IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/beexfi/v38y2023ics2214635023000217.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

COVID-19 pandemic and herd behavior: Evidence from a frontier market

Author

Listed:
  • Nguyen, Huu Manh
  • Bakry, Walid
  • Vuong, Thi Huong Giang

Abstract

This paper examines the presence of herd behavior in the Vietnamese stock market using the cross-sectional absolute deviation (CSAD) method and by applying quantile regression (QR). We detect herd behavior in the Vietnamese stock market from January 2016 to May 2022. Herd behavior is less pronounced for bullish markets, yet more prominent under other market conditions. Importantly, the paper provides insight into the herd phenomenon during COVID-19’s fourth wave outbreak in Vietnam. We discover that during the fourth wave outbreak, investors on the Hanoi Stock Exchange (HNX) do not engage in herding. However, herd behavior does manifest on the Ho Chi Minh Stock Exchange (HOSE) with falling stock prices engendering pessimistic herd selling. Knowledge of this empirical evidence of herd behavior in the Vietnamese stock market should prove useful to investors in determining the intrinsic value of stocks, and to policymakers wishing to enhance the efficiency of the equity market.

Suggested Citation

  • Nguyen, Huu Manh & Bakry, Walid & Vuong, Thi Huong Giang, 2023. "COVID-19 pandemic and herd behavior: Evidence from a frontier market," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, Elsevier, vol. 38(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:beexfi:v:38:y:2023:i:c:s2214635023000217
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jbef.2023.100807
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2214635023000217
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.jbef.2023.100807?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Chang, Eric C. & Cheng, Joseph W. & Khorana, Ajay, 2000. "An examination of herd behavior in equity markets: An international perspective," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 24(10), pages 1651-1679, October.
    2. Koenker, Roger W & Bassett, Gilbert, Jr, 1978. "Regression Quantiles," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 46(1), pages 33-50, January.
    3. Hung Quang Do & M. Ishaq Bhatti & Muhammad Shahbaz, 2020. "Is ‘oil and gas’ industry of ASEAN5 countries integrated with the US counterpart?," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 52(37), pages 4112-4134, July.
    4. Mr. Sunil Sharma & Sushil Bikhchandani, 2000. "Herd Behavior in Financial Markets: A Review," IMF Working Papers 2000/048, International Monetary Fund.
    5. Vuong, Giang Thi Huong & Nguyen, Manh Huu & Huynh, Anh Ngoc Quang, 2022. "Volatility spillovers from the Chinese stock market to the U.S. stock market: The role of the COVID-19 pandemic," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 26(C).
    6. Guosong Wu & Boxian Yang & Ningru Zhao, 2020. "Herding Behavior in Chinese Stock Markets during COVID-19," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 56(15), pages 3578-3587, December.
    7. Batmunkh John Munkh-Ulzii & Michael McAleer & Massoud Moslehpour & Wing-Keung Wong, 2018. "Confucius and Herding Behaviour in the Stock Markets in China and Taiwan," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(12), pages 1-16, November.
    8. Batmunkh, Munkh-Ulzii & Choijil, Enkhbayar & Vieito, João Paulo & Espinosa-Méndez, Christian & Wong, Wing-Keung, 2020. "Does herding behavior exist in the Mongolian stock market?," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 62(C).
    9. Meir Statman & Steven Thorley & Keith Vorkink, 2006. "Investor Overconfidence and Trading Volume," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 19(4), pages 1531-1565.
    10. Francisco Jareño & Román Ferrer & Stanislava Miroslavova, 2016. "US stock market sensitivity to interest and inflation rates: a quantile regression approach," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 48(26), pages 2469-2481, June.
    11. Chiang, Thomas C. & Zheng, Dazhi, 2010. "An empirical analysis of herd behavior in global stock markets," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 34(8), pages 1911-1921, August.
    12. Ukpong, Idibekeabasi & Tan, Handy & Yarovaya, Larisa, 2021. "Determinants of industry herding in the US stock market," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 43(C).
    13. John R. Nofsinger & Richard W. Sias, 1999. "Herding and Feedback Trading by Institutional and Individual Investors," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 54(6), pages 2263-2295, December.
    14. Espinosa-Méndez, Christian & Arias, Jose, 2021. "COVID-19 effect on herding behaviour in European capital markets," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 38(C).
    15. Teng-Ching Huang & Kuei-Yuan Wang, 2017. "Investors’ Fear and Herding Behavior: Evidence from the Taiwan Stock Market," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 53(10), pages 2259-2278, October.
