IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/ejores/v315y2024i3p1021-1037.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Constructing decision rules for multiproduct newsvendors: An integrated estimation-and-optimization framework

Author

Listed:
  • Olivares-Nadal, Alba V.

Abstract

In this paper, we develop an integrated estimation-and-optimization framework for constructing decisions rules for the order quantities of multiple perishable products. The framework accounts for substitution in case of scarcity by providing models incorporating substitution rates, received as input. Specifically, it builds decision rules minimizing the empirical risk and accommodates multiple classes of functions, including those leveraging exogenous features. We provide a continuous reformulation of the empirical risk minimization problem that is quadratic in the decision rules. In addition, we show how to incorporate information from in-sample optimal decisions to derive a linear approximation to it. The dual of this approximation allows us to estimate decision rules that exploit nonlinearities and interactions of features. The numerical results on real and simulated datasets suggest that decision rules computed within the proposed integrated framework have the potential to outperform separated estimation and optimization methods. In particular, larger improvements are obtained under low service levels requirements or high volatility of the demands. Furthermore, we empirically observe that information provided by exogenous features may be particularly significant in the presence of large fluctuations of the demand.

Suggested Citation

  • Olivares-Nadal, Alba V., 2024. "Constructing decision rules for multiproduct newsvendors: An integrated estimation-and-optimization framework," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 315(3), pages 1021-1037.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:ejores:v:315:y:2024:i:3:p:1021-1037
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ejor.2024.01.014
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S037722172400033X
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.ejor.2024.01.014?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Ravi Anupindi & Maqbool Dada & Sachin Gupta, 1998. "Estimation of Consumer Demand with Stock-Out Based Substitution: An Application to Vending Machine Products," Marketing Science, INFORMS, vol. 17(4), pages 406-423.
    2. Hau L. Lee & Kut C. So & Christopher S. Tang, 2000. "The Value of Information Sharing in a Two-Level Supply Chain," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 46(5), pages 626-643, May.
    3. Yang, Cheng-Hu & Wang, Hai-Tang & Ma, Xin & Talluri, Srinivas, 2023. "A data-driven newsvendor problem: A high-dimensional and mixed-frequency method," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 266(C).
    4. Beutel, Anna-Lena & Minner, Stefan, 2012. "Safety stock planning under causal demand forecasting," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 140(2), pages 637-645.
    5. Anna-Lena Sachs, 2015. "The Data-Driven Newsvendor with Censored Demand Observations," Lecture Notes in Economics and Mathematical Systems, in: Retail Analytics, edition 127, chapter 0, pages 35-56, Springer.
    6. Retsef Levi & Georgia Perakis & Joline Uichanco, 2015. "The Data-Driven Newsvendor Problem: New Bounds and Insights," Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 63(6), pages 1294-1306, December.
    7. Huber, Jakob & Müller, Sebastian & Fleischmann, Moritz & Stuckenschmidt, Heiner, 2019. "A data-driven newsvendor problem: From data to decision," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 278(3), pages 904-915.
    8. Serguei Netessine & Nils Rudi, 2003. "Centralized and Competitive Inventory Models with Demand Substitution," Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 51(2), pages 329-335, April.
    9. Stephen C. Graves, 1999. "Addendum to "A Single-Item Inventory Model for a Nonstationary Demand Process"," Manufacturing & Service Operations Management, INFORMS, vol. 1(2), pages 174-174.
    10. Amr Farahat & Joonkyum Lee, 2018. "The Multiproduct Newsvendor Problem with Customer Choice," Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 66(1), pages 123-136, January.
