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Computing present values: Capital budgeting done correctly

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  • Jarrow, Robert

Abstract

This paper shows that the standard textbook formula for computing the present value of a future random cash flow – the discounted expected value – is formally incorrect and can generate significant errors when used to compute present values. The correct present value method is provided as well as a simple adjustment to the textbook formula which can be used to obtain an approximation to the correct value.

Suggested Citation

  • Jarrow, Robert, 2014. "Computing present values: Capital budgeting done correctly," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 11(3), pages 183-193.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:finlet:v:11:y:2014:i:3:p:183-193
    DOI: 10.1016/j.frl.2014.05.001
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Robert A. Jarrow, 2009. "The Term Structure of Interest Rates," Annual Review of Financial Economics, Annual Reviews, vol. 1(1), pages 69-96, November.
    2. David Heath & Robert Jarrow & Andrew Morton, 2008. "Bond Pricing And The Term Structure Of Interest Rates: A New Methodology For Contingent Claims Valuation," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Financial Derivatives Pricing Selected Works of Robert Jarrow, chapter 13, pages 277-305, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Present value; No arbitrage; Capital budgeting;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G31 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - Capital Budgeting; Fixed Investment and Inventory Studies
    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
    • G10 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - General (includes Measurement and Data)
    • G13 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Contingent Pricing; Futures Pricing

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