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The intertemporal relationship between market return and variance: an Australian perspective

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  • Warren G. Dean
  • Robert W. Faff

Abstract

In this paper we investigate the intertemporal relationship between the market risk premium and its conditional variance in an Australian setting. Using a bivariate EGARCH‐M model combined with the dynamic conditional correlation (DCC) framework as proposed by Engle (2000), we find evidence of a positive relationship between the market risk premium and its variance and evidence of two distinct interest rate effects. Furthermore, while the bond market’s own variance is not priced by investors, we find that the covariance between equity and bond markets is a significant risk factor that is priced in the market.

Suggested Citation

  • Warren G. Dean & Robert W. Faff, 2001. "The intertemporal relationship between market return and variance: an Australian perspective," Accounting and Finance, Accounting and Finance Association of Australia and New Zealand, vol. 41(3), pages 169-196, November.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:acctfi:v:41:y:2001:i:3:p:169-196
    DOI: 10.1111/1467-629X.00058
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    Cited by:

    1. Nick Samouilhan, 2006. "The Price of Risk on the JSE," Working Papers 049, Economic Research Southern Africa.
    2. Rajibur Reza & Gurudeo Anand Tularam & Xiyang Li & Bin Li, 2022. "Investments in the Asian water sector: an analysis based on the DCC-GARCH model," Palgrave Communications, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 9(1), pages 1-9, December.
    3. Hoang, Khoa & Cannavan, Damien & Gaunt, Clive & Huang, Ronghong, 2019. "Is that factor just lucky? Australian evidence," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 57(C).
    4. Hakim, M.S. & McAleer, M.J., 2009. "Dynamic Conditional Correlations in International Stock, Bond and Foreign Exchange Markets: Emerging Markets Evidence," Econometric Institute Research Papers EI 2009-33, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Erasmus School of Economics (ESE), Econometric Institute.
    5. Warren Dean & Robert Faff, 2011. "Feedback trading and the behavioural ICAPM: multivariate evidence across international equity and bond markets," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 21(22), pages 1665-1678.

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