    11. Meng Qi & Yuanyuan Shi & Yongzhi Qi & Chenxin Ma & Rong Yuan & Di Wu & Zuo-Jun (Max) Shen, 2023. "A Practical End-to-End Inventory Management Model with Deep Learning," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 69(2), pages 759-773, February.
    12. Abdel-Malek, Layek L. & Areeratchakul, Nathapol, 2007. "A quadratic programming approach to the multi-product newsvendor problem with side constraints," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 176(3), pages 1607-1619, February.
    13. Meng Qi & Ho‐Yin Mak & Zuo‐Jun Max Shen, 2020. "Data‐driven research in retail operations—A review," Naval Research Logistics (NRL), John Wiley & Sons, vol. 67(8), pages 595-616, December.
    14. Gah-Yi Ban & Cynthia Rudin, 2019. "The Big Data Newsvendor: Practical Insights from Machine Learning," Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 67(1), pages 90-108, January.
    15. Liu, Congzheng & Letchford, Adam N. & Svetunkov, Ivan, 2022. "Newsvendor problems: An integrated method for estimation and optimisation," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 300(2), pages 590-601.
    16. Gustavo Vulcano & Garrett van Ryzin & Richard Ratliff, 2012. "Estimating Primary Demand for Substitutable Products from Sales Transaction Data," Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 60(2), pages 313-334, April.
    17. Özler, Aysun & Tan, BarIs & Karaesmen, Fikri, 2009. "Multi-product newsvendor problem with value-at-risk considerations," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 117(2), pages 244-255, February.
    18. van der Laan, Niels & Teunter, Ruud H. & Romeijnders, Ward & Kilic, Onur A., 2022. "The data-driven newsvendor problem: Achieving on-target service-levels using distributionally robust chance-constrained optimization," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 249(C).
    19. Jie Zhang & Weijun Xie & Subhash C. Sarin, 2021. "Multiproduct Newsvendor Problem with Customer-Driven Demand Substitution: A Stochastic Integer Program Perspective," INFORMS Journal on Computing, INFORMS, vol. 33(3), pages 1229-1244, July.
    20. A. Gürhan Kök & Marshall L. Fisher, 2007. "Demand Estimation and Assortment Optimization Under Substitution: Methodology and Application," Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 55(6), pages 1001-1021, December.
    21. Dimitris Bertsimas & Nathan Kallus, 2020. "From Predictive to Prescriptive Analytics," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 66(3), pages 1025-1044, March.
    22. Stephen C. Graves, 1999. "A Single-Item Inventory Model for a Nonstationary Demand Process," Manufacturing & Service Operations Management, INFORMS, vol. 1(1), pages 50-61.
    23. Retsef Levi & Robin O. Roundy & David B. Shmoys, 2007. "Provably Near-Optimal Sampling-Based Policies for Stochastic Inventory Control Models," Mathematics of Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 32(4), pages 821-839, November.
    24. Zhang, Bin, 2012. "Multi-tier binary solution method for multi-product newsvendor problem with multiple constraints," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 218(2), pages 426-434.
    25. Choi, Sungyong & Ruszczynski, Andrzej, 2011. "A multi-product risk-averse newsvendor with exponential utility function," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 214(1), pages 78-84, October.
    26. Pirayesh Neghab, Davood & Khayyati, Siamak & Karaesmen, Fikri, 2022. "An integrated data-driven method using deep learning for a newsvendor problem with unobservable features," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 302(2), pages 482-496.
    27. Sungyong Choi & Andrzej Ruszczyński & Yao Zhao, 2011. "A Multiproduct Risk-Averse Newsvendor with Law-Invariant Coherent Measures of Risk," Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 59(2), pages 346-364, April.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Erkip, Nesim Kohen, 2023. "Can accessing much data reshape the theory? Inventory theory under the challenge of data-driven systems," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 308(3), pages 949-959.
    2. Yang, Cheng-Hu & Wang, Hai-Tang & Ma, Xin & Talluri, Srinivas, 2023. "A data-driven newsvendor problem: A high-dimensional and mixed-frequency method," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 266(C).
