IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/finlet/v55y2023ipbs1544612323003690.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Asymmetric and time-frequency based networks of currency markets

Author

Listed:
  • Shahzad, Syed Jawad Hussain
  • Hasan, Mudassar
  • Caporin, Massimiliano

Abstract

We examine asymmetries in the volatility spillover of international currency markets over the short and long run, with a focus on the COVID-19 pandemic. In doing so, we propose partial quantile coherency network approach. Our results indicate heterogeneous behaviour of currencies’ volatility networks under various market conditions across investment time horizons. The volatility networks are driven by developed currency markets and by geographical proximity in Europe and Asia. We do not find asymmetry in the dependence structures of positive and negative currency volatilities. The dependence structure changes during COVID-19 especially in the long run. Many currencies show disentangled behaviour, which suggests their hedging and diversification potential.

Suggested Citation

  • Shahzad, Syed Jawad Hussain & Hasan, Mudassar & Caporin, Massimiliano, 2023. "Asymmetric and time-frequency based networks of currency markets," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 55(PB).
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:finlet:v:55:y:2023:i:pb:s1544612323003690
    DOI: 10.1016/j.frl.2023.103997
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1544612323003690
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.frl.2023.103997?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Hwee K. Chow, 2021. "Connectedness of Asia Pacific forex markets: China's growing influence," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(3), pages 3807-3818, July.
    2. Anwer, Zaheer & Naeem, Muhammad Abubakr & Hassan, M. Kabir & Karim, Sitara, 2022. "Asymmetric connectedness across Asia-Pacific currencies: Evidence from time-frequency domain analysis," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 47(PB).
    3. Gabauer, David, 2021. "Dynamic measures of asymmetric & pairwise connectedness within an optimal currency area: Evidence from the ERM I system," Journal of Multinational Financial Management, Elsevier, vol. 60(C).
    4. Bouri, Elie & Lucey, Brian & Saeed, Tareq & Vo, Xuan Vinh, 2020. "Extreme spillovers across Asian-Pacific currencies: A quantile-based analysis," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 72(C).
    5. Wan, Yang & He, Shi, 2021. "Dynamic connectedness of currencies in G7 countries: A Bayesian time-varying approach," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 41(C).
    6. Baumöhl, Eduard & Shahzad, Syed Jawad Hussain, 2019. "Quantile coherency networks of international stock markets," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 31(C), pages 119-129.
    7. Kočenda, Evžen & Moravcová, Michala, 2019. "Exchange rate comovements, hedging and volatility spillovers on new EU forex markets," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 42-64.
    8. Jozef Baruník & Tobias Kley, 2019. "Quantile coherency: A general measure for dependence between cyclical economic variables," The Econometrics Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 22(2), pages 131-152.
    9. Lee, Suzanne S. & Wang, Minho, 2020. "Tales of tails: Jumps in currency markets," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 48(C).
    10. Ito, Takatoshi & Engle, Robert F. & Lin, Wen-Ling, 1992. "Where does the meteor shower come from? : The role of stochastic policy coordination," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 32(3-4), pages 221-240, May.
    11. Jozef Baruník & Tomáš Křehlík, 2018. "Measuring the Frequency Dynamics of Financial Connectedness and Systemic Risk," Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press, vol. 16(2), pages 271-296.
    12. Dick, Christian D. & MacDonald, Ronald & Menkhoff, Lukas, 2015. "Exchange rate forecasts and expected fundamentals," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 53(C), pages 235-256.
    13. Andrew J. Patton & Kevin Sheppard, 2015. "Good Volatility, Bad Volatility: Signed Jumps and The Persistence of Volatility," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 97(3), pages 683-697, July.
    14. Gunay, Samet, 2021. "Comparing COVID-19 with the GFC: A shockwave analysis of currency markets," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 56(C).
    15. Ciner, Cetin, 2011. "Information transmission across currency futures markets: Evidence from frequency domain tests," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 20(3), pages 134-139, June.
    16. Tomohiro Ando & Matthew Greenwood-Nimmo & Yongcheol Shin, 2022. "Quantile Connectedness: Modeling Tail Behavior in the Topology of Financial Networks," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 68(4), pages 2401-2431, April.
    17. Diebold, Francis X. & Yilmaz, Kamil, 2012. "Better to give than to receive: Predictive directional measurement of volatility spillovers," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 28(1), pages 57-66.
    18. Goodell, John W., 2020. "COVID-19 and finance: Agendas for future research," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 35(C).
    19. Su, Fei, 2021. "Conditional volatility persistence and volatility spillovers in the foreign exchange market," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 55(C).
    20. Wen, Tiange & Wang, Gang-Jin, 2020. "Volatility connectedness in global foreign exchange markets," Journal of Multinational Financial Management, Elsevier, vol. 54(C).
