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Core ERM Money Demand and Effects on Inflation

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Author Info
Cassard, Marcel
Lane, Timothy D
Masson, Paul R

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Abstract

This paper presents evidence supporting the existence of a stable money demand relationship for Germany plus a core group of countries--France, Belgium, Denmark, Luxembourg--that have not realigned their parities against the deutsche mark since at least 1987. The predictive power of the core-ERM aggregate for French and German inflation is also examined; it is shown that the ERM aggregate is a better predictor of German inflation than the German monetary aggregate alone. Thus, the ERM money supply is a useful indicator for German monetary policy, even if the latter only focuses on achieving domestic inflation targets. Copyright 1997 by Blackwell Publishers Ltd and The Victoria University of Manchester

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Publisher Info
Article provided by Blackwell Publishing in its journal The Manchester School of Economic & Social Studies.

Volume (Year): 65 (1997)
Issue (Month): 1 (January)
Pages: 1-24
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Handle: RePEc:bla:manch2:v:65:y:1997:i:1:p:1-24

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  1. Kai Carstensen & Jan Hagen & Oliver Hossfeld & Abelardo Salazar Neaves, 2008. "Money Demand Stability and Inflation Prediction in the Four Largest EMU Countries," Ifo Working Paper Series Ifo Working Paper No. 61, Ifo Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  2. Bernd Hayo, 1998. "Estimating a European Demand for Money," Macroeconomics 9811008, EconWPA. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  3. Roberto Golinelli & Sergio Pastorello, 2002. "Modelling the demand for M3 in the Euro area," European Journal of Finance, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 8(4), pages 371-401, December. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  4. Ramaswamy, Ramana, 1997. "Monetary Frameworks - Is There a Preferred Option for the European Central Bank?," IMF Papers on Policy Analysis and Assessments 97/6, International Monetary Fund. [Downloadable!]
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