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How important is social trust during the COVID-19 crisis period? Evidence from the Fed announcements

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  • Mazumder, Sharif

Abstract

During the COVID-19 crisis period, firms headquartered in high social trust US states perform better than their counterparts from the low social trust states. Stock returns over the crisis period are 3 to 4 percentage points higher, on average, if social trust increases by one standard deviation. The association is stronger for firms of more affected industries (COVID-19 industries). More specifically, a one standard deviation increase of social trust associates with a 6.45% increase of CAR if firms belong to the COVID-19 industries. Next, I analyze the stock market reactions to the Fed’s announcements on March 23, 2020. The results show that firms headquartered in the high trust states benefit less from the announcements because these firms can access to other external financings cheaply. The average three-day announcement CAR and BHAR (FF 3-factor adjusted) are higher by 2.5% and 2.6% respectively if firms headquartered in low trust states.

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  • Mazumder, Sharif, 2020. "How important is social trust during the COVID-19 crisis period? Evidence from the Fed announcements," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, Elsevier, vol. 28(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:beexfi:v:28:y:2020:i:c:s2214635020303142
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jbef.2020.100387
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    Cited by:

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    3. Niculaescu, Corina E. & Sangiorgi, Ivan & Bell, Adrian R., 2023. "Does personal experience with COVID-19 impact investment decisions? Evidence from a survey of US retail investors," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 88(C).
    4. Hugo S. Gonçalves & Sérgio Moro, 2023. "On the economic impacts of COVID‐19: A text mining literature analysis," Review of Development Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 27(1), pages 375-394, February.
    5. Xie, Lijuan & Wang, Mei & Huynh, Toan Luu Duc, 2022. "Trust and the stock market reaction to lockdown and reopening announcements: A cross-country evidence," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 46(PA).
    6. Kamal, Javed Bin & Wohar, Mark, 2023. "Heterogenous responses of stock markets to covid related news and sentiments: Evidence from the 1st year of pandemic," International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 173(C), pages 68-85.
    7. Panagiota Makrychoriti & Fotios Pasiouras & Menelaos Tasiou, 2022. "Financial stress and economic growth: The moderating role of trust," Kyklos, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 75(1), pages 48-74, February.
    8. Mazumder, Sharif & Rao, Ramesh, 2023. "Social trust and the choice between bank debt and public debt: Evidence from international data," Journal of Multinational Financial Management, Elsevier, vol. 67(C).
    9. Barrafrem, Kinga & Tinghög, Gustav & Västfjäll, Daniel, 2021. "Trust in the government increases financial well-being and general well-being during COVID-19," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, Elsevier, vol. 31(C).
    10. Ehsan Poursoleyman & Gholamreza Mansourfar & Mohammad Kabir Hassan & Saeid Homayoun, 2024. "Did Corporate Social Responsibility Vaccinate Corporations Against COVID-19?," Journal of Business Ethics, Springer, vol. 189(3), pages 525-551, January.
    11. Carter, David & Mazumder, Sharif & Simkins, Betty & Sisneros, Eric, 2022. "The stock price reaction of the COVID-19 pandemic on the airline, hotel, and tourism industries," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 44(C).
    12. Ishak, Norhamiza & Kadir @ Shahar, Hanita & Jiun, Ricky Chia Chee, 2021. "Cyclical Industries’ Stock Performance Reaction during COVID-19: A Systematic Literature Review," Jurnal Ekonomi Malaysia, Faculty of Economics and Business, Universiti Kebangsaan Malaysia, vol. 55(1), pages 147-158.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Social trust; COVID-19 crisis period; Event study; Leverage; The Fed announcements; Abnormal returns;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G01 - Financial Economics - - General - - - Financial Crises
    • G11 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Portfolio Choice; Investment Decisions
    • G14 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies; Insider Trading
    • G32 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - Financing Policy; Financial Risk and Risk Management; Capital and Ownership Structure; Value of Firms; Goodwill
    • G38 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - Government Policy and Regulation

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