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Risk Aversion in International Relations Theory

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Author Info
O'Neill,Barry
Abstract

|When international relations theorists use the concept of risk aversion, they usually cite the economics conception involving concave utility functions. However, concavity is meaningful only when the goal is measurable on an interval scale. International decisions are usually not of this type, so that many statements appearing in the literature are formally meaningless. Applications of prospect theory face this difficulty especially, as risk aversion and acceptance are at their center. This paper gives two definitions of risk attitude that do not require an interval scale. The second and more distinctive one uses the property of submodularity in place of concavity. R. D. Luce has devised a theory of choice with features of prospect theory but not requiring on an interval scale, and the second definition in combination with this theory yields the traditional claim that decision makers are risk-averse for gains and risk-seeking for losses.

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File URL: ftp://web.bgse.uni-bonn.de/pub/RePEc/bon/bonsfb/bonsfb445.pdf
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Publisher Info
Paper provided by University of Bonn, Germany in its series Discussion Paper Serie B with number 445.

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Date of creation: Dec 1998
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Handle: RePEc:bon:bonsfb:445

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Postal: Bonn Graduate School of Economics, University of Bonn, Adenauerallee 24 - 26, 53113 Bonn, Germany
Fax: +49 228 73 9221
Web page: http://www.bgse.uni-bonn.de/index.php?id=517

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Related research
Keywords: risk aversion; prospect theory; international relations; joint receipts; measurement theory.;

Find related papers by JEL classification:
D81 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - Criteria for Decision-Making under Risk and Uncertainty

This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

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