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Uncertainty And Expectations In Shackle'S Theory Of Capital And Interest

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  • Ferdinando Meacci

Abstract

This paper is focused on the macroeconomic aspects of Shackle's theory of capital and interest. The paper highlights the strengths and weaknesses of this theory. Among the strengths is Shackle's treatment of historical time, expectations and their disappointment, ex ante and ex post magnitudes, macroeconomic equilibrium and disequilibrium. Among the weaknesses is Shackle's failure to grasp the difference between the theory of interest as such and the theory of the money rate of interest as well as the difference between the theory of capital in the context of logical time (the old Austrian approach) and the theory of capital in the context of historical time (Hayek's and Shackle's preferred approach). In natural science, what is thought is built upon what is seen: but in economics, what is seen is built upon what is thought. (Shackle, 1972, p. 66)

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  • Ferdinando Meacci, 2009. "Uncertainty And Expectations In Shackle'S Theory Of Capital And Interest," Metroeconomica, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 60(2), pages 302-323, May.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:metroe:v:60:y:2009:i:2:p:302-323
    DOI: 10.1111/j.1467-999X.2008.00327.x
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Kregel, J A, 1976. "Economic Methodology in the Face of Uncertainty: The Modelling Methods of Keynes and the Post-Keynesians," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 86(342), pages 209-225, June.
    2. Olivier Blanchard, 2000. "What Do We Know about Macroeconomics that Fisher and Wicksell Did Not?," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 115(4), pages 1375-1409.
    3. J. M. Keynes, 1937. "The General Theory of Employment," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 51(2), pages 209-223.
    4. G. C. Harcourt, 2008. "The Structure of Post-Keynesian Economics," Palgrave Macmillan Books, in: Mathew Forstater & L. Randall Wray (ed.), Keynes for the Twenty-First Century, chapter 0, pages 185-197, Palgrave Macmillan.
    5. Joan Robinson, 1962. "Essays in the Theory of Economic Growth," Palgrave Macmillan Books, Palgrave Macmillan, number 978-1-349-00626-7, September.
    6. repec:ucp:bkecon:9780226320625 is not listed on IDEAS
    7. Lachmann, Ludwig M, 1976. "From Mises to Shackle: An Essay on Austrian Economics and the Kaleidic Society," Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 14(1), pages 54-62, March.
    8. Luigi L. Pasinetti, 2005. "How much of John Maynard Keynes can we find in Franco Modigliani?," BNL Quarterly Review, Banca Nazionale del Lavoro, vol. 58(233-234), pages 21-39.
    9. Luigi L. Pasinetti, 2005. "How much of John Maynard Keynes can we find in Franco Modigliani?," Banca Nazionale del Lavoro Quarterly Review, Banca Nazionale del Lavoro, vol. 58(233-234), pages 21-39.
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    Cited by:

    1. Ferdinando Meacci, 2012. "The disappointment of expectations and the theory of fluctuations," History of Economic Ideas, Fabrizio Serra Editore, Pisa - Roma, vol. 20(2), pages 157-184.
    2. Ferlito, Carmelo, 2018. "Economics: A Science of Meaning," EconStor Preprints 190821, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics.
    3. Ferdinando Meacci & Carmelo Ferlito, 2018. "The classical roots of the Austrian theory of capital and entrepreneurship," The Review of Austrian Economics, Springer;Society for the Development of Austrian Economics, vol. 31(3), pages 315-339, September.

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    JEL classification:

    • E12 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - General Aggregative Models - - - Keynes; Keynesian; Post-Keynesian; Modern Monetary Theory
    • B22 - Schools of Economic Thought and Methodology - - History of Economic Thought since 1925 - - - Macroeconomics
    • E20 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - General (includes Measurement and Data)

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