IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/finlet/v59y2024ics1544612323011212.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Mean–variance optimization under affine GARCH: A utility-based solution

Author

Listed:
  • Escobar-Anel, Marcos
  • Spies, Ben
  • Zagst, Rudi

Abstract

Affine GARCH models have recently been explored in the context of portfolio optimization, although in a quite narrow setting in terms of utility functions and risk aversion. This work notably extends existing results, accommodating a richer class of objective functions for a large family of GARCH models. In particular, our approach allows for connections to constant proportion portfolio insurance (CPPI) and mean–variance portfolio strategies. We explore the latter numerically based on S&P 500 market data, revealing that a GARCH model clearly outperforms a homoscedastic variant in terms of the efficient frontier.

Suggested Citation

  • Escobar-Anel, Marcos & Spies, Ben & Zagst, Rudi, 2024. "Mean–variance optimization under affine GARCH: A utility-based solution," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 59(C).
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:finlet:v:59:y:2024:i:c:s1544612323011212
    DOI: 10.1016/j.frl.2023.104749
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1544612323011212
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.frl.2023.104749?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Christoffersen, Peter & Heston, Steve & Jacobs, Kris, 2006. "Option valuation with conditional skewness," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 131(1-2), pages 253-284.
    2. Ornthanalai, Chayawat, 2014. "Lévy jump risk: Evidence from options and returns," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 112(1), pages 69-90.
    3. Merton, Robert C., 1971. "Optimum consumption and portfolio rules in a continuous-time model," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 3(4), pages 373-413, December.
    4. Zhu, Yichen & Escobar-Anel, Marcos, 2022. "Polynomial affine approach to HARA utility maximization with applications to OrnsteinUhlenbeck 4/2 models," Applied Mathematics and Computation, Elsevier, vol. 418(C).
    5. Bollerslev, Tim, 1986. "Generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 31(3), pages 307-327, April.
    6. Harry Markowitz, 1952. "Portfolio Selection," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 7(1), pages 77-91, March.
    7. Escobar-Anel, Marcos & Gollart, Maximilian & Zagst, Rudi, 2022. "Closed-form portfolio optimization under GARCH models," Operations Research Perspectives, Elsevier, vol. 9(C).
    8. Alexandru Badescu & Zhenyu Cui & Juan-Pablo Ortega, 2019. "Closed-form variance swap prices under general affine GARCH models and their continuous-time limits," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 282(1), pages 27-57, November.
    9. Campbell Harvey & John Liechty & Merrill Liechty & Peter Muller, 2010. "Portfolio selection with higher moments," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 10(5), pages 469-485.
    10. Engle, Robert F, 1982. "Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity with Estimates of the Variance of United Kingdom Inflation," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 50(4), pages 987-1007, July.
    11. Hongkai Cao & Alexandru Badescu & Zhenyu Cui & Sarath Kumar Jayaraman, 2020. "Valuation of VIX and target volatility options with affine GARCH models," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 40(12), pages 1880-1917, December.
    12. Heston, Steven L & Nandi, Saikat, 2000. "A Closed-Form GARCH Option Valuation Model," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 13(3), pages 585-625.
    13. Massimo Guidolin & Allan Timmermann, 2008. "International asset allocation under regime switching, skew, and kurtosis preferences," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 21(2), pages 889-935, April.
    14. John Y. Campbell & Luis M. Viceira, 1999. "Consumption and Portfolio Decisions when Expected Returns are Time Varying," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 114(2), pages 433-495.
    15. Escobar-Anel, Marcos & Rastegari, Javad & Stentoft, Lars, 2020. "Affine multivariate GARCH models," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 118(C).
    16. Maciej Augustyniak & Alexandru Badescu, 2021. "On the computation of hedging strategies in affine GARCH models," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 41(5), pages 710-735, May.
    17. Merton, Robert C, 1969. "Lifetime Portfolio Selection under Uncertainty: The Continuous-Time Case," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 51(3), pages 247-257, August.
    18. Augustyniak, Maciej & Badescu, Alexandru & Bégin, Jean-François, 2023. "A discrete-time hedging framework with multiple factors and fat tails: On what matters," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 232(2), pages 416-444.
    19. Jun Liu, 2007. "Portfolio Selection in Stochastic Environments," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 20(1), pages 1-39, January.
