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Central Bank Intervention and Properties of the 1920s Currency Markets

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Author Info
Richard T Baillie, () (Michigan State University)
Young-Wook Han () (City University of Hong Kong)

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Abstract

The 1920s currency markets represent one of the earliest recorded periods of central bank intervention. This paper uses a relatively new set of daily data for four currencies and finds the exchange rate returns have the widespread long memory property that is also consistent with today’s post Bretton Woods era. This paper quantifies the duration of the effectiveness of the very heavy intervention by the Bank of France on four exchange rates. The intervention is found to have direct effects on the French Franc spot rate, but not on market volatility. There is also some evidence that the intervention had moderate influence on a time dependant risk premium.

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File URL: http://www.eaber.org/intranet/documents/23/159/CUHK_Baillie_02.pdf
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Publisher Info
Paper provided by East Asian Bureau of Economic Research in its series Finance Working Papers with number 159.

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Length: 25 pages
Date of creation: Apr 2002
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:eab:financ:159

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Postal: JG Crawford Building #13, Asia Pacific School of Economics and Government, Australian National University, ACT 0200
Web page: http://www.eaber.org
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Related research
Keywords: Central bank intervention; currency market; exchange rate;

Find related papers by JEL classification:
C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions
F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange

References listed on IDEAS
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  1. Graciela L. Kaminsky & Karen K. Lewis, 1996. "Does foreign exchange intervention signal future monetary policy?," Working Papers 96-7, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  2. Vlaar, Peter J G & Palm, Franz C, 1993. "The Message in Weekly Exchange Rates in the European Monetary System: Mean Reversion, Conditional Heteroscedasticity, and Jumps," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 11(3), pages 351-60, July.
  3. Michael W. Klein & Eric S. Rosengren, 1991. "Foreign exchange intervention as a signal of monetary policy," New England Economic Review, Federal Reserve Bank of Boston, issue May, pages 39-50.
  4. Chang, Yuanchen & Taylor, Stephen J., 1998. "Intraday effects of foreign exchange intervention by the Bank of Japan1," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 17(1), pages 191-210, February. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  5. Dominguez, Kathryn M & Frankel, Jeffrey A, 1993. "Does Foreign-Exchange Intervention Matter? The Portfolio Effect," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 83(5), pages 1356-69, December. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  6. Baillie, Richard T. & Bollerslev, Tim & Mikkelsen, Hans Ole, 1996. "Fractionally integrated generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 74(1), pages 3-30, September. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  7. Tim Bollerslev & Jeffrey M. Wooldridge, 1988. "Quasi-Maximum Likelihood Estimation of Dynamic Models with Time-Varying Covariances," Working papers 505, Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT), Department of Economics.
  8. Maurice Obstfeld, 1991. "The Effectiveness of Foreign-Exchange Intervention: Recent Experience," NBER Working Papers 2796, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  9. Cheung, Yin-Wong, 1993. "Long Memory in Foreign-Exchange Rates," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 11(1), pages 93-101, January.
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Statistics
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