IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/energy/v128y2017icp601-608.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

The analysis of the underlying reasons of the inconsistent relationship between economic growth and the consumption of electricity in China – A case study of Anhui province

Author

Listed:
  • Ge, Fei
  • Ye, Bin
  • Xing, Shengnan
  • Wang, Bao
  • Sun, Shuang

Abstract

Researches revealed that there has been existed a relatively stable and positive relationship between economic growth and electricity consumption. However, the inconsistency between them appeared in 2008. Therefore, it is urgent to analyze whether the GDP in China is cheated and to seek the underlying reasons contributed to the deviation. Anhui province is selected to act our study area. In order to explore the underlying reasons of the deviation between economic growth and electricity consumption, a multivariable regression models is established in this paper. Empirical results are as follows: (1) real GDP, industrial structure (IS), heating degrees days (HDD), cooling degree days (CDD), investment in fixed assets (IF) are all positive factors for the consumption of electricity; (2) IS is the major contributor to raising the consumption of electricity, followed by IF, CDD, HDD, and GDP; (3) energy intensity (EI) and financial development (FD) are negative factors, when the value of EI increase 1.0%, the consumption of electricity will decrease 7.4%; (4) if the electricity consumption caused by other factors except GDP is eliminated, the deviation would almost shrink; (5) the real growth rate of GDP of Anhui province is authentic.

