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Performance prediction and performance-based task allocation

Author

Listed:
  • Trautmann, Stefan T.
  • Vollmann, Martin
  • Becker, Christoph

Abstract

Self-perception and perception by others can diverge. Such differences can play an important role in corporate governance settings, for example in the context of task allocation. We run two experiments to study how predictions about own performance and the performance of others develop over time and how they influence allocation in performance-based decisions. Our findings indicate that people underestimate their own performance, but are too keen to take up performance-dependent tasks. Observers form accurate performance estimates about the performer based on observation. However, when making allocation decisions on the basis of the performer's self-assessment only, they are too hesitant to trust in the performer's success.

Suggested Citation

  • Trautmann, Stefan T. & Vollmann, Martin & Becker, Christoph, 2024. "Performance prediction and performance-based task allocation," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 220(C), pages 354-368.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:jeborg:v:220:y:2024:i:c:p:354-368
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jebo.2024.02.027
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Performance evaluation; Principal-agent relationship; Modesty; Corporate governance;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C91 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Design of Experiments - - - Laboratory, Individual Behavior
    • D82 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - Asymmetric and Private Information; Mechanism Design
    • M51 - Business Administration and Business Economics; Marketing; Accounting; Personnel Economics - - Personnel Economics - - - Firm Employment Decisions; Promotions

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