IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/oprepe/v11y2023ics2214716023000271.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Early detection of students’ failure using Machine Learning techniques

Author

Listed:
  • López-García, Aarón
  • Blasco-Blasco, Olga
  • Liern-García, Marina
  • Parada-Rico, Sandra E.

Abstract

The educational system determines one of the significant strengths of an advanced society. A country with a lack of culture is less competitive due to the inequality suffered by its people. Institutions and organizations are putting their efforts into tackling that problem. Nevertheless, it is not an easy task to ascertain why their students have failed or what are the conditions that affect such situations. In this work, an intelligent system is proposed to predict academic failure by using student information stored by the Industrial University of Santander (Colombia). The prediction model is powered by the XGBoost algorithm, where a TOPSIS-based feature extraction and ADASYN oversampling have been conducted. Hyperparameters of the classifier were tuned by a cross-validated grid-search algorithm. We have compared our results with other decision-tree classifiers and displayed the feature importance of our intelligent system as an explainability phase. In conclusion, our intelligent system has shown a superior performance of our prediction model and has indicated to us that economic, health and social factors are decisive for the academic performance of the students.

Suggested Citation

  • López-García, Aarón & Blasco-Blasco, Olga & Liern-García, Marina & Parada-Rico, Sandra E., 2023. "Early detection of students’ failure using Machine Learning techniques," Operations Research Perspectives, Elsevier, vol. 11(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:oprepe:v:11:y:2023:i:c:s2214716023000271
    DOI: 10.1016/j.orp.2023.100292
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2214716023000271
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.orp.2023.100292?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Ligia Alba Melo-Becerra & Jorge Enrique Ramos-Forero & Pedro Oswaldo Hernández-Santamaría, 2017. "La educación superior en Colombia: situación actual y análisis de eficiencia," Revista Desarrollo y Sociedad, Universidad de los Andes,Facultad de Economía, CEDE, vol. 78, February.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Adolfo Meisel Rocs & Angela Granger Serrrano, 2022. "Estratificación territorial en la calidad de la educación superior en Colombia," Coyuntura Económica, Fedesarrollo, vol. 52, pages 11-34, December.
    2. Ligia Alba Melo-Becerra & Jorge Enrique Ramos-Forero & Jorge Leonardo Rodríguez Arenas & Héctor M. Zárate-Solano, 2021. "Efecto de la pandemia sobre el sistema educativo: El caso de Colombia," Borradores de Economia 1179, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
    3. Clara Inés Pardo Martínez & Alexander Cotte Poveda, 2022. "The effects of environmental performance on competitiveness and innovation: a stochastic frontier approach for Colombia," Environment Systems and Decisions, Springer, vol. 42(1), pages 51-62, March.
    4. Sarmiento Espinel, Jaime Andrés & Silva Arias, Adriana Carolina & van Gameren, Edwin, 2019. "Evolution of the inequality of educational opportunities from secondary education to university," International Journal of Educational Development, Elsevier, vol. 66(C), pages 193-202.
    5. Ligia Alba Melo-Becerra & Lucas Wilfried Hahn-De-Castro & Dalma Sofía Ariza-Hernández & Cristian Oswaldo Carmona-Sanchez, 2016. "El desempeno municipal en el sector educativo: un análisis a partir de una función multiproducto," Documentos de Trabajo Sobre Economía Regional y Urbana 15017, Banco de la República, Economía Regional.
    6. Leonardo Bonilla & Luis Armando Galvis-Aponte & Andrea Otero-Cortés & Diana Ricciulli, 2023. "Income Inequalities in Colombia," Advances in Spatial Science, in: Eduardo A. Haddad & Jaime Bonet & Geoffrey J. D. Hewings (ed.), The Colombian Economy and Its Regional Structural Challenges, chapter 0, pages 37-75, Springer.
    7. Silvio Fernando López-Mera & David Eduardo Quintero-Rendón, 2019. "Impactos iniciales de la financiación de la educación superior con recursos del presupuesto participativo: evidencia para Medellín," Revista Sociedad y Economía, Universidad del Valle, CIDSE, issue 37, pages 131-164, May.
    8. Arlen Guarín & Sebastián Londoño & Carlos Medina & Julieth Parra & Christian Posso & Carlos Eduardo Vélez, 2016. "Estimating the Effect of Attending a Public versus a Private University in Colombia on Academic Achievement **** Una Estimación del Efecto sobre el Rendimiento Académico de Asistir a una Universidad P," Borradores de Economia 968, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
    9. Alexander Arévalo S & Víctor Giménez G & Diego Prior J, 2022. "Análisis de eficiencia en educación: una aplicación del método StoNED," Revista Desarrollo y Sociedad, Universidad de los Andes,Facultad de Economía, CEDE, vol. 92(2), pages 45-91, October.
    10. Luis Armando Galvis-Aponte & Jaime Bonet-Morón & Leonardo Bonilla-Mejía & Andrea Otero-Cortés & Gerson Javier Pérez-Valbuena & Christian Posso & Diana Ricciulli-Marín, 2021. "Desigualdades del ingreso en Colombia: ¿cuáles son sus determinantes y cómo se han afectado por la pandemia del Covid-19?," Revista ESPE - Ensayos Sobre Política Económica, Banco de la República, issue 101, pages 1-53, December.
    11. Eduardo A. Haddad & Jaime Bonet & Geoffrey J. D. Hewings (ed.), 2023. "The Colombian Economy and Its Regional Structural Challenges," Advances in Spatial Science, Springer, number 978-3-031-22653-3, Fall.
    12. Alma Rodero Acosta & Gustavo Rodríguez Albor, 2015. "Cooperación académica e internacionalización de las universidades públicas colombianas," Revista Panorama Económico 15335, Universidad de Cartagena.
    13. Mariángela Chávez C. & María Fernanda Holguín A. & Esteban Castro G. & Andrés Rincón G., 2022. "Impacto del programa Ser Pilo Paga en la motivación para obtener mejores puntajes en las pruebas Saber 11 en Colombia," Documentos CEDE 20028, Universidad de los Andes, Facultad de Economía, CEDE.
    14. Ana María Iregui-Bohórquez & Ligia Alba Melo-Becerra & María Teresa Ramírez-Giraldo & Ana María Tribín-Uribe, 2020. "The path to gender equality in Colombia: Are we there yet?," Borradores de Economia 1131, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
    15. Melo-Becerra, Ligia Alba & Hahn-De-Castro, Lucas Wilfried & Ariza, Dalma Sofía & Carmona, Cristian Oswaldo, 2020. "Efficiency of local public education in a decentralized context," International Journal of Educational Development, Elsevier, vol. 76(C).
    16. Silvio Fernando López Mera, 2019. "Expectativas y realidades de los bachilleres del país: la experiencia de Medellín," Ensayos de Economía 18199, Universidad Nacional de Colombia Sede Medellín.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:oprepe:v:11:y:2023:i:c:s2214716023000271. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.journals.elsevier.com/operations-research-perspectives .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.