IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/ecomod/v486y2023ics0304380023002466.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Parameter-varying partial differential equation to model the global change impacts on wildlife populations

Author

Listed:
  • Chhaytle, Mohamad
  • Ouvrard, Régis
  • Poinot, Thierry
  • Mouysset, Lauriane

Abstract

Accurate models of wildlife population dynamics are needed to assess the causes of global biodiversity decline. In this paper, new parameter-varying PDE models are proposed with an original methodology for parametric estimation from ecological data. The model structure makes it possible to introduce the environmental heterogeneity which can characterize global changes. Particular attention was paid to the implementation of the identification procedure: true parametric sensitivity functions in the optimization algorithm, a Galerkin method with a proper orthogonal decomposition for the PDE solution and a pre-estimate to initialize the iterative procedure. The tools are validated on simulation data and then applied to a real application modelling the impact of climate change and agricultural intensification on the population of a passerine bird.

Suggested Citation

  • Chhaytle, Mohamad & Ouvrard, Régis & Poinot, Thierry & Mouysset, Lauriane, 2023. "Parameter-varying partial differential equation to model the global change impacts on wildlife populations," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 486(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:ecomod:v:486:y:2023:i:c:s0304380023002466
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2023.110516
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0304380023002466
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2023.110516?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Melo-Merino, Sara M. & Reyes-Bonilla, Héctor & Lira-Noriega, Andrés, 2020. "Ecological niche models and species distribution models in marine environments: A literature review and spatial analysis of evidence," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 415(C).
    2. Mouysset, L. & Rais Assa, C. & Ay, J-S. & Jiguet, F. & Lorrilière, R. & Doyen, L., 2019. "Bioeconomic impacts of agroforestry policies in France," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 85(C), pages 239-248.
    3. Tiphaine Guillet & Lauriane Mouysset, 2022. "Productive versus environmental objectives of agricultural policies dealing with climate change: a French case study," Post-Print hal-03919917, HAL.
    4. Mouysset, L., 2014. "Agricultural public policy: Green or sustainable?," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 102(C), pages 15-23.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Louhichi, Kamel & Ciaian, Pavel & Espinosa, Maria & Colen, Liesbeth & Perni, Angel & Paloma, Sergio, 2015. "The Impact of Crop Diversification Measure: EU-wide Evidence Based on IFM-CAP Model," 2015 Conference, August 9-14, 2015, Milan, Italy 211542, International Association of Agricultural Economists.
    2. Louhichi, Kamel & Ciaian, Pavel & Espinosa, Maria & Colen, Liesbeth & Perni, Angel & Gomez y Paloma, Sergio, 2015. "EU-wide individual Farm Model for CAP Analysis (IFM-CAP): Application to Crop Diversification Policy," 2015 Conference, August 9-14, 2015, Milan, Italy 212155, International Association of Agricultural Economists.
    3. Vincent Bian & Merrick Cai & Christopher L. Follett, 2023. "Understanding opposing predictions of Prochlorococcus in a changing climate," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 14(1), pages 1-10, December.
    4. Cocco, Valentin & Kervinio, Yann & Mouysset, Lauriane, 2023. "Relaxing the production-conservation trade-off: Biodiversity spillover in the bioeconomic performance of ecological networks," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 214(C).
    5. Curtis Champion & James R. Lawson & Joanna Pardoe & Derrick O. Cruz & Ashley M. Fowler & Fabrice Jaine & Hayden T. Schilling & Melinda A. Coleman, 2023. "Multi-criteria analysis for rapid vulnerability assessment of marine species to climate change," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 176(8), pages 1-20, August.
    6. Yan Yu & Ya Wu & Pan Wang & Yili Zhang & Liang Emlyn Yang & Xian Cheng & Jianzhong Yan, 2021. "Grassland Subsidies Increase the Number of Livestock on the Tibetan Plateau: Why Does the “Payment for Ecosystem Services” Policy Have the Opposite Outcome?," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(11), pages 1-20, May.