Suggested Citation

  • Ge, Fei & Ye, Bin & Xing, Shengnan & Wang, Bao & Sun, Shuang, 2017. "The analysis of the underlying reasons of the inconsistent relationship between economic growth and the consumption of electricity in China – A case study of Anhui province," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 128(C), pages 601-608.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:energy:v:128:y:2017:i:c:p:601-608
    DOI: 10.1016/j.energy.2017.04.056
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0360544217306230
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.energy.2017.04.056?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Wang, Zhaohua & Zhang, Bin & Liu, Tongfan, 2016. "Empirical analysis on the factors influencing national and regional carbon intensity in China," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 55(C), pages 34-42.
    2. Shiu, Alice & Lam, Pun-Lee, 2004. "Electricity consumption and economic growth in China," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 32(1), pages 47-54, January.
    3. Bessec, Marie & Fouquau, Julien, 2008. "The non-linear link between electricity consumption and temperature in Europe: A threshold panel approach," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 30(5), pages 2705-2721, September.
    4. Engle, Robert & Granger, Clive, 2015. "Co-integration and error correction: Representation, estimation, and testing," Applied Econometrics, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA), vol. 39(3), pages 106-135.
    5. Lin, Boqiang & Liu, Chang, 2016. "Why is electricity consumption inconsistent with economic growth in China?," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 88(C), pages 310-316.
    6. Hu, Yuan, 2012. "Energy conservation assessment of fixed-asset investment projects: An attempt to improve energy efficiency in China," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 43(C), pages 327-334.
    7. Jing-Li Fan & Bao-Jun Tang & Hao Yu & Yun-Bing Hou & Yi-Ming Wei, 2015. "Impact of climatic factors on monthly electricity consumption of China’s sectors," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 75(2), pages 2027-2037, January.
    8. Jamil, Faisal & Ahmad, Eatzaz, 2010. "The relationship between electricity consumption, electricity prices and GDP in Pakistan," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 38(10), pages 6016-6025, October.
    9. Maximilian Auffhammer & Anin Aroonruengsawat, 2011. "Simulating the impacts of climate change, prices and population on California’s residential electricity consumption," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 109(1), pages 191-210, December.
    10. Yuan, Jiahai & Zhao, Changhong & Yu, Shunkun & Hu, Zhaoguang, 2007. "Electricity consumption and economic growth in China: Cointegration and co-feature analysis," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 29(6), pages 1179-1191, November.
    11. Katherine S. Fu & Melissa R. Allen & Richard K. Archibald, 2015. "Evaluating the Relationship between the Population Trends, Prices, Heat Waves, and the Demands of Energy Consumption in Cities," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 7(11), pages 1-18, November.
    12. Wei, Chu & Ni, Jinlan & Du, Limin, 2012. "Regional allocation of carbon dioxide abatement in China," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 23(3), pages 552-565.
    13. Asadoorian, Malcolm O. & Eckaus, Richard S. & Schlosser, C. Adam, 2008. "Modeling climate feedbacks to electricity demand: The case of China," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 30(4), pages 1577-1602, July.
    14. Du, Limin & Wei, Chu & Cai, Shenghua, 2012. "Economic development and carbon dioxide emissions in China: Provincial panel data analysis," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 23(2), pages 371-384.
    15. Yoo, S.-H., 2006. "The causal relationship between electricity consumption and economic growth in the ASEAN countries," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 34(18), pages 3573-3582, December.
    16. repec:dau:papers:123456789/8180 is not listed on IDEAS
    17. Li, Jianglong & Lin, Boqiang, 2016. "Inter-factor/inter-fuel substitution, carbon intensity, and energy-related CO2 reduction: Empirical evidence from China," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 56(C), pages 483-494.
    18. Moral-Carcedo, Julian & Vicens-Otero, Jose, 2005. "Modelling the non-linear response of Spanish electricity demand to temperature variations," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 27(3), pages 477-494, May.
    19. Li, Ke & Lin, Boqiang, 2015. "Impacts of urbanization and industrialization on energy consumption/CO2 emissions: Does the level of development matter?," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 52(C), pages 1107-1122.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Shahbaz, Muhammad & Shafiullah, Muhammad & Khalid, Usman & Song, Malin, 2020. "A nonparametric analysis of energy environmental Kuznets Curve in Chinese Provinces," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 89(C).
    2. Qin, Pengcheng & Xu, Hongmei & Liu, Min & Xiao, Chan & Forrest, Kate E. & Samuelsen, Scott & Tarroja, Brian, 2020. "Assessing concurrent effects of climate change on hydropower supply, electricity demand, and greenhouse gas emissions in the Upper Yangtze River Basin of China," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 279(C).
    3. Zhang, Chi & Su, Bin & Zhou, Kaile & Sun, Yuan, 2020. "A multi-dimensional analysis on microeconomic factors of China's industrial energy intensity (2000–2017)," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 147(C).
    4. Fahmida Laghari & Farhan Ahmed & Hai-Xia Li & Štefan Bojnec, 2023. "Decoupling of Electricity Consumption Efficiency, Environmental Degradation and Economic Growth: An Empirical Analysis," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(6), pages 1-21, March.
    5. Hao, Yu & Zhang, Tianli & Jing, Leijie & Xiao, Linqi, 2019. "Would the decoupling of electricity occur along with economic growth? Empirical evidence from the panel data analysis for 100 Chinese cities," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 180(C), pages 615-625.
    6. Bakirtas, Tahsin & Akpolat, Ahmet Gokce, 2018. "The relationship between energy consumption, urbanization, and economic growth in new emerging-market countries," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 147(C), pages 110-121.
    7. Li, Ke & Yuan, Weihong, 2021. "The nexus between industrial growth and electricity consumption in China – New evidence from a quantile-on-quantile approach," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 231(C).
    8. Liu, Xiaorui & Sun, Tao & Feng, Qiang & Zhang, Di, 2020. "Dynamic nonlinear influence of urbanization on China’s electricity consumption: Evidence from dynamic economic growth threshold effect," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 196(C).
