IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/csdana/v51y2007i8p3871-3884.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Forecasting nonlinear time series with neural network sieve bootstrap

Author

Listed:
  • Giordano, Francesco
  • La Rocca, Michele
  • Perna, Cira

Abstract

No abstract is available for this item.

Suggested Citation

  • Giordano, Francesco & La Rocca, Michele & Perna, Cira, 2007. "Forecasting nonlinear time series with neural network sieve bootstrap," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 51(8), pages 3871-3884, May.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:csdana:v:51:y:2007:i:8:p:3871-3884
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0167-9473(06)00074-0
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only.
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. La Rocca, Michele & Perna, Cira, 2005. "Variable selection in neural network regression models with dependent data: a subsampling approach," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 48(2), pages 415-429, February.
    2. Capobianco, Enrico, 2000. "Neural networks and statistical inference: seeking robust and efficient learning," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 32(3-4), pages 443-454, January.
    3. Winker, Peter & Gilli, Manfred, 2004. "Applications of optimization heuristics to estimation and modelling problems," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 47(2), pages 211-223, September.
    4. Brodin, Erik, 2006. "On quantile estimation by bootstrap," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 50(6), pages 1398-1406, March.
    5. Diebold, Francis X & Gunther, Todd A & Tay, Anthony S, 1998. "Evaluating Density Forecasts with Applications to Financial Risk Management," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 39(4), pages 863-883, November.
    6. Pascual, Lorenzo & Romo, Juan & Ruiz, Esther, 2006. "Bootstrap prediction for returns and volatilities in GARCH models," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 50(9), pages 2293-2312, May.
    7. Nankervis, John C., 2005. "Computational algorithms for double bootstrap confidence intervals," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 49(2), pages 461-475, April.
    8. Grigoletto, Matteo, 1998. "Bootstrap prediction intervals for autoregressions: some alternatives," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 14(4), pages 447-456, December.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Ivan Letteri & Giuseppe Della Penna & Giovanni De Gasperis & Abeer Dyoub, 2022. "A Stock Trading System for a Medium Volatile Asset using Multi Layer Perceptron," Papers 2201.12286, arXiv.org.
    2. Alonso, Andres M. & Sipols, Ana E., 2008. "A time series bootstrap procedure for interpolation intervals," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 52(4), pages 1792-1805, January.
    3. Vilar, J.A. & Alonso, A.M. & Vilar, J.M., 2010. "Non-linear time series clustering based on non-parametric forecast densities," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 54(11), pages 2850-2865, November.
    4. Fuertes, Ana-Maria, 2008. "Sieve bootstrap t-tests on long-run average parameters," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 52(7), pages 3354-3370, March.
    5. Xie, Yuying & Li, Chaoshun & Tang, Geng & Liu, Fangjie, 2021. "A novel deep interval prediction model with adaptive interval construction strategy and automatic hyperparameter tuning for wind speed forecasting," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 216(C).
    6. Oscar Claveria & Enric Monte & Salvador Torra, 2016. "Modelling cross-dependencies between Spain’s regional tourism markets with an extension of the Gaussian process regression model," SERIEs: Journal of the Spanish Economic Association, Springer;Spanish Economic Association, vol. 7(3), pages 341-357, August.
    7. Artemisa Zaragoza-Ibarra & Gerardo G. Alfaro-Calderón & Víctor G. Alfaro-García & Fernando Ornelas-Tellez & Rodrigo Gómez-Monge, 2021. "A machine learning model of national competitiveness with regional statistics of public expenditure," Computational and Mathematical Organization Theory, Springer, vol. 27(4), pages 451-468, December.
    8. Tsao, Hao-Han & Leu, Yih-Guang & Chou, Li-Fen, 2021. "A center-of-concentrated-based prediction interval for wind power forecasting," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 237(C).
    9. Catalina Lucia COCIANU & Hakob GRIGORYAN, 2015. "An Artificial Neural Network for Data Forecasting Purposes," Informatica Economica, Academy of Economic Studies - Bucharest, Romania, vol. 19(2), pages 34-45.
