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Grzegorz Marcjasz

Citations

Many of the citations below have been collected in an experimental project, CitEc, where a more detailed citation analysis can be found. These are citations from works listed in RePEc that could be analyzed mechanically. So far, only a minority of all works could be analyzed. See under "Corrections" how you can help improve the citation analysis.

Working papers

  1. Grzegorz Marcjasz & Micha{l} Narajewski & Rafa{l} Weron & Florian Ziel, 2022. "Distributional neural networks for electricity price forecasting," Papers 2207.02832, arXiv.org, revised Dec 2022.

    Cited by:

    1. Michał Narajewski, 2022. "Probabilistic Forecasting of German Electricity Imbalance Prices," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(14), pages 1-17, July.
    2. Jonathan Berrisch & Florian Ziel, 2023. "Multivariate Probabilistic CRPS Learning with an Application to Day-Ahead Electricity Prices," Papers 2303.10019, arXiv.org, revised Feb 2024.
    3. Jozef Barunik & Lubos Hanus, 2023. "Learning Probability Distributions of Day-Ahead Electricity Prices," Papers 2310.02867, arXiv.org, revised Oct 2023.
    4. Weronika Nitka & Rafa{l} Weron, 2023. "Combining predictive distributions of electricity prices: Does minimizing the CRPS lead to optimal decisions in day-ahead bidding?," Papers 2308.15443, arXiv.org.
    5. Arkadiusz Lipiecki & Bartosz Uniejewski & Rafa{l} Weron, 2024. "Postprocessing of point predictions for probabilistic forecasting of electricity prices: Diversity matters," Papers 2404.02270, arXiv.org.
    6. Manuel Zamudio López & Hamidreza Zareipour & Mike Quashie, 2024. "Forecasting the Occurrence of Electricity Price Spikes: A Statistical-Economic Investigation Study," Forecasting, MDPI, vol. 6(1), pages 1-23, February.
    7. Simon Hirsch & Florian Ziel, 2023. "Multivariate Simulation-based Forecasting for Intraday Power Markets: Modelling Cross-Product Price Effects," Papers 2306.13419, arXiv.org.

  2. Arkadiusz Jk{e}drzejewski & Jesus Lago & Grzegorz Marcjasz & Rafa{l} Weron, 2022. "Electricity Price Forecasting: The Dawn of Machine Learning," Papers 2204.00883, arXiv.org.

    Cited by:

    1. Grzegorz Marcjasz & Micha{l} Narajewski & Rafa{l} Weron & Florian Ziel, 2022. "Distributional neural networks for electricity price forecasting," Papers 2207.02832, arXiv.org, revised Dec 2022.
    2. Katarzyna Maciejowska & Bartosz Uniejewski & Rafa{l} Weron, 2022. "Forecasting Electricity Prices," Papers 2204.11735, arXiv.org.
    3. Cramer, Eike & Witthaut, Dirk & Mitsos, Alexander & Dahmen, Manuel, 2023. "Multivariate probabilistic forecasting of intraday electricity prices using normalizing flows," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 346(C).

  3. Kin G. Olivares & Cristian Challu & Grzegorz Marcjasz & Rafal Weron & Artur Dubrawski, 2021. "Neural basis expansion analysis with exogenous variables: Forecasting electricity prices with NBEATSx," WORking papers in Management Science (WORMS) WORMS/21/07, Department of Operations Research and Business Intelligence, Wroclaw University of Science and Technology.

    Cited by:

    1. Grzegorz Marcjasz & Micha{l} Narajewski & Rafa{l} Weron & Florian Ziel, 2022. "Distributional neural networks for electricity price forecasting," Papers 2207.02832, arXiv.org, revised Dec 2022.
    2. Saâdaoui, Foued & Ben Jabeur, Sami, 2023. "Analyzing the influence of geopolitical risks on European power prices using a multiresolution causal neural network," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 124(C).

  4. Jesus Lago & Grzegorz Marcjasz & Bart De Schutter & Rafal Weron, 2021. "Erratum to 'Forecasting day-ahead electricity prices: A review of state-of-the-art algorithms, best practices and an open-access benchmark' [Appl. Energy 293 (2021) 116983]," WORking papers in Management Science (WORMS) WORMS/21/12, Department of Operations Research and Business Intelligence, Wroclaw University of Science and Technology.

