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Developing-country resource extraction with asymmetric information and sovereign debt: a theoretical analysis

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  • STRAND, JON

Abstract

We consider a two-period model of an indebted developing country endowed with a natural resource whose extraction causes negative global externalities, where the country may borrow in period one and there is asymmetric information about its willingness to service its loans. We show that when the resource is large, the interest rate on new borrowing equals the resource growth rate. A greater initial debt level then leads to reduced new borrowing and more rapid extraction. An outside 'donor' may affect the resource extraction of the country. Donor schemes that tie debt reduction to postponing or abstaining from extraction of the resource are more powerful than non-conditional schemes in reducing the extraction rate for governments that actually repay, but may in some cases lead to a greater probability of default through increased debt. While conditional schemes generally are potentially Pareto-superior to non-conditional ones, the welfare of the borrowing country is higher with non-conditional schemes.

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  • Strand, Jon, 1997. "Developing-country resource extraction with asymmetric information and sovereign debt: a theoretical analysis," Environment and Development Economics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 2(3), pages 265-289, July.
  • Handle: RePEc:cup:endeec:v:2:y:1997:i:03:p:265-289_00
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    1. van Benthem, Arthur A. & Kerr, Suzi, 2010. "Optimizing Voluntary Deforestation Policy in the Face of Adverse Selection and Costly Transfers," 2010 Conference, August 26-27, 2010, Nelson, New Zealand 96813, New Zealand Agricultural and Resource Economics Society.

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