IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/lauspo/v135y2023ics0264837723004258.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Optimizing land use patterns to improve the contribution of land use planning to carbon neutrality target

Author

Listed:
  • Li, Long
  • Huang, Xianjin
  • Yang, Hong

Abstract

Land use planning has the potential to diminish carbon storages and exacerbate carbon emissions, and therefore improving its contribution to achieve carbon neutrality should be a priority. In this study, we proposed an integrated framework to reveal the interrelation between land use and carbon neutrality. We employed the Linear Programming Model (LPM), Markov, Future Land Use Simulation (FLUS), emission coefficients and the Integrated Valuation of Ecosystem Services and Trade-offs (InVEST) to predict land use patterns in Hainan Island, China and assessed the potential for reducing carbon emissions and increasing carbon storages under four scenarios: natural development (ND), spatial planning (SP), low-carbon emission (LE), and high-carbon storage (HS) by 2035. The results demonstrate that the new Territory Spatial Planning in 2035 can effectively reduce carbon emissions and increase carbon sinks. Specifically, compared to the ND scenario, carbon emissions will decrease by 5.37 % and carbon storages increase by 0.11 % in the SP scenario. Furthermore, the optimized land use patterns in the low-carbon scenarios will result in a greater reduction in carbon emissions and a larger increase in carbon sinks than the SP scenario. Specifically, compared to the SP scenario, carbon emissions will decrease by 11.83 % in the LE scenario, and carbon storages increase by 4.81 % in the HS scenario. Through the integration of planning and carbon neutrality via land use optimization, this study broadened the theoretical analysis framework and deepened our comprehension of the relationship between land use and carbon neutrality. Moreover, the insights derived from our findings offer valuable information to policymakers on carbon neutrality policy-making and land use planning in Hainan and other regions facing the similar challenges.