    16. Emna Mnif & Anis Jarboui, 2021. "COVID-19, bitcoin market efficiency, herd behaviour," Review of Behavioral Finance, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 13(1), pages 69-84, March.
    17. Yao, Juan & Ma, Chuanchan & He, William Peng, 2014. "Investor herding behaviour of Chinese stock market," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 29(C), pages 12-29.
    18. Christian Espinosa-Méndez & José Arias, 2021. "Herding Behaviour in Asutralian stock market: Evidence on COVID-19 effect," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 28(21), pages 1898-1901, December.
    19. Mensi, Walid & Hammoudeh, Shawkat & Reboredo, Juan Carlos & Nguyen, Duc Khuong, 2014. "Do global factors impact BRICS stock markets? A quantile regression approach," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 19(C), pages 1-17.
    20. Chiang, Thomas C. & Li, Jiandong & Tan, Lin, 2010. "Empirical investigation of herding behavior in Chinese stock markets: Evidence from quantile regression analysis," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 21(1), pages 111-124.
    21. Zheng, Dazhi & Li, Huimin & Chiang, Thomas C., 2017. "Herding within industries: Evidence from Asian stock markets," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 51(C), pages 487-509.
    22. shear, Falik & Ashraf, Badar Nadeem, 2022. "The performance of Islamic versus conventional stocks during the COVID-19 shock: Evidence from firm-level data," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 60(C).
    23. Kizys, Renatas & Tzouvanas, Panagiotis & Donadelli, Michael, 2021. "From COVID-19 herd immunity to investor herding in international stock markets: The role of government and regulatory restrictions," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    24. Fama, Eugene F, 1970. "Efficient Capital Markets: A Review of Theory and Empirical Work," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 25(2), pages 383-417, May.
    25. Michelle L. Barnes & Anthony W. Hughes, 2002. "A quantile regression analysis of the cross section of stock market returns," Working Papers 02-2, Federal Reserve Bank of Boston.
    26. Chiah, Mardy & Zhong, Angel, 2020. "Trading from home: The impact of COVID-19 on trading volume around the world," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 37(C).
    27. Nha Duc Bui & Loan Thi Bich Nguyen & Nhung Thi Tuyet Nguyen & Gordon Frederick Titman, 2018. "Herding in frontier stock markets: evidence from the Vietnamese stock market," Accounting and Finance, Accounting and Finance Association of Australia and New Zealand, vol. 58(S1), pages 59-81, November.
    28. Scharfstein, David S & Stein, Jeremy C, 1990. "Herd Behavior and Investment," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 80(3), pages 465-479, June.
    29. Vo, Xuan Vinh & Phan, Dang Bao Anh, 2019. "Herd behavior and idiosyncratic volatility in a frontier market," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 53(C), pages 321-330.
    30. Spyros Spyrou, 2013. "Herding in financial markets: a review of the literature," Review of Behavioral Finance, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 5(2), pages 175-194, November.
    31. Vo, Xuan Vinh & Phan, Dang Bao Anh, 2017. "Further evidence on the herd behavior in Vietnam stock market," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, Elsevier, vol. 13(C), pages 33-41.
    32. Jiang, Rui & Wen, Conghua & Zhang, Ruonan & Cui, Yu, 2022. "Investor's herding behavior in Asian equity markets during COVID-19 period," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 73(C).
    33. Spyros Spyrou, 2013. "Herding in financial markets: a review of the literature," Review of Behavioral Finance, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 5(2), pages 175-194, November.
    34. Tan, Lin & Chiang, Thomas C. & Mason, Joseph R. & Nelling, Edward, 2008. "Herding behavior in Chinese stock markets: An examination of A and B shares," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 16(1-2), pages 61-77, January.
    35. Maria-Miruna Pochea & Angela-Maria Filip & Andreea-Maria Pece, 2017. "Herding Behavior in CEE Stock Markets Under Asymmetric Conditions: A Quantile Regression Analysis," Journal of Behavioral Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 18(4), pages 400-416, October.
    36. Chang, Chia-Lin & McAleer, Michael & Wang, Yu-Ann, 2020. "Herding behaviour in energy stock markets during the Global Financial Crisis, SARS, and ongoing COVID-19," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 134(C).
    37. Vo Xuan Vinh & Phan Dang Bao Anh, 2016. "Herd Behavior in Emerging Equity Markets: Evidence from Vietnam," Asian Journal of Law and Economics, De Gruyter, vol. 7(3), pages 369-383, December.
    38. Mobarek, Asma & Mollah, Sabur & Keasey, Kevin, 2014. "A cross-country analysis of herd behavior in Europe," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 32(C), pages 107-127.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Puput Tri Komalasari & Marwan Asri & Bernardinus M. Purwanto & Bowo Setiyono, 2022. "Herding behaviour in the capital market: What do we know and what is next?," Management Review Quarterly, Springer, vol. 72(3), pages 745-787, September.
