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Assessing The Impact Of China'S Wto Accession On Investment

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  • Terrie L. Walmsley
  • Thomas W. Hertel
  • Elena Ianchovichina

Abstract

. After a boom in foreign direct investment (FDI) in China in the early 1990s, FDI slowed in the late 1990s. More recently, with China's accession to the World Trade Organization (WTO) a reality, FDI has once again picked up. This paper explores the linkage between WTO accession and investment in China. We find that investment and capital stocks increase substantially. Moreover, foreign ownership of Chinese assets doubles by 2020. Central to this increase is the expected catch‐up in the productivity of the services sectors driven by reforms. These estimates are far larger than those predicted by earlier studies, which ignored the reforms affecting Chinese services sectors, and abstracted from international capital mobility.

Suggested Citation

  • Terrie L. Walmsley & Thomas W. Hertel & Elena Ianchovichina, 2006. "Assessing The Impact Of China'S Wto Accession On Investment," Pacific Economic Review, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 11(3), pages 315-339, October.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:pacecr:v:11:y:2006:i:3:p:315-339
    DOI: 10.1111/j.1468-0106.2006.00318.x
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Ianchovichina, Elena, 2004. "Trade policy analysis in the presence of duty drawbacks," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 26(3), pages 353-371, April.
    2. Hertel, Thomas, 1997. "Global Trade Analysis: Modeling and applications," GTAP Books, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Department of Agricultural Economics, Purdue University, number 7685, December.
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    6. Ianchovichina, Elena, 2003. "GTAP-DD: A Model for Analyzing Trade Reforms in the Presence of Duty Drawbacks," GTAP Technical Papers 1192, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Department of Agricultural Economics, Purdue University.
    7. Mai, Yinhua & Horridge, Mark & Perkins, Frances, 2003. "Estimating the Effects of China’s Accession to the World Trade Organisation," Conference papers 331081, Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project.
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    Cited by:

