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Demand Projections for Foodgrains in India

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  • Kumar, Praduman
  • Joshi, P.K.
  • Birthal, Pratap Singh

Abstract

Demand for foodgrains has been estimated for India for the years 2011-12, 2016-17 and 2021-22, by accounting for the factors like urbanization, regional variations in consumption pattern, shifts in dietary pattern and income distribution, limit on energy requirement and changes in tastes and preferences of consumers for food varieties. Indirect demand including ‘home away demand’ has also been considered in working out these food demand projections. Policy scenario has been presented and yield targets for the years 2011-12, 2016-17 and 2021-22 have been projected to meet the demand of foodgrams in these years.

Suggested Citation

  • Kumar, Praduman & Joshi, P.K. & Birthal, Pratap Singh, 2009. "Demand Projections for Foodgrains in India," Agricultural Economics Research Review, Agricultural Economics Research Association (India), vol. 22(2), July.
    • Handle: RePEc:ags:aerrae:57405
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.57405
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    1. Rosegrant, Mark W. & Agcaoili-Sombilla, Mercedita C. & Perez, Nicostrato D., 1995. "Global food projections to 2020: implications for investment," 2020 vision discussion papers 5, International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI).
    2. Kumar, Praduman & Mittal, Surabhi, 2006. "Agricultural Productivity Trends in India: Sustainability Issues," Agricultural Economics Research Review, Agricultural Economics Research Association (India), vol. 19(Conferenc).
    3. Praduman kumar & Anjani kumar & Surabhi Mittal, 2004. "Total Factor Productivity of Crop Sector in the Indo-Gangetic Plain of India: Sustainability issues revisited," Indian Economic Review, Department of Economics, Delhi School of Economics, vol. 39(1), pages 169-201, January.
    4. Bouis, Howarth E. & Haddad, Lawrence J., 1992. "Are estimates of calorie-income fxelasticities too high? : A recalibration of the plausible range," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 39(2), pages 333-364, October.
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    1. Rathore, Vijay Singh & Nathawat, Narayan Singh & Bhardwaj, Seema & Yadav, Bhagirath Mal & Santra, Priyabrata & Kumar, Mahesh & Shekhawat, Ravindra Singh & Reager, Madan Lal & Yadav, Shish Ram & Lal, B, 2022. "Alternative cropping systems and optimized management practices for saving groundwater and enhancing economic and environmental sustainability," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 272(C).
    2. Suresh, A. & Reddy, A.A., 2016. "Total Factor Productivity of Major Pulse Crops in India: Implications for Technology Policy and Nutritional Security," Agricultural Economics Research Review, Agricultural Economics Research Association (India), vol. 29(Conferenc).
    3. Aditya R. Khanal & Ashok K. Mishra & Walter Keithly, 2016. "Heterogeneity in Food Demand among Rural Indian Households: The Role of Demographics," Canadian Journal of Agricultural Economics/Revue canadienne d'agroeconomie, Canadian Agricultural Economics Society/Societe canadienne d'agroeconomie, vol. 64(3), pages 517-544, September.
    4. Debnath, Deepayan & Babu, Suresh & Ghosh, Parijat & Helmar, Michael, 2018. "The impact of India’s food security policy on domestic and international rice market," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 40(2), pages 265-283.
    5. Shinoj Parappurathu & Anjani Kumar & Shiv Kumar & Rajni Jain, 2014. "A Partial Equilibrium Model for Future Outlooks on Major Cereals in India," Margin: The Journal of Applied Economic Research, National Council of Applied Economic Research, vol. 8(2), pages 155-192, May.
    6. Kumar, Praduman & Joshi, P.K., 2014. "Input Subsidy vs Farm Technology — Which is More Important for Agricultural Development?," Agricultural Economics Research Review, Agricultural Economics Research Association (India), vol. 27(1).
    7. Jayatilleke S. Bandara, 2013. "What is Driving India’s Food Inflation? A Survey of Recent Evidence," South Asia Economic Journal, Institute of Policy Studies of Sri Lanka, vol. 14(1), pages 127-156, March.
    8. Naveed Hayat & Anwar Hussain & Hazrat Yousaf, 2016. "Food Demand in Pakistan," South Asia Economic Journal, Institute of Policy Studies of Sri Lanka, vol. 17(1), pages 94-113, March.
    9. Debnath, Deepayan & Babu, Suresh Chandra & Ghosh, Parijat & Helmer, Michael, 2017. "Impact of India’s National Food Security Act on domestic and international rice markets," IFPRI discussion papers 1635, International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI).
    10. Joshi, Pramod Kumar & Rao, P. Parthasarathy, 2016. "Global and regional pulse economies: Current trends and outlook:," IFPRI discussion papers 1544, International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI).
    11. Niti Aayog GOI, 2016. "Raising Agricultural Productivity and Making Farming Remunerative for Farmers," Working Papers id:8429, eSocialSciences.
    12. Mkumbwa, Solomon S., 2011. "Cereal food commodities in Eastern Africa: consumption - production gap trends and projections for 2020," MPRA Paper 42113, University Library of Munich, Germany.

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    Keywords

    Agricultural and Food Policy;

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