IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/fip/fedfel/96560.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

How Far Is Labor Force Participation from Its Trend?

Author

Listed:

Abstract

Labor force participation in the United States has dropped a percentage point since the pandemic began. Analyzing how participation has evolved for various groups of the population suggests that more than two-thirds of this decline has been due to persistent “trend” factors. The remainder is due to temporary economic conditions, or “cyclical” factors. Estimates project that trend factors—driven largely by population aging—could push labor participation down an additional percentage point over the next decade.

Suggested Citation

  • Andreas Hornstein & Marianna Kudlyak & Brigid C. Meisenbacher & David Ramachandran, 2023. "How Far Is Labor Force Participation from Its Trend?," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, vol. 2023(20), pages 1-5, August.
  • Handle: RePEc:fip:fedfel:96560
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.frbsf.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/4/el2023-20.pdf
    File Function: Full text - article PDF
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Andreas Hornstein & Marianna Kudlyak & Annemarie Schweinert, 2018. "The Labor Force Participation Rate Trend and Its Projections," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Leila Bengali & Evgeniya A. Duzhak & Cindy Zhao, 2023. "Men’s Falling Labor Force Participation across Generations," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, vol. 2023(06), pages 1-6, October.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Bart Hobijn & Ayşegül Şahin, 2022. "Missing Workers and Missing Jobs Since the Pandemic," NBER Working Papers 30717, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    2. Bart Hobijn & Ayşegül Şahin, 2021. "Maximum Employment and the Participation Cycle," NBER Working Papers 29222, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:fip:fedfel:96560. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco Research Library (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/frbsfus.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.