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A recursive approach to mortality-linked derivative pricing

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  • Shang, Zhaoning
  • Goovaerts, Marc
  • Dhaene, Jan

Abstract

In this paper, we develop a recursive method to derive an exact numerical and nearly analytical representation of the Laplace transform of the transition density function with respect to the time variable for time-homogeneous diffusion processes. We further apply this recursion algorithm to the pricing of mortality-linked derivatives. Given an arbitrary stochastic future lifetime , the probability distribution function of the present value of a cash flow depending on can be approximated by a mixture of exponentials, based on Jacobi polynomial expansions. In case of mortality-linked derivative pricing, the required Laplace inversion can be avoided by introducing this mixture of exponentials as an approximation of the distribution of the survival time in the recursion scheme. This approximation significantly improves the efficiency of the algorithm.

Suggested Citation

  • Shang, Zhaoning & Goovaerts, Marc & Dhaene, Jan, 2011. "A recursive approach to mortality-linked derivative pricing," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 49(2), pages 240-248, September.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:insuma:v:49:y:2011:i:2:p:240-248
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    4. Marcus C. Christiansen, 2013. "Gaussian and Affine Approximation of Stochastic Diffusion Models for Interest and Mortality Rates," Risks, MDPI, vol. 1(3), pages 1-20, October.
    5. Raj Kumari Bahl & Sotirios Sabanis, 2016. "Model-Independent Price Bounds for Catastrophic Mortality Bonds," Papers 1607.07108, arXiv.org, revised Dec 2020.
    6. Bahl, Raj Kumari & Sabanis, Sotirios, 2021. "Model-independent price bounds for Catastrophic Mortality Bonds," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 96(C), pages 276-291.
    7. Jang, Jiwook & Dassios, Angelos & Zhao, Hongbiao, 2018. "Moments of renewal shot-noise processes and their applications," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 87428, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    8. Gerber, Hans U. & Shiu, Elias S.W. & Yang, Hailiang, 2012. "Valuing equity-linked death benefits and other contingent options: A discounted density approach," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 51(1), pages 73-92.

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