IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/bor/iserev/v11y2009i42p19-34.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Inflation Accounting and Stock Returns: Evidence From Istanbul Stock Exchange (ISE)

Author

Listed:
  • Berna Kirkulak
  • Çagnur Kaytmaz Balsari

Abstract

The purpose of this study is to show the importance of inflation accounting application in investment decision making in particular in stock markets. The effect of inflation accounting on stock returns is examined among the Turkish firms listed on the Istanbul Stock Exchange (ISE) in 2003. Descriptive statistics compared the predictability level of inflation-adjusted and inflation non-adjusted fundamental accounting signals on stock returns. Regression analysis tests the explanatory power of these two different accounting applications on stock returns. The results show that investors mainly take earnings and inflation-adjusted fixed asset ratio into consideration when they make their investment decisions. Furthermore, the results show that inflationadjusted results have slightly more predictive power for stock returns than inflation non-adjusted results suggesting the fact that both inflation-adjusted and inflation nonadjusted financial data complement each other.

Suggested Citation

  • Berna Kirkulak & Çagnur Kaytmaz Balsari, 2009. "Inflation Accounting and Stock Returns: Evidence From Istanbul Stock Exchange (ISE)," Istanbul Stock Exchange Review, Research and Business Development Department, Borsa Istanbul, vol. 11(42), pages 19-34.
    • Handle: RePEc:bor:iserev:v:11:y:2009:i:42:p:19-34
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.borsaistanbul.com/datum/imkbdergi/EN/ISE_Review_42.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. John M. Griffin & Federico Nardari & René M. Stulz, 2004. "Are Daily Cross-Border Equity Flows Pushed or Pulled?," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 86(3), pages 641-657, August.
    2. De Long, J Bradford, et al, 1990. "Positive Feedback Investment Strategies and Destabilizing Rational Speculation," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 45(2), pages 379-395, June.
    3. Yoshio Iihara & Hideaki Kiyoshi Kato & Toshifumi Tokunaga, 2001. "Investors' Herding on the Tokyo Stock Exchange," International Review of Finance, International Review of Finance Ltd., vol. 2(1&2), pages 71-98.
    4. Kim, Woochan & Wei, Shang-Jin, 2002. "Foreign portfolio investors before and during a crisis," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 56(1), pages 77-96, January.
    5. Hyuk Choe & Bong-Chan Kho & René M. Stulz, 2005. "Do Domestic Investors Have an Edge? The Trading Experience of Foreign Investors in Korea," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 18(3), pages 795-829.
    6. Kaminsky, Graciela & Lyons, Richard K. & Schmukler, Sergio L., 2004. "Managers, investors, and crises: mutual fund strategies in emerging markets," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 64(1), pages 113-134, October.
    7. Rui Albuquerque & Gregory Bauer & Martin Schneider, 2004. "International Equity Flows and Returns: A Quantitative Equilibrium Approach," International Finance 0405006, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    8. William Miles, 2002. "Financial Deregulation And Volatility In Emerging Equity Markets," Journal of Economic Development, Chung-Ang Unviersity, Department of Economics, vol. 27(2), pages 113-126, December.
    9. Yoshio Iihara & Hideaki Kiyoshi Kato & Toshifumi Tokunaga, 2001. "Investors’ Herding on the Tokyo Stock Exchange," International Review of Finance, International Review of Finance Ltd., vol. 2(1‐2), pages 71-98.
    10. Rui Albuquerque & Gregory H. Bauer & Martin Schneider, 2007. "International Equity Flows and Returns: A Quantitative Equilibrium Approach -super-1," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 74(1), pages 1-30.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Hasan F. Baklaci, 2009. "An Empirical Examination of Bilateral Interaction Between Foreign Investors’ Trading and Returns in Turkey," Istanbul Stock Exchange Review, Research and Business Development Department, Borsa Istanbul, vol. 11(42), pages 35-58.
    2. repec:bor:iserev:v:11:y:2011:i:42:p:1-18 is not listed on IDEAS
    3. repec:bor:iserev:v:11:y:2011:i:42:p:19-34 is not listed on IDEAS
    4. Semra Karacaer & Yusuf Volkan Topuz, 2009. "The Effect of the Change in the Exchange Rate of US Dollars on the Market Index of Developing Countries: January 2001– November 2006 Period," Istanbul Stock Exchange Review, Research and Business Development Department, Borsa Istanbul, vol. 11(42), pages 1-18.
    5. repec:bor:iserev:v:11:y:2011:i:42:p:35-58 is not listed on IDEAS
