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Stock prices and bank loan dynamics in a developing country: The case of Malaysia

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Abstract

This paper estimates a six-variable VAR model and simulates generalized impulse response functions to assess dynamic interactions between bank loans and stock prices and evaluate whether bank loans play a role in transmitting financial shocks to the real sector. We find evidence that bank loans react positively to the increase in stock prices but there seems to be no influence from bank loans to stock prices. Similarly, bank loans seem to accommodate expansion in real output with, again, no influence of bank loans on real economic activity. Interestingly, despite the noted currency mismatch of bank assets and liabilities as a factor that aggravates the currency crisis, we find no evidence that the exchange rate fluctuations have impact on bank lending. If anything, the exchange rate seems to affect bank lending activities through its effects on real output and stock prices. From the dynamic responses, we tend to conclude that bank loans play no significant role in transmitting stock market shocks to the real sector. An important implication from our analysis is that the health of the banking sector depends crucially on stock market stability and real output stability. Additionally, policy attempts to stimulate bank loans as a way to boost stock market activities as well as to expand real activities may be futile.

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  • Mansor H. Ibrahim, 2006. "Stock prices and bank loan dynamics in a developing country: The case of Malaysia," Journal of Applied Economics, Universidad del CEMA, vol. 9, pages 71-89, May.
  • Handle: RePEc:cem:jaecon:v:9:y:2006:n:1:p:71-89
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    Cited by:

    1. Yusuf Aina SOYEBO & Russell Olukayode C. SOMOYE, 2019. "Financial Intermediation and Stock Prices of Deposit Money Banks (DMBS) in Nigeria: a Panel Cointegration Approach," Economics and Applied Informatics, "Dunarea de Jos" University of Galati, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, issue 1, pages 20-27.
    2. Cheah, Chee Keong & Masih, Mansur, 2017. "Does the growth of islamic bank financing depend on stock market growth? evidence from Malaysia," MPRA Paper 106192, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    3. Florence Bouvet & Ryan Brady & Sharmila King, 2013. "Debt Contagion in Europe: A Panel-VAR Analysis," Departmental Working Papers 44, United States Naval Academy Department of Economics.
    4. Seho, Mirzet & Alaaabed, Alaa & Masih, Mansur, 2016. "Risk-Sharing Financing of Islamic Banks: Better Shielded Against Interest Rate Risk?," MPRA Paper 82558, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    5. Mwankemwa, Lusajo P. & Mlamka, Bonaventura, 2022. "Effects of Monetary Policy on Bank’s Credit Dynamics in Tanzania," African Journal of Economic Review, African Journal of Economic Review, vol. 10(2), March.
    6. Kabir, Anis & Abdul Rehman Shah, Syed Muhammad & Hassan, M. Kabir & Akmal, Muhammad, 2022. "The Transmission Mechanism of Monetary Policy via Bank’ Balance Sheet: An Empirical Study of Dual Banking System in Pakistan," Jurnal Ekonomi Malaysia, Faculty of Economics and Business, Universiti Kebangsaan Malaysia, vol. 56(2), pages 129-140.
    7. Ramic, Esma & Masih, Mansur, 2017. "Is islamic bank financing related to interest rate ? Malaysian evidence based on ARDL approach," MPRA Paper 107163, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    8. Seyedeh Fatemeh Razmi & Leila Torki & Seyed Mohammad Javad Razmi & Ehsan Mohaghegh Dowlatabadi, 2022. "The Indirect Effects of Oil Price on Consumption through Assets," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 12(1), pages 236-242.
    9. Seho, Mirzet & Masih, Mansur, 2015. "Risk sharing financing of Islamic banks: interest free or interest based?," MPRA Paper 65230, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    10. Rahmatina A. Kasri & Salina Hj. Kassim, 2009. "Empirical Determinants of Saving in the Islamic Banks: Evidence from Indonesia المحددات التجريبية للادخار في البنوك الإسلامية: أدلة من إندونيسيا," Journal of King Abdulaziz University: Islamic Economics, King Abdulaziz University, Islamic Economics Institute., vol. 22(2), pages 181-201, July.
    11. Mansor Ibrahim & Abdullahi Ahmed, 2013. "Stock Market and Aggregate Investment Behavior in Malaysia: An Empirical Analysis," Transition Studies Review, Springer;Central Eastern European University Network (CEEUN), vol. 20(2), pages 265-284, October.
    12. Florence Bouvet & Ryan Brady & Sharmila King, 2013. "Debt Contagion in Europe: A Panel-Vector Autoregressive (VAR) Analysis," Social Sciences, MDPI, vol. 2(4), pages 1-23, December.
    13. Malika Akhatova & Mohd Pisal Zainal & Mansor H. Ibrahim, 2016. "Banking Models and Monetary Transmission Mechanisms in Malaysia: Are Islamic Banks Different?," Economic Papers, The Economic Society of Australia, vol. 35(2), pages 169-183, June.
    14. Nur Setyowati, 2019. "Macroeconomic Determinants of Islamic Banking Products in Indonesia," Economies, MDPI, vol. 7(2), pages 1-15, June.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    bank lending; stock prices; VAR; generalized impulse responses;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E44 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
    • G21 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Banks; Other Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages

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