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The Aging of the Population and the Size of the Welfare State Author info | Abstract | Publisher info | Download info | Related research | Statistics Phillip Swagel
Efraim Sadka
Assaf Razin
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Data for the United States and countries in Western Europe indicate a negative correlation between the dependency ratio and both labor tax rates and the generosity of social transfers, after controlling for other factors that influence the size of the welfare state. This is despite the increased political clout of the dependent population implied by the aging of the population. This paper develops a model of intra-and inter-generational transfers and human capital formation which addresses this seeming puzzle. We show that with democratic voting, a higher dependency ratio can lead to lower taxes or less generous social transfers.
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Paper provided by International Monetary Fund in its series IMF Working Papers with number
02/68.
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Length: 24 pages
Date of creation: 24 Apr 2002Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:imf:imfwpa:02/68Contact details of provider: Postal: International Monetary Fund, Washington, DC USA Phone: (202) 623-7000 Fax: (202) 623-4661 Email: Web page: http://www.imf.org/external/pubind.htm More information through EDIRC
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Keywords: Pensioners ; Economic policy ; Labor ; Tax rates ; Economic models ; Other versions of this item:
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