    6. Fotini Economou & Konstantinos Gavriilidis & Bartosz Gebka & Vasileios Kallinterakis, 2022. "Feedback trading: a review of theory and empirical evidence," Review of Behavioral Finance, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 15(4), pages 429-476, February.
    7. Hasan F. Baklaci, 2007. "Do Foreign Investors chase or Impact Returns in Turkey?," Papers of the Annual IUE-SUNY Cortland Conference in Economics, in: Oguz Esen & Ayla Ogus (ed.), Proceedings of the Conference on Globalization and Its Discontents, pages 22-39, Izmir University of Economics.
    8. Porras, Eva & Ülkü, Numan, 2015. "Foreigners’ trading and stock returns in Spain," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 34(C), pages 111-126.
    9. Ülkü, Numan & Karpova, Yekaterina, 2014. "Do international equity investors rebalance to manage currency exposure? A study of Greece foreign investor flows data," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 29(C), pages 150-169.
    10. Andrade, Sandro C. & Kohlscheen, Emanuel, 2010. "Pessimistic Foreign Investors and Turmoil in Emerging Markets : The Case of Brazil in 2002," The Warwick Economics Research Paper Series (TWERPS) 926, University of Warwick, Department of Economics.
    11. Jinjarak, Yothin & Wongswan, Jon & Zheng, Huanhuan, 2011. "International fund investment and local market returns," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 35(3), pages 572-587, March.
    12. Numan Ülkü & Enzo Weber, 2014. "Identifying the Interaction between Foreign Investor Flows and Emerging Stock Market Returns," Review of Finance, European Finance Association, vol. 18(4), pages 1541-1581.
    13. Broner, Fernando & Didier, Tatiana & Erce, Aitor & Schmukler, Sergio L., 2013. "Gross capital flows: Dynamics and crises," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 60(1), pages 113-133.
    14. Stephanie E. Curcuru & Charles P. Thomas & Francis E. Warnock & Jon Wongswan, 2011. "US International Equity Investment and Past and Prospective Returns," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 101(7), pages 3440-3455, December.
    15. Hiremath, Gourishankar S. & Kattuman, Paul, 2017. "Foreign portfolio flows and emerging stock market: Is the midnight bell ringing in India?," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 544-558.
    16. Michael Siemer & Adrien Verdelhan & Francois Gourio, 2015. "Uncertainty and International Capital Flows," 2015 Meeting Papers 880, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    17. repec:zbw:bofrdp:2019_003 is not listed on IDEAS
    18. Nicolas Coeurdacier & Hélène Rey, 2013. "Home Bias in Open Economy Financial Macroeconomics," Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 51(1), pages 63-115, March.
    19. Jasmine Xiao, 2015. "Domestic and Foreign Mutual Funds in Mexico: Do They Behave Differently?," IMF Working Papers 2015/104, International Monetary Fund.
    20. Stephanie E. Curcuru & Charles P. Thomas & Francis E. Warnock & Jon Wongswan, 2011. "U.S. international equity investment and past prospective returns," International Finance Discussion Papers 1016, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    21. repec:hal:spmain:info:hdl:2441/c8dmi8nm4pdjkuc9g81p7j6b6 is not listed on IDEAS
    22. Numan Ülkü & Petar Petrov, 2015. "How Reliable Are the Findings of ‘Foreign’ Investor Studies That Use TIC Data? A Look from the Host Market," International Review of Finance, International Review of Finance Ltd., vol. 15(4), pages 521-553, December.
    23. Yafeng Qin & Min Bai, 2014. "Foreign Ownership Restriction and Momentum – Evidence from Emerging Markets," International Review of Finance, International Review of Finance Ltd., vol. 14(2), pages 237-261, June.
    24. Kim, Jaemin & Landi, James & Yoo, Sean Sehyun, 2009. "Inter-temporal examination of the trading activities of foreign investors in the Korean stock market," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 17(2), pages 243-256, April.
    25. Agudelo, Diego A. & Múnera, Daimer J., 2023. "Who are the vectors of contagion? Evidence from emerging markets," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 87(C).

    More about this item

    Keywords

    inflation accounting; stock returns; Istanbul Stock Exchange (ISE); financial ratios;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • M41 - Business Administration and Business Economics; Marketing; Accounting; Personnel Economics - - Accounting - - - Accounting
    • G14 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies; Insider Trading

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:bor:iserev:v:11:y:2009:i:42:p:19-34. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Ahmet Palu (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/rdisetr.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.