.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Expectations; speculations; Price Level; Inflation; Deflation;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • D84 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - Expectations; Speculations
    • E31 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation

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