We provide numerically reliable analytical expressions for the score of conditionally heteroskedastic dynamic regression models when the conditional distribution is multivariate t. We also derive one-sided and two-sided LM tests for multivariate normality versus multivariate t based on the first two moments of the norm of the standardised innovations evaluated at the Gaussian quasi-ML estimators of the conditional mean and variance parameters. We reinterpret them as specification tests for multivariate excess kurtosis, and show that they have power against lepkurtic alternatives. Finally, we analyse UK stock returns, and confirm that their conditional distribution has fat tails.
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Paper provided by Centro de Estudios Monetarios Y Financieros- in its series Papers with number
0007.
Length: 29 pages Date of creation: 2000 Date of revision: Handle: RePEc:fth:cemfdt:0007
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Find related papers by JEL classification: C52 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Model Evaluation and Testing C52 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Model Evaluation and Testing
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