    Cited by:

    1. Nikola Mišnić & Bojan Pejović & Jelena Jovović & Sunčica Rogić & Vladimir Đurišić, 2022. "The Economic Viability of PV Power Plant Based on a Neural Network Model of Electricity Prices Forecast: A Case of a Developing Market," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(17), pages 1-14, August.
    2. Michał Narajewski, 2022. "Probabilistic Forecasting of German Electricity Imbalance Prices," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(14), pages 1-17, July.
    3. Kin G. Olivares & Cristian Challu & Grzegorz Marcjasz & Rafal Weron & Artur Dubrawski, 2021. "Neural basis expansion analysis with exogenous variables: Forecasting electricity prices with NBEATSx," WORking papers in Management Science (WORMS) WORMS/21/07, Department of Operations Research and Business Intelligence, Wroclaw University of Science and Technology.
    4. Vladimir Franki & Darin Majnarić & Alfredo Višković, 2023. "A Comprehensive Review of Artificial Intelligence (AI) Companies in the Power Sector," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(3), pages 1-35, January.
    5. Dimitrios Kontogiannis & Dimitrios Bargiotas & Aspassia Daskalopulu & Athanasios Ioannis Arvanitidis & Lefteri H. Tsoukalas, 2022. "Error Compensation Enhanced Day-Ahead Electricity Price Forecasting," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(4), pages 1-21, February.
    6. Bartosz Uniejewski, 2023. "Electricity price forecasting with Smoothing Quantile Regression Averaging: Quantifying economic benefits of probabilistic forecasts," Papers 2302.00411, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2024.
    7. Jethro Browell & Ciaran Gilbert, 2022. "Predicting Electricity Imbalance Prices and Volumes: Capabilities and Opportunities," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(10), pages 1-7, May.
    8. Hakan Acaroğlu & Fausto Pedro García Márquez, 2021. "Comprehensive Review on Electricity Market Price and Load Forecasting Based on Wind Energy," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(22), pages 1-23, November.
    9. Tomasz Zema & Adam Sulich, 2022. "Models of Electricity Price Forecasting: Bibliometric Research," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(15), pages 1-18, August.
    10. Grzegorz Dudek, 2022. "A Comprehensive Study of Random Forest for Short-Term Load Forecasting," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(20), pages 1-19, October.
    11. Grzegorz Marcjasz & Micha{l} Narajewski & Rafa{l} Weron & Florian Ziel, 2022. "Distributional neural networks for electricity price forecasting," Papers 2207.02832, arXiv.org, revised Dec 2022.
    12. Ivan Borisov Todorov & Fernando Sánchez Lasheras, 2022. "Forecasting Applied to the Electricity, Energy, Gas and Oil Industries: A Systematic Review," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 10(21), pages 1-15, October.
    13. Stefano Frizzo Stefenon & Laio Oriel Seman & Viviana Cocco Mariani & Leandro dos Santos Coelho, 2023. "Aggregating Prophet and Seasonal Trend Decomposition for Time Series Forecasting of Italian Electricity Spot Prices," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(3), pages 1-18, January.
    14. Julia Nasiadka & Weronika Nitka & Rafa{l} Weron, 2022. "Calibration window selection based on change-point detection for forecasting electricity prices," Papers 2204.00872, arXiv.org.
    15. Katarzyna Maciejowska & Bartosz Uniejewski & Rafa{l} Weron, 2022. "Forecasting Electricity Prices," Papers 2204.11735, arXiv.org.
    16. Stephen Haben & Julien Caudron & Jake Verma, 2021. "Probabilistic Day-Ahead Wholesale Price Forecast: A Case Study in Great Britain," Forecasting, MDPI, vol. 3(3), pages 1-37, August.
    17. Roman V. Klyuev & Irbek D. Morgoev & Angelika D. Morgoeva & Oksana A. Gavrina & Nikita V. Martyushev & Egor A. Efremenkov & Qi Mengxu, 2022. "Methods of Forecasting Electric Energy Consumption: A Literature Review," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(23), pages 1-33, November.
    18. Joanna Janczura & Andrzej Puć, 2023. "ARX-GARCH Probabilistic Price Forecasts for Diversification of Trade in Electricity Markets—Variance Stabilizing Transformation and Financial Risk-Minimizing Portfolio Allocation," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(2), pages 1-28, January.
    19. Micha{l} Narajewski, 2022. "Probabilistic forecasting of German electricity imbalance prices," Papers 2205.11439, arXiv.org.
    20. Arkadiusz Jedrzejewski & Grzegorz Marcjasz & Rafal Weron, 2021. "Importance of the long-term seasonal component in day-ahead electricity price forecasting revisited: Parameter-rich models estimated via the LASSO," WORking papers in Management Science (WORMS) WORMS/21/04, Department of Operations Research and Business Intelligence, Wroclaw University of Science and Technology.
    21. Fang Guo & Shangyun Deng & Weijia Zheng & An Wen & Jinfeng Du & Guangshan Huang & Ruiyang Wang, 2022. "Short-Term Electricity Price Forecasting Based on the Two-Layer VMD Decomposition Technique and SSA-LSTM," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(22), pages 1-20, November.
    22. Nazila Pourhaji & Mohammad Asadpour & Ali Ahmadian & Ali Elkamel, 2022. "The Investigation of Monthly/Seasonal Data Clustering Impact on Short-Term Electricity Price Forecasting Accuracy: Ontario Province Case Study," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(5), pages 1-14, March.
    23. Diankai Wang & Inna Gryshova & Mykola Kyzym & Tetiana Salashenko & Viktoriia Khaustova & Maryna Shcherbata, 2022. "Electricity Price Instability over Time: Time Series Analysis and Forecasting," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(15), pages 1-24, July.
    24. Aris Dimeas & George Kiokes, 2022. "PV Penetration under Market Environment and with System Constraints," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(22), pages 1-11, November.
    25. Hain, Martin & Kargus, Tobias & Schermeyer, Hans & Uhrig-Homburg, Marliese & Fichtner, Wolf, 2022. "An electricity price modeling framework for renewable-dominant markets," Working Paper Series in Production and Energy 66, Karlsruhe Institute of Technology (KIT), Institute for Industrial Production (IIP).