    20. Marcos Escobar-Anel & Ben Spies & Rudi Zagst, 2021. "Expected Utility Theory on General Affine GARCH Models," Applied Mathematical Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 28(6), pages 477-507, November.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Escobar-Anel, Marcos & Gollart, Maximilian & Zagst, Rudi, 2022. "Closed-form portfolio optimization under GARCH models," Operations Research Perspectives, Elsevier, vol. 9(C).
    2. Escobar-Anel, Marcos & Rastegari, Javad & Stentoft, Lars, 2023. "Covariance dependent kernels, a Q-affine GARCH for multi-asset option pricing," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 87(C).
    3. Escobar-Anel, Marcos & Rastegari, Javad & Stentoft, Lars, 2021. "Option pricing with conditional GARCH models," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 289(1), pages 350-363.
    4. Bernardi, Mauro & Catania, Leopoldo, 2018. "Portfolio optimisation under flexible dynamic dependence modelling," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 1-18.
    5. John H. Cochrane, 2014. "A Mean-Variance Benchmark for Intertemporal Portfolio Theory," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 69(1), pages 1-49, February.
    6. Anna Battauz & Alessandro Sbuelz, 2018. "Non†myopic portfolio choice with unpredictable returns: The jump†to†default case," European Financial Management, European Financial Management Association, vol. 24(2), pages 192-208, March.
    7. Kai Li, 2014. "Asset Price Dynamics with Heterogeneous Beliefs and Time Delays," PhD Thesis, Finance Discipline Group, UTS Business School, University of Technology, Sydney, number 1-2014.
    8. Kai Li, 2014. "Asset Price Dynamics with Heterogeneous Beliefs and Time Delays," PhD Thesis, Finance Discipline Group, UTS Business School, University of Technology, Sydney, number 13, July-Dece.
    9. Andersen, Torben G. & Bollerslev, Tim & Christoffersen, Peter F. & Diebold, Francis X., 2005. "Volatility forecasting," CFS Working Paper Series 2005/08, Center for Financial Studies (CFS).
    10. Mauro Bernardi & Leopoldo Catania, 2016. "Portfolio Optimisation Under Flexible Dynamic Dependence Modelling," Papers 1601.05199, arXiv.org.
    11. Ma, Guiyuan & Siu, Chi Chung & Zhu, Song-Ping, 2019. "Dynamic portfolio choice with return predictability and transaction costs," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 278(3), pages 976-988.
    12. Wenjun Zhang & Jin E. Zhang, 2020. "GARCH Option Pricing Models and the Variance Risk Premium," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 13(3), pages 1-21, March.
    13. Martin, Vance L. & Tang, Chrismin & Yao, Wenying, 2021. "Forecasting the volatility of asset returns: The informational gains from option prices," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 37(2), pages 862-880.
    14. Lioui, Abraham, 2013. "Time consistent vs. time inconsistent dynamic asset allocation: Some utility cost calculations for mean variance preferences," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 37(5), pages 1066-1096.
    15. Maria Kyriacou & Jose Olmo & Marius Strittmatter, 2021. "Optimal portfolio allocation using option‐implied information," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 41(2), pages 266-285, February.
    16. Ballestra, Luca Vincenzo & D’Innocenzo, Enzo & Guizzardi, Andrea, 2024. "A new bivariate approach for modeling the interaction between stock volatility and interest rate: An application to S&P500 returns and options," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 314(3), pages 1185-1194.
    17. Andersen, Torben G. & Bollerslev, Tim & Christoffersen, Peter F. & Diebold, Francis X., 2006. "Volatility and Correlation Forecasting," Handbook of Economic Forecasting, in: G. Elliott & C. Granger & A. Timmermann (ed.), Handbook of Economic Forecasting, edition 1, volume 1, chapter 15, pages 777-878, Elsevier.
    18. Sharif Mozumder & Bakhtear Talukdar & M. Humayun Kabir & Bingxin Li, 2024. "Non-linear volatility with normal inverse Gaussian innovations: ad-hoc analytic option pricing," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 62(1), pages 97-133, January.
    19. Rapach, David E. & Wohar, Mark E., 2009. "Multi-period portfolio choice and the intertemporal hedging demands for stocks and bonds: International evidence," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 28(3), pages 427-453, April.
    20. Lars Stentoft, 2008. "American Option Pricing Using GARCH Models and the Normal Inverse Gaussian Distribution," Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press, vol. 6(4), pages 540-582, Fall.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Dynamic portfolio optimization; Affine GARCH models; Mean–variance; Efficient frontier; HARA utility; CPPI strategy;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C52 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Model Evaluation, Validation, and Selection
    • C58 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Financial Econometrics
    • C61 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - Optimization Techniques; Programming Models; Dynamic Analysis
    • G11 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Portfolio Choice; Investment Decisions

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:finlet:v:59:y:2024:i:c:s1544612323011212. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/frl .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.