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The Monetary Targeting Regime in Egypt: Theoretical and Empirical Investigations

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  • Ibrahim L. Awad

Abstract

The objective of this paper is to answer the following question: can the central bank of Egypt achieve the goal of price stability under the currently applied monetary targeting regime? The answer depends on whether or not the demand for money function is stable in Egypt. Using quarterly data on the period 1995-2007, the study estimated the long run demand for money function in Egypt. By testing its stability for structural change, the demand for money function is found instable. Thus, the study concludes that the central bank of Egypt cannot achieve price stability under the currently applied monetary targeting regime.

Suggested Citation

  • Ibrahim L. Awad, 2010. "The Monetary Targeting Regime in Egypt: Theoretical and Empirical Investigations," Economic Studies journal, Bulgarian Academy of Sciences - Economic Research Institute, issue 1, pages 150-164.
    • Handle: RePEc:bas:econst:y:2010:i:1:p:150-164
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Al-Mashat Rania & Billmeier Andreas, 2008. "The Monetary Transmission Mechanism in Egypt," Review of Middle East Economics and Finance, De Gruyter, vol. 4(3), pages 32-82, September.
    2. Mehra, Yash P, 1993. "The Stability of the M2 Demand Function: Evidence from an Error-Correction Model," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 25(3), pages 455-460, August.
    3. Marvin Goodfriend, 2008. "The Case for Price Stability with a Flexible Exchange Rate in the New Neoclassical Synthesis," Cato Journal, Cato Journal, Cato Institute, vol. 28(2), pages 247-254, Winter.
    4. Crowder, William J, 1998. "The Long-Run Link between Money Growth and Inflation," Economic Inquiry, Western Economic Association International, vol. 36(2), pages 229-243, April.
    5. Hallman, Jeffrey J & Porter, Richard D & Small, David H, 1991. "Is the Price Level Tied to the M2 Monetary Aggregate in the Long Run?," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 81(4), pages 841-858, September.
    6. Hetzel, Robert L, 1984. "Estimating Money Demand Functions," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 16(2), pages 185-193, May.
    7. Ibrahim L. Awad, 2009. "Did Egypt Satisfy Prerequisites for an it Regime?," Acta Oeconomica Pragensia, Prague University of Economics and Business, vol. 2009(6), pages 63-80.
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    Cited by:

    1. Rostom,Ahmed Mohamed Tawfick, 2016. "Money demand in the Arab Republic of Egypt : a vector equilibrium correction model," Policy Research Working Paper Series 7679, The World Bank.

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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • E40 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - General
    • E41 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Demand for Money
    • E42 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Monetary Sytsems; Standards; Regimes; Government and the Monetary System

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