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Shock amplification in an interconnected financial system of banks and investment funds

Author

Listed:
  • Sydow, Matthias
  • Schilte, Aurore
  • Covi, Giovanni
  • Deipenbrock, Marija
  • Del Vecchio, Leonardo
  • Fiedor, Pawel
  • Fukker, Gábor
  • Gehrend, Max
  • Gourdel, Régis
  • Grassi, Alberto
  • Hilberg, Björn
  • Kaijser, Michiel
  • Kaoudis, Georgios
  • Mingarelli, Luca
  • Montagna, Mattia
  • Piquard, Thibaut
  • Salakhova, Dilyara
  • Tente, Natalia

Abstract

This paper shows how the combined endogenous reaction of banks and investment funds to an exogenous shock can amplify or dampen losses to the financial system compared to results from single-sector stress testing models. We build a new model of contagion propagation using a very large and granular data set for the euro area. Based on the economic shock caused by the Covid-19 outbreak, we model three sources of exogenous shocks: a default shock, a market shock and a redemption shock. Our contagion mechanism operates through a dual channel of liquidity and solvency risk. Our analysis reveals that adding the fund sector to our model for banks leads to additional losses through fire sales and a further depletion of banks’ capital ratios by around one percentage point. The main driver of additional bank losses are endogenous market losses generated by investment funds’ asset liquidation.

Suggested Citation

  • Sydow, Matthias & Schilte, Aurore & Covi, Giovanni & Deipenbrock, Marija & Del Vecchio, Leonardo & Fiedor, Pawel & Fukker, Gábor & Gehrend, Max & Gourdel, Régis & Grassi, Alberto & Hilberg, Björn & Ka, 2024. "Shock amplification in an interconnected financial system of banks and investment funds," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 71(C).
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:finsta:v:71:y:2024:i:c:s1572308924000196
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jfs.2024.101234
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Fire sales; Liquidity; Overlapping portfolios; Price impact; Stress testing;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • D85 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - Network Formation
    • G01 - Financial Economics - - General - - - Financial Crises
    • G21 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Banks; Other Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages
    • G23 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Non-bank Financial Institutions; Financial Instruments; Institutional Investors
    • L14 - Industrial Organization - - Market Structure, Firm Strategy, and Market Performance - - - Transactional Relationships; Contracts and Reputation

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