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Do stress and overstatement in the news affect the stock market? Evidence from COVID-19 news in The Wall Street Journal

Author

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  • Carlini, Federico
  • Farina, Vincenzo
  • Gufler, Ivan
  • Previtali, Daniele

Abstract

This study investigated the effect of media coverage on financial markets in response to COVID-19-related news. By collecting data from the United States Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, we study the effect of The Wall Street Journal's coverage and tone on stock markets. In particular, we attempted to measure media overstatements by comparing the number of articles and stress words with the number of COVID-19 cases. We obtained three main findings. First, investors discount macroeconomic news and objective measures of COVID-19. Second, excessive stress in the media tone leads to greater uncertainty and lower returns. Third, these results hold across sectors, although heterogeneity exists. Overall, long periods of high-stress sentiment and uncertainty affect investors more than single-day news.

Suggested Citation

  • Carlini, Federico & Farina, Vincenzo & Gufler, Ivan & Previtali, Daniele, 2024. "Do stress and overstatement in the news affect the stock market? Evidence from COVID-19 news in The Wall Street Journal," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 93(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:finana:v:93:y:2024:i:c:s1057521924001108
    DOI: 10.1016/j.irfa.2024.103178
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    Keywords

    COVID-19; Stock markets; Media sentiment;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G1 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets
    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
    • G14 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies; Insider Trading

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