  5. Arkadiusz Jedrzejewski & Grzegorz Marcjasz & Rafal Weron, 2021. "Importance of the long-term seasonal component in day-ahead electricity price forecasting revisited: Parameter-rich models estimated via the LASSO," WORking papers in Management Science (WORMS) WORMS/21/04, Department of Operations Research and Business Intelligence, Wroclaw University of Science and Technology.

    Cited by:

    1. Özen, Kadir & Yıldırım, Dilem, 2021. "Application of bagging in day-ahead electricity price forecasting and factor augmentation," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 103(C).
    2. Finnah, Benedikt & Gönsch, Jochen & Ziel, Florian, 2022. "Integrated day-ahead and intraday self-schedule bidding for energy storage systems using approximate dynamic programming," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 301(2), pages 726-746.
    3. Tomasz Zema & Adam Sulich, 2022. "Models of Electricity Price Forecasting: Bibliometric Research," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(15), pages 1-18, August.
    4. Grzegorz Marcjasz & Micha{l} Narajewski & Rafa{l} Weron & Florian Ziel, 2022. "Distributional neural networks for electricity price forecasting," Papers 2207.02832, arXiv.org, revised Dec 2022.
    5. Katarzyna Maciejowska & Bartosz Uniejewski & Rafa{l} Weron, 2022. "Forecasting Electricity Prices," Papers 2204.11735, arXiv.org.
    6. Nazila Pourhaji & Mohammad Asadpour & Ali Ahmadian & Ali Elkamel, 2022. "The Investigation of Monthly/Seasonal Data Clustering Impact on Short-Term Electricity Price Forecasting Accuracy: Ontario Province Case Study," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(5), pages 1-14, March.

  6. Tomasz Serafin & Grzegorz Marcjasz & Rafal Weron, 2020. "Trading on short-term path forecasts of intraday electricity prices," WORking papers in Management Science (WORMS) WORMS/20/17, Department of Operations Research and Business Intelligence, Wroclaw University of Science and Technology.

    Cited by:

    1. Krishna, Attoti Bharath & Abhyankar, Abhijit R., 2023. "Time-coupled day-ahead wind power scenario generation: A combined regular vine copula and variance reduction method," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 265(C).
    2. Cramer, Eike & Witthaut, Dirk & Mitsos, Alexander & Dahmen, Manuel, 2023. "Multivariate probabilistic forecasting of intraday electricity prices using normalizing flows," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 346(C).
    3. Simon Hirsch & Florian Ziel, 2023. "Multivariate Simulation-based Forecasting for Intraday Power Markets: Modelling Cross-Product Price Effects," Papers 2306.13419, arXiv.org.
    4. Rainer Baule & Michael Naumann, 2022. "Flexible Short-Term Electricity Certificates—An Analysis of Trading Strategies on the Continuous Intraday Market," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(17), pages 1-28, August.

