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Testing for Smooth Transition Nonlinearity in the Presence of Outliers Author info | Abstract | Publisher info | Download info | Related research | Statistics Van Dijk, Dick
Franses, Philip Hans
Lucas, Andre
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Regime-switching models, like the smooth transition autoregressive (STAR) model, are typically applied to time series of moderate length. Hence, the nonlinear features that these models intend to describe may be reflected in only a few observations. Conversely, neglected outliers in a linear time series of moderate length may incorrectly suggest STAR (or other) type(s of) nonlinearity. In this article, the authors propose outlier robust tests for STAR-type nonlinearity. These tests are designed such that they have a better level and power behavior than standard nonrobust tests in situations with outliers. They formally derive local and global robustness properties of the new tests. Extensive Monte Carlo simulations show the practical usefulness of the robust tests. An application to several quarterly industrial production indexes illustrates that apparent nonlinearity in time series sometimes seems due to only a few outliers.
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Article provided by American Statistical Association in its journal Journal of Business and Economic Statistics .
Volume (Year): 17 (1999)
Issue (Month): 2 (April)
Pages: 217-35
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Handle: RePEc:bes:jnlbes:v:17:y:1999:i:2:p:217-35Contact details of provider: Web page: http://www.amstat.org/publications/jbes/index.cfm?fuseaction=main
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Keywords: Other versions of this item:
Paper Dijk, D.J.C. van & Franses, Ph.H.B.F. & Lucas, A., 1996.
"Testing for Smooth Transition Nonlinearity in the Presence of Outliers ,"
Econometric Institute Report
EI 9622-/A Revision_Date:, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Econometric Institute.
[Downloadable!] Dijk, Dick van & Franses, Philip Hans & Lucas, Andr•, 1996.
"Testing for smooth transition nonlinearity in the presence of outliers ,"
Econometric Institute Report
56, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Econometric Institute.
[Downloadable!] References listed on IDEAS Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile , click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.: Terasvirta, T & Anderson, H M, 1992.
"Characterizing Nonlinearities in Business Cycles Using Smooth Transition Autoregressive Models ,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics ,
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[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Franses, Philip Hans & Haldrup, Niels, 1994.
"The Effects of Additive Outliers on Tests for Unit Roots and Cointegration ,"
Journal of Business & Economic Statistics ,
American Statistical Association, vol. 12(4), pages 471-78, October.
Other versions: Hoek, Henk & Lucas, Andre & van Dijk, Herman K., 1995.
"Classical and Bayesian aspects of robust unit root inference ,"
Journal of Econometrics ,
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Rita Luukkonen & Timo Terasvirta, 1991.
"Testing Linearity of Economic Time Series against Cyclical Asymmetry ,"
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ADRES, issue 20-21, pages 07, Octobre-m.
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Peracchi, Franco, 1990.
"Robust M-Tests ,"
Working Papers
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Franco Peracchi, 1987.
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UCLA Economics Working Papers
459, UCLA Department of Economics.
[Downloadable!] Peracchi, Franco, 1991.
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Econometric Theory ,
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[Downloadable!] Balke, Nathan S & Fomby, Thomas B, 1994.
"Large Shocks, Small Shocks, and Economic Fluctuations: Outliers in Macroeconomic Time Series ,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics ,
John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 9(2), pages 181-200, April-Jun.
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Other versions:
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references Cited by : (explanations , Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile , click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.)
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[Downloadable!] Arghyrou, Michael G. & Gregoriou, Andros & Kontonikas, Alexandros, 2009.
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[Downloadable!] (restricted) M Sensier & D R Osborn & N Öcal, 2002.
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[Downloadable!] (restricted) Jesús Otero & Jeremy Smith, 2005.
"The KPSS Test with Outliers ,"
Computational Economics ,
Springer, vol. 26(3), pages 59-67, November.
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Otero, Jesus & Smith, Jeremy, 2003.
"The KPSS Test with Outliers ,"
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[Downloadable!] (restricted) Valentina Corradi & Norman R. Swanson, 2003.
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[Downloadable!] (restricted) D.J. Van Dijk & P.H. Franses, 2003.
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