Suggested Citation

  • Li, Long & Huang, Xianjin & Yang, Hong, 2023. "Optimizing land use patterns to improve the contribution of land use planning to carbon neutrality target," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 135(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:lauspo:v:135:y:2023:i:c:s0264837723004258
    DOI: 10.1016/j.landusepol.2023.106959
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0264837723004258
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.landusepol.2023.106959?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Zhou, Ting & Yang, Xi & Ke, Xinli, 2022. "Delimitation of urban growth boundaries by integratedly incorporating ecosystem conservation, cropland protection and urban compactness," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 468(C).
    2. Cao, Yanni & Kong, Lingqiao & Zhang, Lufeng & Ouyang, Zhiyun, 2021. "The balance between economic development and ecosystem service value in the process of land urbanization: A case study of China’s land urbanization from 2000 to 2015," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 108(C).
    3. Jiang, Xue & Li, Bingxin & Zhao, Hongyu & Zhang, Qiqi & Song, Xiaoya & Zhang, Haoran, 2022. "Examining the spatial simulation and land-use reorganisation mechanism of agricultural suburban settlements using a cellular-automata and agent-based model: Six settlements in China," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 120(C).
    4. Sardaro, Ruggiero & Faccilongo, Nicola & Roselli, Luigi, 2019. "Wind farms, farmland occupation and compensation: Evidences from landowners’ preferences through a stated choice survey in Italy," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 133(C).
    5. Deslatte, Aaron & Szmigiel-Rawska, Katarzyna & Tavares, António F. & Ślawska, Justyna & Karsznia, Izabela & Łukomska, Julita, 2022. "Land use institutions and social-ecological systems: A spatial analysis of local landscape changes in Poland," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 114(C).
    6. Al Baroudi, Hisham & Awoyomi, Adeola & Patchigolla, Kumar & Jonnalagadda, Kranthi & Anthony, E.J., 2021. "A review of large-scale CO2 shipping and marine emissions management for carbon capture, utilisation and storage," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 287(C).
    7. Sufyanullah, Khan & Ahmad, Khan Arshad & Sufyan Ali, Muhammad Abu, 2022. "Does emission of carbon dioxide is impacted by urbanization? An empirical study of urbanization, energy consumption, economic growth and carbon emissions - Using ARDL bound testing approach," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 164(C).
    8. Chaopeng Hong & Jennifer A. Burney & Julia Pongratz & Julia E. M. S. Nabel & Nathaniel D. Mueller & Robert B. Jackson & Steven J. Davis, 2021. "Global and regional drivers of land-use emissions in 1961–2017," Nature, Nature, vol. 589(7843), pages 554-561, January.
    9. Sun, Yunpeng & Li, Haoning & Andlib, Zubaria & Genie, Mesfin G., 2022. "How do renewable energy and urbanization cause carbon emissions? Evidence from advanced panel estimation techniques," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 185(C), pages 996-1005.
    10. Wang, Shaojian & Liu, Xiaoping & Zhou, Chunshan & Hu, Jincan & Ou, Jinpei, 2017. "Examining the impacts of socioeconomic factors, urban form, and transportation networks on CO2 emissions in China’s megacities," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 185(P1), pages 189-200.
    11. Galina Churkina & Alan Organschi & Christopher P. O. Reyer & Andrew Ruff & Kira Vinke & Zhu Liu & Barbara K. Reck & T. E. Graedel & Hans Joachim Schellnhuber, 2020. "Buildings as a global carbon sink," Nature Sustainability, Nature, vol. 3(4), pages 269-276, April.
    12. Mansour, Shawky & Al-Belushi, Mohammed & Al-Awadhi, Talal, 2020. "Monitoring land use and land cover changes in the mountainous cities of Oman using GIS and CA-Markov modelling techniques," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 91(C).
    13. Cunha, Elias Rodrigues da & Santos, Celso Augusto Guimarães & Silva, Richarde Marques da & Bacani, Vitor Matheus & Pott, Arnildo, 2021. "Future scenarios based on a CA-Markov land use and land cover simulation model for a tropical humid basin in the Cerrado/Atlantic forest ecotone of Brazil," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 101(C).
    14. Chuai, Xiaowei & Gao, Runyi & Huang, Xianjin & Lu, Qinli & Zhao, Rongqin, 2021. "The embodied flow of built-up land in China's interregional trade and its implications for regional carbon balance," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 184(C).
    15. Ouyang, Xiao & Tang, Lisha & Wei, Xiao & Li, Yonghui, 2021. "Spatial interaction between urbanization and ecosystem services in Chinese urban agglomerations," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 109(C).
    16. Zhao, Rongqin & Liu, Ying & Tian, Mengmeng & Ding, Minglei & Cao, Lianhai & Zhang, Zhanping & Chuai, Xiaowei & Xiao, Liangang & Yao, Lunguang, 2018. "Impacts of water and land resources exploitation on agricultural carbon emissions: The water-land-energy-carbon nexus," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 72(C), pages 480-492.
    17. Li, Feixue & Li, Zhifeng & Chen, Honghua & Chen, Zhenjie & Li, Manchun, 2020. "An agent-based learning-embedded model (ABM-learning) for urban land use planning: A case study of residential land growth simulation in Shenzhen, China," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 95(C).
    18. Xiaoxin Zhang & Martin Brandt & Xiaowei Tong & Philippe Ciais & Yuemin Yue & Xiangming Xiao & Wenmin Zhang & Kelin Wang & Rasmus Fensholt, 2022. "A large but transient carbon sink from urbanization and rural depopulation in China," Nature Sustainability, Nature, vol. 5(4), pages 321-328, April.
    19. You, Lie & Li, Yurui & Wang, Rui & Pan, Haozhi, 2020. "A benefit evaluation model for build-up land use in megacity suburban districts," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 99(C).