  7. Grzegorz Marcjasz & Jesus Lago & Rafa{l} Weron, 2020. "Neural networks in day-ahead electricity price forecasting: Single vs. multiple outputs," Papers 2008.08006, arXiv.org.

    Cited by:

    1. Jesus Lago & Grzegorz Marcjasz & Bart De Schutter & Rafa{l} Weron, 2020. "Forecasting day-ahead electricity prices: A review of state-of-the-art algorithms, best practices and an open-access benchmark," Papers 2008.08004, arXiv.org, revised Dec 2020.
    2. Fangze Zhou & Hui Zhou & Zhaoyan Li & Kai Zhao, 2022. "Multi-Step Ahead Short-Term Electricity Load Forecasting Using VMD-TCN and Error Correction Strategy," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(15), pages 1-18, July.
    3. Dimitrios Kontogiannis & Dimitrios Bargiotas & Aspassia Daskalopulu & Athanasios Ioannis Arvanitidis & Lefteri H. Tsoukalas, 2022. "Error Compensation Enhanced Day-Ahead Electricity Price Forecasting," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(4), pages 1-21, February.
    4. Li, Wei & Becker, Denis Mike, 2021. "Day-ahead electricity price prediction applying hybrid models of LSTM-based deep learning methods and feature selection algorithms under consideration of market coupling," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 237(C).
    5. Wei Li & Denis Mike Becker, 2021. "Day-ahead electricity price prediction applying hybrid models of LSTM-based deep learning methods and feature selection algorithms under consideration of market coupling," Papers 2101.05249, arXiv.org, revised Jul 2021.

  8. Grzegorz Marcjasz & Bartosz Uniejewski & Rafal Weron, 2020. "Beating the naive: Combining LASSO with naive intraday electricity price forecasts," WORking papers in Management Science (WORMS) WORMS/20/01, Department of Operations Research and Business Intelligence, Wroclaw University of Science and Technology.

    Cited by:

    1. Özen, Kadir & Yıldırım, Dilem, 2021. "Application of bagging in day-ahead electricity price forecasting and factor augmentation," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 103(C).
    2. Petropoulos, Fotios & Apiletti, Daniele & Assimakopoulos, Vassilios & Babai, Mohamed Zied & Barrow, Devon K. & Ben Taieb, Souhaib & Bergmeir, Christoph & Bessa, Ricardo J. & Bijak, Jakub & Boylan, Joh, 2022. "Forecasting: theory and practice," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 38(3), pages 705-871.
      • Fotios Petropoulos & Daniele Apiletti & Vassilios Assimakopoulos & Mohamed Zied Babai & Devon K. Barrow & Souhaib Ben Taieb & Christoph Bergmeir & Ricardo J. Bessa & Jakub Bijak & John E. Boylan & Jet, 2020. "Forecasting: theory and practice," Papers 2012.03854, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2022.
    3. Kuppelwieser, Thomas & Wozabal, David, 2021. "Liquidity costs on intraday power markets: Continuous trading versus auctions," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 154(C).
    4. Katarzyna Maciejowska & Bartosz Uniejewski & Tomasz Serafin, 2020. "PCA forecast averaging - predicting day-ahead and intraday electricity prices," WORking papers in Management Science (WORMS) WORMS/20/02, Department of Operations Research and Business Intelligence, Wroclaw University of Science and Technology.
    5. Yuriy Bilan & Serhiy Kozmenko & Alex Plastun, 2022. "Price Forecasting in Energy Market," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(24), pages 1-6, December.
    6. Philip Beran & Arne Vogler, 2021. "Multi-Day-Ahead Electricity Price Forecasting: A Comparison of fundamental, econometric and hybrid Models," EWL Working Papers 2102, University of Duisburg-Essen, Chair for Management Science and Energy Economics, revised Oct 2021.
    7. Hugo Siqueira & Mariana Macedo & Yara de Souza Tadano & Thiago Antonini Alves & Sergio L. Stevan & Domingos S. Oliveira & Manoel H.N. Marinho & Paulo S.G. de Mattos Neto & João F. L. de Oliveira & Ive, 2020. "Selection of Temporal Lags for Predicting Riverflow Series from Hydroelectric Plants Using Variable Selection Methods," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(16), pages 1-35, August.
    8. Micha{l} Narajewski & Florian Ziel, 2020. "Ensemble Forecasting for Intraday Electricity Prices: Simulating Trajectories," Papers 2005.01365, arXiv.org, revised Aug 2020.
    9. Grzegorz Marcjasz, 2020. "Forecasting Electricity Prices Using Deep Neural Networks: A Robust Hyper-Parameter Selection Scheme," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(18), pages 1-18, September.
    10. Arkadiusz Jedrzejewski & Grzegorz Marcjasz & Rafal Weron, 2021. "Importance of the long-term seasonal component in day-ahead electricity price forecasting revisited: Parameter-rich models estimated via the LASSO," WORking papers in Management Science (WORMS) WORMS/21/04, Department of Operations Research and Business Intelligence, Wroclaw University of Science and Technology.
    11. Kadir Özen & Dilem Yıldırım, 2021. "Application of Bagging in Day-Ahead Electricity Price Forecasting and Factor Augmentation," ERC Working Papers 2101, ERC - Economic Research Center, Middle East Technical University, revised Apr 2021.
    12. Silvia Golia & Luigi Grossi & Matteo Pelagatti, 2022. "Machine Learning Models and Intra-Daily Market Information for the Prediction of Italian Electricity Prices," Forecasting, MDPI, vol. 5(1), pages 1-21, December.
    13. Grzegorz Marcjasz & Jesus Lago & Rafa{l} Weron, 2020. "Neural networks in day-ahead electricity price forecasting: Single vs. multiple outputs," Papers 2008.08006, arXiv.org.
    14. Narajewski, Michał & Ziel, Florian, 2020. "Ensemble forecasting for intraday electricity prices: Simulating trajectories," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 279(C).