    1. Debapriya Bhattacharya & Farzana Misha, 2013. "China and the Least Developed Countries: An Enquiry into the Trade Relationship during the Post-WTO Accession Period," CPD Working Paper 103, Centre for Policy Dialogue (CPD).
    2. Eromenko, Igor, 2010. "Accession to the WTO. Computable General Equilibrium Analysis: the Case of Ukraine. Part I," MPRA Paper 67476, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    3. Elena Ianchovichina & Terrie Walmsley, 2005. "Impact of China's WTO Accession on East Asia," Contemporary Economic Policy, Western Economic Association International, vol. 23(2), pages 261-277, April.
    4. Rees, Lucy & Tyers, Rod, 2004. "On the Robustness of Short Run Gains from Trade Reform," Conference papers 331204, Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project.
    5. Eden Hatzvi & Jessica Meredith & William Nixon, 2015. "Chinese Capital Flows and Capital Account Liberalisation," RBA Bulletin (Print copy discontinued), Reserve Bank of Australia, pages 39-48, December.
    6. Dawood MAMOON, 2017. "Can micro credit schemes be introduced by formal banking sector?," Journal of Economics Library, KSP Journals, vol. 4(3), pages 359-371, September.
    7. Hertel, Thomas W. & Winters, L. Alan, 2005. "Poverty impacts of a WTO agreement : synthesis and overview," Policy Research Working Paper Series 3757, The World Bank.
    8. Yinhua Mai & Philip Adams & Mingtai Fan & Ronglin Li & Zhaoyang Zheng, 2005. "Modelling the Potential Benefits of an Australia-China free Trade Agreement," Centre of Policy Studies/IMPACT Centre Working Papers g-153, Victoria University, Centre of Policy Studies/IMPACT Centre.
    9. Thomas W. Hertel, 2006. "A Survey of Findings on the Poverty Impacts of Agricultural Trade Liberalization," The Electronic Journal of Agricultural and Development Economics, Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations, vol. 3(1), pages 1-26.
    10. Nguyen Khanh Doanh & Yoon Heo, 2009. "Impacts of Trade Liberalisation Commitments on the Vietnamese Economy: A CGE Approach," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 32(4), pages 606-628, April.
    11. Elena Ianchovichina & Maros Ivanic, 2016. "Economic Effects of the Syrian War and the Spread of the Islamic State on the Levant," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 39(10), pages 1584-1627, October.
    12. Ianchovichina,Elena & Devarajan,Shantayanan & Lakatos,Csilla, 2016. "Lifting economic sanctions on Iran : global effects and strategic responses," Policy Research Working Paper Series 7549, The World Bank.
    13. Badri G. Narayanan & Sangeeta Khorana, 2017. "Mega-regional trade Agreements: Costly distractions for developing countries?," Journal of Economic Structures, Springer;Pan-Pacific Association of Input-Output Studies (PAPAIOS), vol. 6(1), pages 1-18, December.
    14. Xiao, Yangao & Tylecote, Andrew & Liu, Jiajia, 2013. "Why not greater catch-up by Chinese firms? The impact of IPR, corporate governance and technology intensity on late-comer strategies," Research Policy, Elsevier, vol. 42(3), pages 749-764.
    15. Duanmu, Jing-Lin & Lawton, Thomas, 2021. "Foreign buyout of international equity joint ventures in China: When does performance improve?," Journal of World Business, Elsevier, vol. 56(5).
    16. Boureima Sawadogo & Tegawende Juliette Nana & Maimouna Hama Natama & Fidèle Bama & Emma Tapsoba & Kassoum Zerbo, 2015. "Impact de l'expansion économique et commerciale de la Chine sur la croissance et l'emploi au Burkina Faso: une analyse en équilibre général calculable," Working Papers MPIA 2015-03, PEP-MPIA.
    17. James D. A. Millington & Hang Xiong & Steve Peterson & Jeremy Woods, 2017. "Integrating Modelling Approaches for Understanding Telecoupling: Global Food Trade and Local Land Use," Land, MDPI, vol. 6(3), pages 1-18, August.
    18. Eromenko, Igor, 2011. "Accession to the WTO. Computable General Equilibrium Analysis: the Case of Ukraine," MPRA Paper 67535, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    19. Lee, Hiro & Roland-Holst, David & van der Mensbrugghe, Dominique, 2002. "Emergent Trilateralism in the Pacific Basin: How Should China, Japan, and the United States Respond to Regional Trade Initiatives?," Conference papers 331060, Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project.
    20. Peter G. Mavromatis & George Verikios, 2008. "Does it Matter Whether Market Distortions are Evaluated Using Comparative-statics or Dynamics?," Centre of Policy Studies/IMPACT Centre Working Papers g-178, Victoria University, Centre of Policy Studies/IMPACT Centre.
    21. Boureima Sawadogo & T gawend Juliette Nana & Maimouna Hama Natama & Fid le Bama & Emma Tapsoba & Kassoum Zerbo, 2020. "Impact of Economic and Trade Expansion of China on Employment and Household Welfare in Burkina Faso: A Computable General Equilibrium Analysis," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 10(6), pages 139-153.
    22. Elena Ianchovichina & Will Martin, 2004. "Impacts of China's Accession to the World Trade Organization," The World Bank Economic Review, World Bank, vol. 18(1), pages 3-27.
    23. Sabine Mage-Bertomeu, 2006. "Les modèles d'équilibre général appliqués à la politique commerciale : développements récents," Revue d'économie politique, Dalloz, vol. 116(3), pages 357-381.
    24. repec:dau:papers:123456789/1696 is not listed on IDEAS
    25. Elena IANCHOVICHINA & Will MARTIN, 2006. "Trade Impacts of China's World Trade Organization Accession," Asian Economic Policy Review, Japan Center for Economic Research, vol. 1(1), pages 45-65, June.

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