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How does crisis affect efficiency? An empirical study of East Asian markets

Author

Listed:
  • Syed Aun R. Rizvi
  • Shaista Arshad

Abstract

Much research has been undertaken in the Efficient Market Hypothesis (EMH) over the preceding two decades. With Asian countries emerging as a global powerhouse in terms of regional economics, the interest in their stock markets has picked up recently. Asian markets traditionally comprised of many emerging markets are generally assumed to be more volatile and speculative in nature. Based on this crux, we focus specifically on the response of these markets efficiency to major crisis. In recent years, the Asian markets have experienced a phenomenal boom in attracting foreign capital inflow, with Singapore evolving into a global financial hub in terms of banking and financial services. Scepticism and cautious nature raises the question of whether these stock markets are efficient enough for further investment and development. Our study is unique in nature, as we focus on the efficiency of these market in response to crisis periods, comparing it with their pre-crisis period, both in shorter term of 1 year as well as longer term of 5 years post and pre crisis period. Taking Malaysia, Indonesia, Singapore and South Korea owing to their economic and financial development, we use MF-DFA to derive efficiency measure for comparative analysis with its own past. The findings put forth a notion of generally a deteriorating and negative impact of the Asian financial crisis, while the sub-prime crisis impact varies based on the economic structure of the economies. The findings concur with the mainstream literature and similar studies for other countries and region.

Suggested Citation

  • Syed Aun R. Rizvi & Shaista Arshad, 2016. "How does crisis affect efficiency? An empirical study of East Asian markets," Borsa Istanbul Review, Research and Business Development Department, Borsa Istanbul, vol. 16(1), pages 1-8, March.
  • Handle: RePEc:bor:bistre:v:16:y:2016:i:1:p:1-8
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    Cited by:

    1. Alam, Nafis & Arshad, Shaista & Rizvi, Syed Aun R., 2016. "Do Islamic stock indices perform better than conventional counterparts? An empirical investigation of sectoral efficiency," Review of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 31(C), pages 108-114.
    2. Faheem Aslam & Wahbeeah Mohti & Paulo Ferreira, 2020. "Evidence of Intraday Multifractality in European Stock Markets during the Recent Coronavirus (COVID-19) Outbreak," IJFS, MDPI, vol. 8(2), pages 1-13, May.
    3. Naeem, Muhammad Abubakr & Bouri, Elie & Peng, Zhe & Shahzad, Syed Jawad Hussain & Vo, Xuan Vinh, 2021. "Asymmetric efficiency of cryptocurrencies during COVID19," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 565(C).
    4. OlaOluwa S. Yaya & Oluwasegun B. Adekoya & Xuan Vinh Vo & Mamdouh Abdulaziz Saleh Al‐Faryan, 2024. "Stock Market Efficiency in Asia: Evidence from the Narayan–Liu–Westerlund's GARCH‐based unit root test," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 29(1), pages 91-101, January.
    5. Nartea, Gilbert V. & Valera, Harold Glenn A. & Valera, Maria Luisa G., 2021. "Mean reversion in Asia-Pacific stock prices: New evidence from quantile unit root tests," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 73(C), pages 214-230.
    6. Huang, Menghao & Shao, Wei & Wang, Jian, 2023. "Correlations between the crude oil market and capital markets under the Russia–Ukraine conflict: A perspective of crude oil importing and exporting countries," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).
    7. Aslam, Faheem & Aziz, Saqib & Nguyen, Duc Khuong & Mughal, Khurrum S. & Khan, Maaz, 2020. "On the efficiency of foreign exchange markets in times of the COVID-19 pandemic," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 161(C).
    8. Jasman Tuyon & Zamri Ahmada, 2016. "Behavioural finance perspectives on Malaysian stock market efficiency," Borsa Istanbul Review, Research and Business Development Department, Borsa Istanbul, vol. 16(1), pages 43-61, March.
    9. Mensi, Walid & Vo, Xuan Vinh & Kang, Sang Hoon, 2022. "Upward/downward multifractality and efficiency in metals futures markets: The impacts of financial and oil crises," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 76(C).
    10. Yaya, OlaOluwa S. & Vo, Xuan Vinh & Adekoya, Oluwasegun B., 2021. "Market Efficiency of Asian Stocks: Evidence based on Narayan-Liu-Westerlund GARCH-based Unit root test," MPRA Paper 109828, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    11. Chai, Shanglei & Yang, Xiaoli & Zhang, Zhen & Abedin, Mohammad Zoynul & Lucey, Brian, 2022. "Regional imbalances of market efficiency in China’s pilot emission trading schemes (ETS): A multifractal perspective," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 63(C).
    12. Shaista Arshad, 2017. "Analysing the Relationship between Oil Prices and Islamic Stock Markets," Economic Papers, The Economic Society of Australia, vol. 36(4), pages 429-443, December.
    13. Choi, Sun-Yong, 2021. "Analysis of stock market efficiency during crisis periods in the US stock market: Differences between the global financial crisis and COVID-19 pandemic," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 574(C).
    14. Shao, Wei & Wang, Jian, 2020. "Does the “ice-breaking” of South and North Korea affect the South Korean financial market?," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 132(C).
    15. Majdoub, Jihed & Ben Sassi, Salim, 2017. "Volatility spillover and hedging effectiveness among China and emerging Asian Islamic equity indexes," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 31(C), pages 16-31.
    16. Naeem, Muhammad Abubakr & Karim, Sitara & Farid, Saqib & Tiwari, Aviral Kumar, 2022. "Comparing the asymmetric efficiency of dirty and clean energy markets pre and during COVID-19," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 75(C), pages 548-562.
    17. Naeem, Muhammad Abubakr & Farid, Saqib & Ferrer, Román & Shahzad, Syed Jawad Hussain, 2021. "Comparative efficiency of green and conventional bonds pre- and during COVID-19: An asymmetric multifractal detrended fluctuation analysis," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 153(C).
    18. Adedoyin Isola Lawal & Abiola A. Babajide & Tony Ikechukwu Nwanji & Damilola Eluyela, 2018. "Are Oil Prices Mean Reverting? Evidence from Unit Root Tests with Sharp and Smooth Breaks," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 8(6), pages 292-298.
    19. Chang, Hao-Wen & Chiang, Yi-Chein & Ke, Mei-Chu & Wang, Ming-Hui & Nguyen, Tien-Trung, 2023. "Market efficiency of Asian stock markets during the financial crisis and non-financial crisis periods," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 83(C), pages 312-329.
    20. dos Santos Maciel, Leandro, 2023. "Brazilian stock-market efficiency before and after COVID-19: The roles of fractality and predictability," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 58(C).
    21. Naeem, Muhammad Abubakr & Farid, Saqib & Yousaf, Imran & Kang, Sang Hoon, 2023. "Asymmetric efficiency in petroleum markets before and during COVID-19," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 86(PA).

    More about this item

    Keywords

    East Asian; Efficiency; Multifractal; Stock markets;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
    • E44 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy

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