    3. Thais de Castro Moraes & Jiancheng Qin & Xue-Ming Yuan & Ek Peng Chew, 2023. "Evolving Hybrid Deep Neural Network Models for End-to-End Inventory Ordering Decisions," Logistics, MDPI, vol. 7(4), pages 1-18, November.
    4. Tian, Yu-Xin & Zhang, Chuan, 2023. "An end-to-end deep learning model for solving data-driven newsvendor problem with accessibility to textual review data," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 265(C).
    5. Boxiao Chen & Xiuli Chao, 2020. "Dynamic Inventory Control with Stockout Substitution and Demand Learning," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 66(11), pages 5108-5127, November.
    6. Gah-Yi Ban, 2020. "Confidence Intervals for Data-Driven Inventory Policies with Demand Censoring," Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 68(2), pages 309-326, March.
    7. Zhen-Yu Chen & Zhi-Ping Fan & Minghe Sun, 2023. "Machine Learning Methods for Data-Driven Demand Estimation and Assortment Planning Considering Cross-Selling and Substitutions," INFORMS Journal on Computing, INFORMS, vol. 35(1), pages 158-177, January.
    8. Ren, Ke & Bidkhori, Hoda & Shen, Zuo-Jun Max, 2024. "Data-driven inventory policy: Learning from sequentially observed non-stationary data," Omega, Elsevier, vol. 123(C).
    9. Felix Wick & Ulrich Kerzel & Martin Hahn & Moritz Wolf & Trapti Singhal & Daniel Stemmer & Jakob Ernst & Michael Feindt, 2021. "Demand Forecasting of Individual Probability Density Functions with Machine Learning," SN Operations Research Forum, Springer, vol. 2(3), pages 1-39, September.
    10. Meng Qi & Ying Cao & Zuo-Jun (Max) Shen, 2022. "Distributionally Robust Conditional Quantile Prediction with Fixed Design," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 68(3), pages 1639-1658, March.
    11. Liu, Congzheng & Letchford, Adam N. & Svetunkov, Ivan, 2022. "Newsvendor problems: An integrated method for estimation and optimisation," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 300(2), pages 590-601.
    12. Pirayesh Neghab, Davood & Khayyati, Siamak & Karaesmen, Fikri, 2022. "An integrated data-driven method using deep learning for a newsvendor problem with unobservable features," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 302(2), pages 482-496.
    13. Wan, Mingchao & Huang, Yihui & Zhao, Lei & Deng, Tianhu & Fransoo, Jan C., 2018. "Demand estimation under multi-store multi-product substitution in high density traditional retail," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 266(1), pages 99-111.
    14. Liu, Congzheng & Zhu, Wenqi, 2024. "Newsvendor conditional value-at-risk minimisation: A feature-based approach under adaptive data selection," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 313(2), pages 548-564.
    15. Shaochong Lin & Youhua (Frank) Chen & Yanzhi Li & Zuo‐Jun Max Shen, 2022. "Data‐Driven Newsvendor Problems Regularized by a Profit Risk Constraint," Production and Operations Management, Production and Operations Management Society, vol. 31(4), pages 1630-1644, April.
    16. Lee, Yun Shin, 2014. "A semi-parametric approach for estimating critical fractiles under autocorrelated demand," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 234(1), pages 163-173.
    17. Ma, Yungao & Wang, Nengmin & He, Zhengwen & Lu, Jizhou & Liang, Huigang, 2015. "Analysis of the bullwhip effect in two parallel supply chains with interacting price-sensitive demands," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 243(3), pages 815-825.
    18. Trapero, Juan R. & Cardós, Manuel & Kourentzes, Nikolaos, 2019. "Empirical safety stock estimation based on kernel and GARCH models," Omega, Elsevier, vol. 84(C), pages 199-211.
    19. Corredera, Alberto & Ruiz, Carlos, 2023. "Prescriptive selection of machine learning hyperparameters with applications in power markets: Retailer’s optimal trading," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 306(1), pages 370-388.
    20. Li Chen & Erica L. Plambeck, 2008. "Dynamic Inventory Management with Learning About the Demand Distribution and Substitution Probability," Manufacturing & Service Operations Management, INFORMS, vol. 10(2), pages 236-256, May.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:ejores:v:315:y:2024:i:3:p:1021-1037. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/eor .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.