    10. Dimitris N. Politis & Kejin Wu, 2023. "Multi-Step-Ahead Prediction Intervals for Nonparametric Autoregressions via Bootstrap: Consistency, Debiasing, and Pertinence," Stats, MDPI, vol. 6(3), pages 1-29, August.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Gonçalves Mazzeu, Joao Henrique & González-Rivera, Gloria & Ruiz Ortega, Esther & Veiga, Helena, 2016. "A Bootstrap Approach for Generalized Autocontour Testing," DES - Working Papers. Statistics and Econometrics. WS 23457, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid. Departamento de Estadística.
    2. Leopoldo Catania & Nima Nonejad, 2016. "Density Forecasts and the Leverage Effect: Some Evidence from Observation and Parameter-Driven Volatility Models," Papers 1605.00230, arXiv.org, revised Nov 2016.
    3. Jan G. De Gooijer & Rob J. Hyndman, 2005. "25 Years of IIF Time Series Forecasting: A Selective Review," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers 12/05, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics.
    4. João Henrique G. Mazzeu & Gloria González-Rivera & Esther Ruiz & Helena Veiga, 2020. "A bootstrap approach for generalized Autocontour testing Implications for VIX forecast densities," Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 39(10), pages 971-990, November.
    5. Clements, Michael P. & Kim, Jae H., 2007. "Bootstrap prediction intervals for autoregressive time series," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 51(7), pages 3580-3594, April.
    6. De Gooijer, Jan G. & Hyndman, Rob J., 2006. "25 years of time series forecasting," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 22(3), pages 443-473.
    7. Felix Wick & Ulrich Kerzel & Martin Hahn & Moritz Wolf & Trapti Singhal & Daniel Stemmer & Jakob Ernst & Michael Feindt, 2021. "Demand Forecasting of Individual Probability Density Functions with Machine Learning," SN Operations Research Forum, Springer, vol. 2(3), pages 1-39, September.
    8. Jooyoung Jeon & James W. Taylor, 2012. "Using Conditional Kernel Density Estimation for Wind Power Density Forecasting," Journal of the American Statistical Association, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 107(497), pages 66-79, March.
    9. Hendry, David F. & Clements, Michael P., 2003. "Economic forecasting: some lessons from recent research," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 20(2), pages 301-329, March.
    10. González-Rivera, Gloria & Sun, Yingying, 2017. "Density forecast evaluation in unstable environments," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 33(2), pages 416-432.
    11. Wolfgang Polasek, 2013. "Forecast Evaluations for Multiple Time Series: A Generalized Theil Decomposition," Working Paper series 23_13, Rimini Centre for Economic Analysis.
    12. Philippe Goulet Coulombe & Maxime Leroux & Dalibor Stevanovic & Stéphane Surprenant, 2022. "How is machine learning useful for macroeconomic forecasting?," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 37(5), pages 920-964, August.
    13. Corradi, Valentina & Swanson, Norman R., 2004. "A test for the distributional comparison of simulated and historical data," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 85(2), pages 185-193, November.
    14. Blueschke-Nikolaeva, V. & Blueschke, D. & Neck, R., 2012. "Optimal control of nonlinear dynamic econometric models: An algorithm and an application," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 56(11), pages 3230-3240.
    15. Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Stephen M. Miller, 2015. "The out-of-sample forecasting performance of nonlinear models of regional housing prices in the US," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 47(22), pages 2259-2277, May.
    16. Ayoub Ammy-Driss & Matthieu Garcin, 2021. "Efficiency of the financial markets during the COVID-19 crisis: time-varying parameters of fractional stable dynamics," Working Papers hal-02903655, HAL.
    17. Lafond, François & Bailey, Aimee Gotway & Bakker, Jan David & Rebois, Dylan & Zadourian, Rubina & McSharry, Patrick & Farmer, J. Doyne, 2018. "How well do experience curves predict technological progress? A method for making distributional forecasts," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 128(C), pages 104-117.
    18. Allen, David & Lazarov, Zdravetz & McAleer, Michael & Peiris, Shelton, 2009. "Comparison of alternative ACD models via density and interval forecasts: Evidence from the Australian stock market," Mathematics and Computers in Simulation (MATCOM), Elsevier, vol. 79(8), pages 2535-2555.
    19. Fernandes, Marcelo & Grammig, Joachim, 2005. "Nonparametric specification tests for conditional duration models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 127(1), pages 35-68, July.
    20. Ricardo Crisóstomo, 2021. "Estimating real‐world probabilities: A forward‐looking behavioral framework," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 41(11), pages 1797-1823, November.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:csdana:v:51:y:2007:i:8:p:3871-3884. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/csda .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.