  9. Jesus Lago & Grzegorz Marcjasz & Bart De Schutter & Rafa{l} Weron, 2020. "Forecasting day-ahead electricity prices: A review of state-of-the-art algorithms, best practices and an open-access benchmark," Papers 2008.08004, arXiv.org, revised Dec 2020.

    Cited by:

    1. Özen, Kadir & Yıldırım, Dilem, 2021. "Application of bagging in day-ahead electricity price forecasting and factor augmentation," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 103(C).
    2. Stylianos Loizidis & Georgios Konstantinidis & Spyros Theocharides & Andreas Kyprianou & George E. Georghiou, 2023. "Electricity Day-Ahead Market Conditions and Their Effect on the Different Supervised Algorithms for Market Price Forecasting," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(12), pages 1-29, June.
    3. Nikola Mišnić & Bojan Pejović & Jelena Jovović & Sunčica Rogić & Vladimir Đurišić, 2022. "The Economic Viability of PV Power Plant Based on a Neural Network Model of Electricity Prices Forecast: A Case of a Developing Market," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(17), pages 1-14, August.
    4. Daniel Foronda-Pascual & Andrés M. Alonso, 2023. "Prediction of Matching Prices in Electricity Markets through Curve Representation," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(23), pages 1-20, November.
    5. Jiang, Ping & Nie, Ying & Wang, Jianzhou & Huang, Xiaojia, 2023. "Multivariable short-term electricity price forecasting using artificial intelligence and multi-input multi-output scheme," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 117(C).
    6. Oliver Grothe & Fabian Kachele & Fabian Kruger, 2022. "From point forecasts to multivariate probabilistic forecasts: The Schaake shuffle for day-ahead electricity price forecasting," Papers 2204.10154, arXiv.org.
    7. Michał Narajewski, 2022. "Probabilistic Forecasting of German Electricity Imbalance Prices," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(14), pages 1-17, July.
    8. Kin G. Olivares & Cristian Challu & Grzegorz Marcjasz & Rafal Weron & Artur Dubrawski, 2021. "Neural basis expansion analysis with exogenous variables: Forecasting electricity prices with NBEATSx," WORking papers in Management Science (WORMS) WORMS/21/07, Department of Operations Research and Business Intelligence, Wroclaw University of Science and Technology.
    9. Yin, Linfei & Qiu, Yao, 2022. "Neural network dynamic differential control for long-term price guidance mechanism of flexible energy service providers," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 255(C).
    10. Juan M. Lujano-Rojas & Rodolfo Dufo-López & Jesús Sergio Artal-Sevil & Eduardo García-Paricio, 2023. "Searching for Promisingly Trained Artificial Neural Networks," Forecasting, MDPI, vol. 5(3), pages 1-26, September.
    11. Vladimir Franki & Darin Majnarić & Alfredo Višković, 2023. "A Comprehensive Review of Artificial Intelligence (AI) Companies in the Power Sector," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(3), pages 1-35, January.
    12. Daniel Manfre Jaimes & Manuel Zamudio López & Hamidreza Zareipour & Mike Quashie, 2023. "A Hybrid Model for Multi-Day-Ahead Electricity Price Forecasting considering Price Spikes," Forecasting, MDPI, vol. 5(3), pages 1-23, July.
    13. Skrzypczak, Dawid & Trzaska, Krzysztof & Mikula, Katarzyna & Gil, Filip & Izydorczyk, Grzegorz & Mironiuk, Małgorzata & Polomska, Xymena & Moustakas, Konstantinos & Witek-Krowiak, Anna & Chojnacka, Ka, 2023. "Conversion of anaerobic digestates from biogas plants: Laboratory fertilizer formulation, scale-up and demonstration of applicative properties on plants," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 203(C), pages 506-517.