    21. Le, Trung Hai & Do, Hung Xuan & Nguyen, Duc Khuong & Sensoy, Ahmet, 2021. "Covid-19 pandemic and tail-dependency networks of financial assets," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 38(C).
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Zhu, Huiming & Li, Shuang & Huang, Zishan, 2023. "Frequency domain quantile dependence and connectedness between crude oil and exchange rates: Evidence from oil-importing and exporting countries," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 90(C), pages 1-30.
    2. Bouri, Elie & Lucey, Brian & Saeed, Tareq & Vo, Xuan Vinh, 2020. "Extreme spillovers across Asian-Pacific currencies: A quantile-based analysis," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 72(C).
    3. Ur Rehman, Mobeen & Al Rababa'a, Abdel Razzaq & El-Nader, Ghaith & Alkhataybeh, Ahmad & Vo, Xuan Vinh, 2022. "Modelling the quantile cross-coherence between exchange rates: Does the COVID-19 pandemic change the interlinkage structure?," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 76(C).
    4. Anwer, Zaheer & Naeem, Muhammad Abubakr & Hassan, M. Kabir & Karim, Sitara, 2022. "Asymmetric connectedness across Asia-Pacific currencies: Evidence from time-frequency domain analysis," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 47(PB).
    5. Asadi, Mehrad & Tiwari, Aviral Kumar & Gholami, Samad & Ghasemi, Hamid Reza & Roubaud, David, 2023. "Understanding interconnections among steel, coal, iron ore, and financial assets in the US and China using an advanced methodology," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 89(C).
    6. Thai Hung, Ngo & Nguyen, Linh Thi My & Vinh Vo, Xuan, 2022. "Exchange rate volatility connectedness during Covid-19 outbreak: DECO-GARCH and Transfer Entropy approaches," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
    7. Akbulut Nesrin & Ari Yakup, 2023. "TVP-VAR Frequency Connectedness Between the Foreign Exchange Rates of Non-Euro Area Member Countries," Folia Oeconomica Stetinensia, Sciendo, vol. 23(2), pages 1-23, December.
    8. Huang, Jionghao & Chen, Baifan & Xu, Yushi & Xia, Xiaohua, 2023. "Time-frequency volatility transmission among energy commodities and financial markets during the COVID-19 pandemic: A Novel TVP-VAR frequency connectedness approach," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 53(C).
    9. Su, Xianfang & Zhao, Yachao, 2023. "What has the strongest connectedness with clean energy? Technology, substitutes, or raw materials," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 128(C).
    10. Abricha, Amal & Ben Amar, Amine & Bellalah, Makram, 2024. "Commodity futures markets under stress and stress-free periods: Further insights from a quantile connectedness approach," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 93(C), pages 229-246.
    11. Urom, Christian, 2023. "Time–frequency dependence and connectedness between financial technology and green assets," International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 175(C), pages 139-157.
    12. Li, Yueshan & Chen, Shoudong & Sensoy, Ahmet & Wang, Lu, 2024. "Over-expected shocks and financial market security: Evidence from China's markets," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 68(C).
    13. Kočenda, Evžen & Moravcová, Michala, 2024. "Frequency volatility connectedness and portfolio hedging of U.S. energy commodities," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 69(C).
    14. Yousaf, Imran & Pham, Linh & Goodell, John W., 2023. "Interconnectedness between healthcare tokens and healthcare stocks: Evidence from a quantile VAR approach," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 86(C), pages 271-283.
    15. Evžen Kočenda & Michala Moravcová & Evžen Kocenda, 2024. "Frequency Volatility Connectedness and Portfolio Hedging of U.S. Energy Commodities," CESifo Working Paper Series 10889, CESifo.
    16. Boubaker, Sabri & Karim, Sitara & Naeem, Muhammad Abubakr & Sharma, Gagan Deep, 2023. "Financial markets, energy shocks, and extreme volatility spillovers," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 126(C).
    17. Mahdi Ghaemi Asl & Oluwasegun B. Adekoya & Muhammad Mahdi Rashidi, 2023. "Quantiles dependence and dynamic connectedness between distributed ledger technology and sectoral stocks: enhancing the supply chain and investment decisions with digital platforms," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 327(1), pages 435-464, August.
    18. Yarovaya, Larisa & Brzeszczyński, Janusz & Goodell, John W. & Lucey, Brian & Lau, Chi Keung Marco, 2022. "Rethinking financial contagion: Information transmission mechanism during the COVID-19 pandemic," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    19. Lu, Man & Chang, Bisharat Hussain & Salman, Asma & Razzaq, Muthanna G. Abdul & Uddin, Mohammed Ahmar, 2023. "Time varying connectedness between foreign exchange markets and crude oil futures prices," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 86(PB).
    20. Shahzad, Umer & Ghaemi Asl, Mahdi & Tedeschi, Marco, 2023. "Is there any market state-dependent contribution from Blockchain-enabled solutions to ESG investments? Evidence from conventional and Islamic ESG stocks," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 86(C), pages 139-154.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Forex markets; Quantile coherency; Network connectedness; COVID-19 pandemic;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • A11 - General Economics and Teaching - - General Economics - - - Role of Economics; Role of Economists
    • F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:finlet:v:55:y:2023:i:pb:s1544612323003690. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/frl .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.