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Macroeconomic development and capital structure decisions of firms

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  • Godfred Alufar Bokpin

Abstract

Purpose - The purpose of this study is to examine the effect of macroeconomic factors on capital structure decisions of emerging firms. Design/methodology/approach - A panel data covering a period from 1990 to 2006 for 34 emerging market countries were analyzed using the seemingly unrelated regression approach to mitigate the effects of multicollinearity and to test for the stability of parameter estimates across the countries. Findings - The results largely suggest that the effect of macroeconomic factors on capital structure varies with capital structure measurement variable in most cases. Bank credit is significant in predicting capital structure choices of firms. The findings of the research also indicate a significantly negative relationship between gross domestic product (GDP) per capita and capital structure choices. Inflation on the other hand positively influences the choice of short‐term debt over equity. Stock market development is however insignificant in predicting capital structure decisions of firms and expectations of increasing interest rate positively influences firms to substitute long‐term debt for short‐term debt over equity. Most of the control variables namely asset tangibility, return on equity, return on assets and Tobin'sQwere significant predictors of corporate financing. The results of the study generally supports existing literature on the impact of investment opportunity set, profitability, and stock market development, inflation, interest rate GDP per capita and bank credit on the capital structure decisions of firms. Originality/value - The main value of this paper is to analyze the effect of macroeconomic factors on the capital structure decisions of firms using large dataset from emerging countries.

Suggested Citation

  • Godfred Alufar Bokpin, 2009. "Macroeconomic development and capital structure decisions of firms," Studies in Economics and Finance, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 26(2), pages 129-142, June.
  • Handle: RePEc:eme:sefpps:v:26:y:2009:i:2:p:129-142
    DOI: 10.1108/10867370910963055
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Georgeta Vintilă & Ştefan Cristian Gherghina & Diana Alexandra Toader, 2019. "Exploring the Determinants of Financial Structure in the Technology Industry: Panel Data Evidence from the New York Stock Exchange Listed Companies," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 12(4), pages 1-16, October.
    2. Sakshi Khanna & Amit Srivastava & Yajulu Medury, 2015. "The Effect of Macroeconomic Variables on the Capital Structure Decisions of Indian Firms: A Vector Error Correction Model/Vector Autoregressive Approach," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 5(4), pages 968-978.
    3. Škuláňová Nicole, 2020. "Impact of selected determinants on the financial structure of the mining companies in the selected countries," Review of Economic Perspectives, Sciendo, vol. 20(2), pages 197-215, June.
    4. Deari Fitim & Matsuk Zoriana & Lakshina Valeriya, 2019. "Leverage And Macroeconomic Determinants: Evidence From Ukraine," Studies in Business and Economics, Lucian Blaga University of Sibiu, Faculty of Economic Sciences, vol. 14(2), pages 5-19, August.
    5. Natalia Mokhova & Marek Zinecker, 2013. "The determinants of capital structure: the evidence from the European Union," Acta Universitatis Agriculturae et Silviculturae Mendelianae Brunensis, Mendel University Press, vol. 61(7), pages 2533-2546.
    6. Inder Sekhar Yadav & Debasis Pahi & Rajesh Gangakhedkar, 2019. "Financial Markets Development and Financing Choice of Firms: New Evidence from Asia," Asia-Pacific Financial Markets, Springer;Japanese Association of Financial Economics and Engineering, vol. 26(4), pages 429-451, December.
    7. Phan Thi Quoc Huong, 2018. "Macroeconomic Factors and Corporate Capital Structure: Evidence from Listed Joint Stock Companies in Vietnam," International Journal of Financial Research, International Journal of Financial Research, Sciedu Press, vol. 9(1), pages 31-40, January.
    8. Sultan Sikandar Mirza & Khalil Jebran & Yu Yan & Amjad Iqbal, 2017. "Financing behavior of firms in tranquil and crisis period: Evidence from China," Cogent Economics & Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 5(1), pages 1339770-133, January.
    9. Yildirim, Ramazan & Masih, Mansur & Bacha, Obiyathulla Ismath, 2018. "Determinants of capital structure: evidence from Shari'ah compliant and non-compliant firms," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 51(C), pages 198-219.
    10. Endri Endri & M. Iqbal Rasyid Supeni & Yanti Budiasih & Matdio Siahaan & A. Razak & Sudjono Sudjono, 2021. "Oil Price and Leverage for Mining Sector Companies in Indonesia," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 11(4), pages 24-30.
    11. Zia ur Rehman, 2016. "Impact of Macroeconomic Variables on Capital Structure Choice: A Case of Textile Industry of Pakistan," The Pakistan Development Review, Pakistan Institute of Development Economics, vol. 55(3), pages 227-239.
    12. Iván Arribas & Emili Tortosa-Ausina & TingTing Zhu, 2021. "Optimal capital structure, model uncertainty, and European SMEs," Working Papers 2021/11, Economics Department, Universitat Jaume I, Castellón (Spain).
    13. Valeriya Valer’evna Metel’skaya, 2021. "Correlation-and-regression analysis of the influence of macroeconomic factors on capital structure of Russian corporations under crisis conditions," Journal of Innovation and Entrepreneurship, Springer, vol. 10(1), pages 1-34, December.
    14. Le Minh Tai, 2017. "Impact of the Financial Markets Development on Capital Structure of Firms Listed on Ho Chi Minh Stock Exchange," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 7(3), pages 510-515.
    15. Siti Nur Aqilah Ab Wahab & Nur Ainna Ramli, 2014. "The Determinants of Capital Structure: An Empirical Investigation of Malaysian Listed Government Linked Companies," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 4(4), pages 930-945.
    16. Petra Ruckova & Nicole Skuláňová, 2020. "What determines leverage in selected countries of Central and Eastern Europe in the automotive industry," Journal of Administrative and Business Studies, Professor Dr. Usman Raja, vol. 6(5), pages 205-221.
    17. Daniel Cardona Echeverri & Sandra Gaitán Riaño & Hermilson Velásquez Ceballos, 2016. "Variables macroeconómicas y microeconómicas que influyen en la estimación del costo de capital: un estudio de caso," Revista Facultad de Ciencias Económicas, Universidad Militar Nueva Granada, vol. 25(1), pages 105-116, December.

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