    20. Chao Yue & Philippe Ciais & Richard A. Houghton & Alexander A. Nassikas, 2020. "Contribution of land use to the interannual variability of the land carbon cycle," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 11(1), pages 1-11, December.
    21. Haozhi Pan & Tianren Yang & Ying Jin & Sandy Dall’Erba & Geoffrey Hewings, 2021. "Understanding heterogeneous spatial production externalities as a missing link between land-use planning and urban economic futures," Regional Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 55(1), pages 90-100, January.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Huang, Jing & Han, Wenjing & Zhang, Zhengfeng & Ning, Shanshan & Zhang, Xiaoling, 2024. "The decoupling relationship between land use efficiency and carbon emissions in China: An analysis using the Socio-Ecological Systems (SES) framework," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 138(C).
    2. Sucharita Pradhan & Anirban Dhar & Kamlesh Narayan Tiwari & Satiprasad Sahoo, 2023. "Spatiotemporal analysis of land use land cover and future simulation for agricultural sustainability in a sub-tropical region of India," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 25(8), pages 7873-7902, August.
    3. Miroshnyk, N.V. & Likhanov, A.F. & Grabovska, T.O. & Teslenko, I.K. & Roubík, H., 2022. "Green infrastructure and relationship with urbanization – Importance and necessity of integrated governance," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 114(C).
    4. Destek, Mehmet Akif & Hossain, Mohammad Razib & Khan, Zeeshan, 2023. "Premature Deindustrialization and Environmental Degradation," MPRA Paper 117737, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    5. Chen, Wanxu & Chi, Guangqing, 2022. "Urbanization and ecosystem services: The multi-scale spatial spillover effects and spatial variations," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 114(C).
    6. Li, Jianglong & Sun, Shiqiang & Sharma, Disha & Ho, Mun Sing & Liu, Hongxun, 2023. "Tracking the drivers of global greenhouse gas emissions with spillover effects in the post-financial crisis era," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 174(C).
    7. Shandong Niu & Xiao Lyu & Guozheng Gu, 2022. "A New Framework of Green Transition of Cultivated Land-Use for the Coordination among the Water-Land-Food-Carbon Nexus in China," Land, MDPI, vol. 11(6), pages 1-25, June.
    8. Yabo Zhao & Dixiang Xie & Xiwen Zhang & Shifa Ma, 2021. "Integrating Spatial Markov Chains and Geographically Weighted Regression-Based Cellular Automata to Simulate Urban Agglomeration Growth: A Case Study of the Guangdong–Hong Kong–Macao Greater Bay Area," Land, MDPI, vol. 10(6), pages 1-19, June.
    9. Xia, Chuyu & Chen, Bin, 2020. "Urban land-carbon nexus based on ecological network analysis," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 276(C).
    10. Yao, Yongling & Pan, Haozhi & Cui, Xiaoyu & Wang, Zhen, 2022. "Do compact cities have higher efficiencies of agglomeration economies? A dynamic panel model with compactness indicators," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 115(C).
    11. Qihao Wang & Dongya Liu & Feiyao Gao & Xinqi Zheng & Yiqun Shang, 2023. "A Partitioned and Heterogeneous Land-Use Simulation Model by Integrating CA and Markov Model," Land, MDPI, vol. 12(2), pages 1-20, February.
    12. Fang Liu & Erfu Dai & Jun Yin, 2023. "A Review of Social–Ecological System Research and Geographical Applications," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(8), pages 1-19, April.
    13. Vassiliades, C. & Savvides, A. & Buonomano, A., 2022. "Building integration of active solar energy systems for façades renovation in the urban fabric: Effects on the thermal comfort in outdoor public spaces in Naples and Thessaloniki," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 190(C), pages 30-47.
    14. Qing Liu & Dongdong Yang & Lei Cao & Bruce Anderson, 2022. "Assessment and Prediction of Carbon Storage Based on Land Use/Land Cover Dynamics in the Tropics: A Case Study of Hainan Island, China," Land, MDPI, vol. 11(2), pages 1-24, February.
    15. Changfeng Shi & Hang Yuan & Qinghua Pang & Yangyang Zhang, 2020. "Research on the Decoupling of Water Resources Utilization and Agricultural Economic Development in Gansu Province from the Perspective of Water Footprint," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 17(16), pages 1-16, August.
    16. Andrew Allan & Ali Soltani & Mohammad Hamed Abdi & Melika Zarei, 2022. "Driving Forces behind Land Use and Land Cover Change: A Systematic and Bibliometric Review," Land, MDPI, vol. 11(8), pages 1-20, August.
    17. Milad Asadi & Amir Oshnooei-Nooshabadi & Samira-Sadat Saleh & Fattaneh Habibnezhad & Sonia Sarafraz-Asbagh & John Lodewijk Van Genderen, 2022. "Urban Sprawl Simulation Mapping of Urmia (Iran) by Comparison of Cellular Automata–Markov Chain and Artificial Neural Network (ANN) Modeling Approach," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(23), pages 1-16, November.
    18. Liang Li & Ying Xiang & Xinyue Fan & Qinxiang Wang & Yang Wei, 2023. "Spatiotemporal Characteristics of Agricultural Production Efficiency in Sichuan Province from the Perspective of “Water–Land–Energy–Carbon” Coupling," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(21), pages 1-21, October.
    19. Li, Sisi & Khan, Sufyan Ullah & Yao, Yao & Chen, George S. & Zhang, Lin & Salim, Ruhul & Huo, Jiaying, 2022. "Estimating the long-run crude oil demand function of China: Some new evidence and policy options," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 170(C).
    20. Hu Liao & Hu Li & Chen-Song Duan & Xin-Yuan Zhou & Qiu-Ping Luo & Xin-Li An & Yong-Guan Zhu & Jian-Qiang Su, 2022. "Response of soil viral communities to land use changes," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 13(1), pages 1-13, December.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:lauspo:v:135:y:2023:i:c:s0264837723004258. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Joice Jiang (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.journals.elsevier.com/land-use-policy .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.