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Demographic change, PAYG pensions and child policies

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  • STAUVERMANN, PETER JOSEF
  • KUMAR, RONALD RAVINESH

Abstract

The aim of the paper is to investigate how child policies affect the population growth and to what extent these policies are useful to increase pension benefits of a pay-as-you-go pension system in a small open economy. Specifically, we analyze two different child policies: the provision of child allowances and an educational subsidy. We apply an overlapping generations model in its canonical form, where we consider endogenous fertility, endogenous growth and endogenous aging of the society. From the analysis, we conclude that with a child allowance, there is a consequent increase in the number of children and decrease in pension benefits and life expectancy. On the other hand, we note that with an educational subsidy, there is a decrease in the number of children, and an increase in the pension benefits and the life expectancy, respectively. The model developed aims to complement the models of the Unified Growth Theory.

Suggested Citation

  • Stauvermann, Peter Josef & Kumar, Ronald Ravinesh, 2018. "Demographic change, PAYG pensions and child policies," Journal of Pension Economics and Finance, Cambridge University Press, vol. 17(4), pages 469-487, October.
    • Handle: RePEc:cup:jpenef:v:17:y:2018:i:04:p:469-487_00
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    Cited by:

    1. Bandyopadhyay, Debasis & La Pere, Anatoly, 2020. "Raising productivity with pension premium," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 92(C), pages 295-308.
    2. Peter J. Stauvermann & Frank Wernitz, 2019. "Why Child Allowances Fail to Solve the Pension Problem of Aging Societies," Economies, MDPI, vol. 7(4), pages 1-16, December.
    3. Cipriani, Giam Pietro & Fioroni, Tamara, 2022. "Social security and endogenous demographic change: child support and retirement policies," Journal of Pension Economics and Finance, Cambridge University Press, vol. 21(3), pages 307-325, July.
    4. Aso Hiroki & Ueshina Mitsuru, 2023. "Fertility, fiscal deficit and sustainability of public debt in an endogenous growth model," Economics and Business Review, Sciendo, vol. 9(3), pages 224-238, October.
    5. Andrea Čajková & Peter Čajka, 2021. "Challenges and Sustainability of China’s Socio-Economic Stability in the Context of Its Demographic Development," Societies, MDPI, vol. 11(1), pages 1-20, March.
    6. Ronald R. Kumar & Peter J. Stauvermann, 2019. "The Effects of a Revenue-Neutral Child Subsidy Tax Mechanism on Growth and GHG Emissions," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(9), pages 1-23, May.
    7. Cipriani, Giam Pietro & Fioroni, Tamara, 2023. "Human Capital and Pensions with Endogenous Fertility and Retirement," IZA Discussion Papers 16029, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).

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