    7. Marianna V. P. Simões & Hanieh Saeedi & Marlon E. Cobos & Angelika Brandt, 2021. "Environmental matching reveals non-uniform range-shift patterns in benthic marine Crustacea," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 168(3), pages 1-20, October.
    8. Yanis Elalamy & Luc Doyen & Lauriane Mouysset, 2019. "Contribution of the land use allocation model for agroecosystems: The case of Torrecchia Vecchia," Post-Print hal-03143304, HAL.
    9. Alda Miftari, 2019. "Sustainability of water use in agriculture. Southern European farmers participation and social impact," Academicus International Scientific Journal, Entrepreneurship Training Center Albania, issue 19, pages 131-145, March.
    10. Muhammad Abdul Hakim Muhamad & Rozaimi Che Hasan & Najhan Md Said & Jillian Lean-Sim Ooi, 2021. "Seagrass habitat suitability model for Redang Marine Park using multibeam echosounder data: Testing different spatial resolutions and analysis window sizes," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 16(9), pages 1-26, September.
    11. Brown, Christian H. & Griscom, Heather P., 2022. "Differentiating between distribution and suitable habitat in ecological niche models: A red spruce (Picea rubens) case study," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 472(C).
    12. Rotllan-Puig, Xavier & Traveset, Anna, 2021. "Determining the minimal background area for species distribution models: MinBAR package," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 439(C).
    13. Aldo Alan Cuadras-Berrelleza & Héctor José Peinado-Guevara & Esteban Otoniel Moreno-López & Lizbeth Beltrán-Lúgo & Víctor Manuel Peinado-Guevara, 2024. "Perception of Public Policies and Sustainability among Agricultural Producers in the Municipality of Guasave," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 16(7), pages 1-17, March.
    14. Mouysset, L. & Rais Assa, C. & Ay, J-S. & Jiguet, F. & Lorrilière, R. & Doyen, L., 2019. "Bioeconomic impacts of agroforestry policies in France," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 85(C), pages 239-248.
    15. Simboli, Alberto & Taddeo, Raffaella & Morgante, Anna, 2015. "The potential of Industrial Ecology in agri-food clusters (AFCs): A case study based on valorisation of auxiliary materials," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 111(C), pages 65-75.
    16. John Elliott & Sophie Tindale & Samantha Outhwaite & Fiona Nicholson & Paul Newell-Price & Novieta H. Sari & Erik Hunter & Pedro Sánchez-Zamora & Shan Jin & Rosa Gallardo-Cobos & Simona Miškolci & Lyn, 2024. "European Permanent Grasslands: A Systematic Review of Economic Drivers of Change, Including a Detailed Analysis of the Czech Republic, Spain, Sweden, and UK," Land, MDPI, vol. 13(1), pages 1-19, January.
    17. Louhichi, Kamel & Ciaian, Pavel & Espinosa, Maria & Colen, Liesbeth & Perni, Angel & Gomez y Paloma, Sergio, 2015. "Farm-level economic impacts of EU-CAP greening measures," 2015 AAEA & WAEA Joint Annual Meeting, July 26-28, San Francisco, California 205309, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    18. Koffi M. Adji & Aklesso Y. G. Egbendewe & Boris O. K. Lokonon, 2022. "Potential impacts of sustainable agricultural practices on smallholders' behavior in developing countries: Evidence from Togo," Natural Resources Forum, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 46(1), pages 73-87, February.
    19. Rodrigues, Lucas dos Santos & Daudt, Nicholas Winterle & Cardoso, Luis Gustavo & Kinas, Paul Gerhard & Conesa, David & Pennino, Maria Grazia, 2023. "Species distribution modelling in the Southwestern Atlantic Ocean: A systematic review and trends," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 486(C).
    20. Markova-Nenova, Nonka & Wätzold, Frank & Sturm, Astrid, 2020. "Distributional Impacts of Cost-effective Spatially Homogeneous and Regionalized Agri-Environment Payments. A case study of a Grassland Scheme in Saxony, Germany," MPRA Paper 104759, University Library of Munich, Germany.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:ecomod:v:486:y:2023:i:c:s0304380023002466. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.journals.elsevier.com/ecological-modelling .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.