    9. Navas, R Kaja Bantha & Prakash, S & Sasipraba, T, 2020. "Artificial Neural Network based computing model for wind speed prediction: A case study of Coimbatore, Tamil Nadu, India," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 542(C).
    10. Stevanović, Mirjana & Vujičić, Slađana & Gajić, Aleksandar M., 2018. "Gross domestic product estimation based on electricity utilization by artificial neural network," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 489(C), pages 28-31.
    11. Lin, Boqiang & Raza, Muhammad Yousaf, 2021. "Analysis of electricity consumption in Pakistan using index decomposition and decoupling approach," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 214(C).
    12. Lin, Jiang & Xu Liu, & Gang He,, 2020. "Regional electricity demand and economic transition in China," Utilities Policy, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
    13. Zhang, Jinjun & Abbasi, Kashif Raza & Hussain, Khadim & Akram, Sabahat & Alvarado, Rafael & Almulhim, Abdulaziz I., 2022. "Another perspective towards energy consumption factors in Pakistan: Fresh policy insights from novel methodological framework," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 249(C).
    14. Abbasi, Kashif Raza & Shahbaz, Muhammad & Jiao, Zhilun & Tufail, Muhammad, 2021. "How energy consumption, industrial growth, urbanization, and CO2 emissions affect economic growth in Pakistan? A novel dynamic ARDL simulations approach," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 221(C).
    15. Fang, Debin & Hao, Peng & Hao, Jian, 2019. "Study of the influence mechanism of China's electricity consumption based on multi-period ST-LMDI model," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 170(C), pages 730-743.
    16. Shengnan Xing & Jindian Lu & Chengmei Zhang & Shuang Sun, 2019. "Does line loss broaden the deviation between the added value of industry and the industrial electricity consumption in China?," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 21(4), pages 1635-1648, August.
    17. Kourtzidis, Stavros A. & Tzeremes, Panayiotis & Tzeremes, Nickolaos G., 2018. "Re-evaluating the energy consumption-economic growth nexus for the United States: An asymmetric threshold cointegration analysis," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 148(C), pages 537-545.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Shengnan Xing & Jindian Lu & Chengmei Zhang & Shuang Sun, 2019. "Does line loss broaden the deviation between the added value of industry and the industrial electricity consumption in China?," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 21(4), pages 1635-1648, August.
    2. Dong, Xiao-Ying & Hao, Yu, 2018. "Would income inequality affect electricity consumption? Evidence from China," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 142(C), pages 215-227.
    3. Solarin, Sakiru Adebola & Shahbaz, Muhammad, 2013. "Trivariate causality between economic growth, urbanisation and electricity consumption in Angola: Cointegration and causality analysis," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 60(C), pages 876-884.
    4. Chen, Ping-Yu & Chen, Sheng-Tung & Chen, Chi-Chung, 2012. "Energy consumption and economic growth—New evidence from meta analysis," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 44(C), pages 245-255.
    5. Kyophilavong, Phouphet & Shahbaz, Muhammad & Kim, Byoungki & OH, Jeong-Soo, 2017. "A note on the electricity-growth nexus in Lao PDR," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 77(C), pages 1251-1260.
    6. Khan, Muhammad Arshad & Abbas, Faisal, 2016. "The dynamics of electricity demand in Pakistan: A panel cointegration analysis," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 65(C), pages 1159-1178.
    7. Do, Linh Phuong Catherine & Lin, Kuan-Heng & Molnár, Peter, 2016. "Electricity consumption modelling: A case of Germany," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 55(C), pages 92-101.
    8. Dakpogan, Arnaud & Smit, Eon, 2018. "The effect of electricity losses on GDP in Benin," MPRA Paper 89545, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    9. Abbasi, Kashif Raza & Abbas, Jaffar & Tufail, Muhammad, 2021. "Revisiting electricity consumption, price, and real GDP: A modified sectoral level analysis from Pakistan," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 149(C).
    10. Shahbaz, Muhammad & Tang, Chor Foon & Shahbaz Shabbir, Muhammad, 2011. "Electricity consumption and economic growth nexus in Portugal using cointegration and causality approaches," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 39(6), pages 3529-3536, June.
    11. Li, Jianglong & Yang, Lisha & Long, Houyin, 2018. "Climatic impacts on energy consumption: Intensive and extensive margins," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 71(C), pages 332-343.
    12. Tang, Chor Foon & Shahbaz, Muhammad, 2011. "Revisiting the Electricity Consumption-Growth Nexus for Portugal: Evidence from a Multivariate Framework Analysis," MPRA Paper 28393, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    13. Al-Mulali, Usama & Ozturk, Ilhan, 2014. "Are energy conservation policies effective without harming economic growth in the Gulf Cooperation Council countries?," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 38(C), pages 639-650.
    14. Salmanzadeh-Meydani, N. & Fatemi Ghomi, S.M.T., 2019. "The causal relationship among electricity consumption, economic growth and capital stock in Iran," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 41(6), pages 1230-1256.
    15. Shahateet, Mohammed Issa & Al-Majali, Khalid Ali & Al-Hahabashneh, Fedel, 2014. "Causality and Cointegration between Economic Growth and Energy Consumption: Econometric Evidence from Jordan," MPRA Paper 59067, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised Oct 2014.
    16. Tang, Chor Foon, 2008. "A re-examination of the relationship between electricity consumption and economic growth in Malaysia," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 36(8), pages 3067-3075, August.
    17. Hamdi, Helmi & Sbia, Rashid & Shahbaz, Muhammad, 2014. "The nexus between electricity consumption and economic growth in Bahrain," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 38(C), pages 227-237.
    18. Zeshan, Muhammad, 2012. "Finding the Optimal Way of Electricity Production in Pakistan," MPRA Paper 38485, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 01 May 2012.
    19. Sofien, Tiba & Omri, Anis, 2016. "Literature survey on the relationships between energy variables, environment and economic growth," MPRA Paper 82555, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 14 Sep 2016.
    20. Shahbaz, Muhammad & Mutascu, Mihai & Tiwari, Aviral Kumar, 2012. "Revisiting the Relationship between Electricity Consumption, Capital and Economic Growth: Cointegration and Causality Analysis in Romania," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(3), pages 97-120, September.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:energy:v:128:y:2017:i:c:p:601-608. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.journals.elsevier.com/energy .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.