IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/fip/fedcer/y1994iqip31-42nv.30no.1.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

On disinflation since 1982: an application of change-point tests

Author

Listed:
  • Edward J. Bryden
  • John B. Carlson

Abstract

An examination of recent changes in the statistical properties of alternative measures of core inflation, identifying statistically significant change points in the fixed mean and finding that for all measures considered, changes in the inflation rate trend have been infrequent and, for the most part, rather abrupt.

Suggested Citation

  • Edward J. Bryden & John B. Carlson, 1994. "On disinflation since 1982: an application of change-point tests," Economic Review, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, vol. 30(Q I), pages 31-42.
  • Handle: RePEc:fip:fedcer:y:1994:i:qi:p:31-42:n:v.30no.1
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.clevelandfed.org/Research/Review/1994/94-q1-bryden.pdf
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://fraser.stlouisfed.org/scribd/?toc_id=201774&filepath=/docs/publications/frbclevreview/rev_frbclev_1994q1.pdf&start_page=32#scribd-open
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Michael F. Bryan & Stephen G. Cecchetti, 1994. "Measuring Core Inflation," NBER Chapters, in: Monetary Policy, pages 195-219, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Marianne Nessén & Ulf Söderström, 2001. "Core Inflation and Monetary Policy," International Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 4(3), pages 401-439.
    2. Mr. Emil Stavrev, 2006. "Measures of Underlying Inflation in the Euro Area: Assessment and Role for Informing Monetary Policy," IMF Working Papers 2006/197, International Monetary Fund.
    3. International Monetary Fund, 2007. "Republic of Madagascar: Selected Issues," IMF Staff Country Reports 2007/239, International Monetary Fund.
    4. Laurence Ball & Sandeep Mazumder, 2011. "Inflation Dynamics and the Great Recession," Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, Economic Studies Program, The Brookings Institution, vol. 42(1 (Spring), pages 337-405.
    5. Paulo Picchetti & Fabio Kanczuk, 2001. "An Application of Quah And Vaheys Svar Methodology for Estimating Core Inflation in Brazil," Anais do XXIX Encontro Nacional de Economia [Proceedings of the 29th Brazilian Economics Meeting] 019, ANPEC - Associação Nacional dos Centros de Pós-Graduação em Economia [Brazilian Association of Graduate Programs in Economics].
    6. Angeloni, Ignazio & Faia, Ester & Winkler, Roland, 2014. "Exit strategies," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 231-257.
    7. Robert W. Rich & Charles Steindel, 2007. "A comparison of measures of core inflation," Economic Policy Review, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, vol. 13(Dec), pages 19-38.
    8. N. Neil K. Khettry & Loretta J. Mester, 2006. "Core inflation as a predictor of total inflation," Research Rap Special Report, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia, issue Apr.
    9. José Manuel Belbute & Leonardo Dia Massala & Júlio António Delgado, 2015. "Assessing core inflation indicators: evidence for Angola," CEFAGE-UE Working Papers 2015_01, University of Evora, CEFAGE-UE (Portugal).
    10. N. Gregory Mankiw & Ricardo Reis & Justin Wolfers, 2004. "Disagreement about Inflation Expectations," NBER Chapters, in: NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2003, Volume 18, pages 209-270, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    11. Ileana Iulia Istudor & Florina Mocanu, 2019. "Fiscal Policy, Prices, Inflation - Dependencies and Interdependences," Book chapters-LUMEN Proceedings, in: Maria Negreponti Delivanis (ed.), International Conference « Global interferences of knowledge society », November 16-17th, 2018, Targoviste, Romania, edition 1, volume 8, chapter 14, pages 141-150, Editura Lumen.
    12. Prakash Kumar Shrestha, 2006. "Some Measures of Core Inflation and Their Evaluations in Nepal," NRB Economic Review, Nepal Rastra Bank, Research Department, vol. 18, pages 37-69, April.
    13. Domenico Giannone & Troy D. Matheson, 2007. "A New Core Inflation Indicator for New Zealand," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 3(4), pages 145-180, December.
    14. Luis Arango & Andres Gonzalez, 2001. "Some evidence of smooth transition nonlinearity in Colombian inflation," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 33(2), pages 155-162.
    15. repec:fgv:epgrbe:v:65:n:2:a:5 is not listed on IDEAS
    16. James H. Stock & Mark W. Watson, 2019. "Trend, Seasonal, and Sectoral Inflation in the Euro Area," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 847, Central Bank of Chile.
    17. Byeongdeuk Jang & Young Se Kim, 2017. "Driving Forces of Inflation Expectations," Korean Economic Review, Korean Economic Association, vol. 33, pages 207-237.
    18. Brent Meyer & Saeed Zaman, 2013. "It’s not just for inflation: The usefulness of the median CPI in BVAR forecasting," Working Papers (Old Series) 1303, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
    19. Juan Angel Garcia & Aubrey Poon, 2022. "Inflation trends in Asia: implications for central banks [Are Phillips curves useful for forecasting inflation?]," Oxford Economic Papers, Oxford University Press, vol. 74(3), pages 671-700.
    20. James B. Bullard, 2011. "Measuring inflation: the core is rotten," Review, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, vol. 93(July), pages 223-234.
    21. Mio, Hitoshi, 2002. "Identifying Aggregate Demand and Aggregate Supply Components of Inflation Rate: A Structural Vector Autoregression Analysis for Japan," Monetary and Economic Studies, Institute for Monetary and Economic Studies, Bank of Japan, vol. 20(1), pages 33-56, January.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:fip:fedcer:y:1994:i:qi:p:31-42:n:v.30no.1. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: 4D Library (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/frbclus.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.