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The effect of ethanol listing on corn prices: Evidence from spot and futures markets

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  • Demirer, Rıza
  • Kutan, Ali M.
  • Shen, Fanglin

Abstract

The use of corn for ethanol has been the topic of heated discussions in the media and among policy makers. As part of this debate, some observers have argued that the use of corn in the production of ethanol has had adverse effects on corn prices. This paper contributes to this reviving debate by examining the impact of the listing of ethanol futures in the Chicago Board of Trade on the spot and futures prices for corn. We find a significant listing effect, indicating that the listing of ethanol has had a positive contribution to both price and volatility in the corn market, especially in the spot and the shorter maturity futures contracts, and mostly through its interaction with trading volume in the corn market. We discuss the policy implications of the findings for investors and its relevance for the ongoing debate on US energy policy. We conclude with some suggestions for future research.

Suggested Citation

  • Demirer, Rıza & Kutan, Ali M. & Shen, Fanglin, 2012. "The effect of ethanol listing on corn prices: Evidence from spot and futures markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 34(5), pages 1400-1406.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:eneeco:v:34:y:2012:i:5:p:1400-1406
    DOI: 10.1016/j.eneco.2012.06.018
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    Cited by:

    1. Jorge Antunes & Luis Alberiko Gil-Alana & Rossana Riccardi & Yong Tan & Peter Wanke, 2022. "Unveiling endogeneity and temporal dependence in energy prices and demand in Iberian countries: a stochastic hidden Markov model approach," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 313(1), pages 191-229, June.
    2. Natanelov, Valeri & McKenzie, Andrew M. & Van Huylenbroeck, Guido, 2013. "Crude oil–corn–ethanol – nexus: A contextual approach," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 63(C), pages 504-513.
    3. Han, Liyan & Jin, Jiayu & Wu, Lei & Zeng, Hongchao, 2020. "The volatility linkage between energy and agricultural futures markets with external shocks," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 68(C).
    4. Chang, Chia-Lin & Chen, Li-Hsueh & Hammoudeh, Shawkat & McAleer, Michael, 2012. "Asymmetric adjustments in the ethanol and grains markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 34(6), pages 1990-2002.
    5. Bilgili, Faik & Kocak, Emrah & Kuskaya, Sevda & Bulut, Umit, 2022. "Co-movements and causalities between ethanol production and corn prices in the USA: New evidence from wavelet transform analysis," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 259(C).
    6. Cobuloglu, Halil I. & Büyüktahtakın, İ. Esra, 2015. "Food vs. biofuel: An optimization approach to the spatio-temporal analysis of land-use competition and environmental impacts," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 140(C), pages 418-434.
    7. Serra, Teresa & Zilberman, David, 2013. "Biofuel-related price transmission literature: A review," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 37(C), pages 141-151.
    8. Héctor Fernando Villatoro Flores & Takaaki Furubayashi & Toshihiko Nakata, 2016. "Analysis of Trade-offs Between First-generation Biofuels and Food Production for Japan Using CGE Modelling," International Journal of Economic Policy Studies, Springer, vol. 11(1), pages 1-24, January.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Listing effect; Ethanol listing; Corn futures; Energy policy;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G1 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets
    • Q4 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Energy

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