    2. Alexakis, Christos & Chantziaras, Antonios & Economou, Fotini & Eleftheriou, Konstantinos & Grose, Christos, 2023. "Animal Behavior in Capital markets: Herding formation dynamics, trading volume, and the role of COVID-19 pandemic," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 67(C).
    3. Batmunkh, Munkh-Ulzii & Choijil, Enkhbayar & Vieito, João Paulo & Espinosa-Méndez, Christian & Wong, Wing-Keung, 2020. "Does herding behavior exist in the Mongolian stock market?," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 62(C).
    4. Ren, Boru & Lucey, Brian, 2023. "Herding in the Chinese renewable energy market: Evidence from a bootstrapping time-varying coefficient autoregressive model," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 119(C).
    5. Tihana Škrinjarić, 2018. "Revisiting Herding Investment Behavior on the Zagreb Stock Exchange: A Quantile Regression Approach," Econometric Research in Finance, SGH Warsaw School of Economics, Collegium of Economic Analysis, vol. 3(2), pages 119-162, December.
    6. Duygun, Meryem & Tunaru, Radu & Vioto, Davide, 2021. "Herding by corporates in the US and the Eurozone through different market conditions," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 110(C).
    7. Batmunkh John Munkh-Ulzii & Michael McAleer & Massoud Moslehpour & Wing-Keung Wong, 2018. "Confucius and Herding Behaviour in the Stock Markets in China and Taiwan," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(12), pages 1-16, November.
    8. Chang, Chia-Lin & McAleer, Michael & Wang, Yu-Ann, 2020. "Herding behaviour in energy stock markets during the Global Financial Crisis, SARS, and ongoing COVID-19," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 134(C).
    9. Arjoon, Vaalmikki & Bhatnagar, Chandra Shekhar & Ramlakhan, Prakash, 2020. "Herding in the Singapore stock Exchange," Journal of Economics and Business, Elsevier, vol. 109(C).
    10. Wang, Xinru & Kim, Maria H. & Suardi, Sandy, 2022. "Herding and China's market-wide circuit breaker," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 141(C).
    11. Liu, Tengdong & Zheng, Dazhi & Zheng, Suyan & Lu, Yang, 2023. "Herding in Chinese stock markets: Evidence from the dual-investor-group," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    12. Sayyed Sadaqat Hussain Shah & Muhammad Asif Khan & Natanya Meyer & Daniel F. Meyer & Judit Oláh, 2019. "Does Herding Bias Drive the Firm Value? Evidence from the Chinese Equity Market," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(20), pages 1-20, October.
    13. Nath, Harmindar B. & Brooks, Robert D., 2020. "Investor-herding and risk-profiles: A State-Space model-based assessment," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 62(C).
    14. Hasan, Iftekhar & Tunaru, Radu & Vioto, Davide, 2023. "Herding behavior and systemic risk in global stock markets," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 73(C), pages 107-133.
    15. Oi-Ping Chong & A.N. Bany-Ariffin & Annuar Md Nassir & Junaina Muhammad, 2019. "An Empirical Study of Herding Behaviour in China’s A-Share and B-Share Markets: Evidence of Bidirectional Herding Activities," Capital Markets Review, Malaysian Finance Association, vol. 27(2), pages 37-57.
    16. Youssef, Mouna & Mokni, Khaled, 2018. "On the effect of herding behavior on dependence structure between stock markets: Evidence from GCC countries," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, Elsevier, vol. 20(C), pages 52-63.
    17. Yi-Chang Chen & Hung-Che Wu & Jen-Jsung Huang, 2017. "Herd Behavior and Rational Expectations: A Test of China's Market Using Quantile Regression," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 7(2), pages 649-663.
    18. Faheem Aslam & Paulo Ferreira & Haider Ali & Sumera Kauser, 2022. "Herding behavior during the Covid-19 pandemic: a comparison between Asian and European stock markets based on intraday multifractality," Eurasian Economic Review, Springer;Eurasia Business and Economics Society, vol. 12(2), pages 333-359, June.
    19. Ki-Hong Choi & Seong-Min Yoon, 2020. "Investor Sentiment and Herding Behavior in the Korean Stock Market," IJFS, MDPI, vol. 8(2), pages 1-14, June.
    20. Wanidwaranan, Phasin & Padungsaksawasdi, Chaiyuth, 2020. "The effect of return jumps on herd behavior," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, Elsevier, vol. 27(C).

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Herd behavior; COVID-19 pandemic; Cross-sectional absolute deviation; Quantile regression; Vietnamese stock market;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G10 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - General (includes Measurement and Data)
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:beexfi:v:38:y:2023:i:c:s2214635023000217. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.journals.elsevier.com/journal-of-behavioral-and-experimental-finance .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.