    14. Jozef Barunik & Lubos Hanus, 2023. "Learning Probability Distributions of Day-Ahead Electricity Prices," Papers 2310.02867, arXiv.org, revised Oct 2023.
    15. Tschora, Léonard & Pierre, Erwan & Plantevit, Marc & Robardet, Céline, 2022. "Electricity price forecasting on the day-ahead market using machine learning," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 313(C).
    16. Dimitrios Kontogiannis & Dimitrios Bargiotas & Aspassia Daskalopulu & Athanasios Ioannis Arvanitidis & Lefteri H. Tsoukalas, 2022. "Error Compensation Enhanced Day-Ahead Electricity Price Forecasting," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(4), pages 1-21, February.
    17. Bartosz Uniejewski, 2023. "Electricity price forecasting with Smoothing Quantile Regression Averaging: Quantifying economic benefits of probabilistic forecasts," Papers 2302.00411, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2024.
    18. Jethro Browell & Ciaran Gilbert, 2022. "Predicting Electricity Imbalance Prices and Volumes: Capabilities and Opportunities," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(10), pages 1-7, May.
    19. Mira Watermeyer & Thomas Mobius & Oliver Grothe & Felix Musgens, 2023. "A hybrid model for day-ahead electricity price forecasting: Combining fundamental and stochastic modelling," Papers 2304.09336, arXiv.org.
    20. Haokun Su & Xiangang Peng & Hanyu Liu & Huan Quan & Kaitong Wu & Zhiwen Chen, 2022. "Multi-Step-Ahead Electricity Price Forecasting Based on Temporal Graph Convolutional Network," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 10(14), pages 1-16, July.
    21. Hakan Acaroğlu & Fausto Pedro García Márquez, 2021. "Comprehensive Review on Electricity Market Price and Load Forecasting Based on Wind Energy," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(22), pages 1-23, November.
    22. Eric Cebekhulu & Adeiza James Onumanyi & Sherrin John Isaac, 2022. "Performance Analysis of Machine Learning Algorithms for Energy Demand–Supply Prediction in Smart Grids," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(5), pages 1-26, February.
    23. Léonard Tschora & Erwan Pierre & Marc Plantevit & Céline Robardet, 2022. "Electricity price forecasting on the day-ahead market using machine learning," Post-Print hal-03621974, HAL.
    24. Shiva Zamani & Alireza Moslemi Haghighi & Hamid Arian, 2023. "Temporal Volatility Surface Projection: Parametric Surface Projection Method for Derivatives Portfolio Risk Management," Papers 2311.14985, arXiv.org.
    25. Tomasz Zema & Adam Sulich, 2022. "Models of Electricity Price Forecasting: Bibliometric Research," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(15), pages 1-18, August.
    26. Weronika Nitka & Rafa{l} Weron, 2023. "Combining predictive distributions of electricity prices: Does minimizing the CRPS lead to optimal decisions in day-ahead bidding?," Papers 2308.15443, arXiv.org.
    27. Grzegorz Dudek, 2022. "A Comprehensive Study of Random Forest for Short-Term Load Forecasting," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(20), pages 1-19, October.
    28. Arkadiusz Lipiecki & Bartosz Uniejewski & Rafa{l} Weron, 2024. "Postprocessing of point predictions for probabilistic forecasting of electricity prices: Diversity matters," Papers 2404.02270, arXiv.org.
    29. Krishna Prakash N. & Jai Govind Singh, 2023. "Electricity price forecasting using hybrid deep learned networks," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(7), pages 1750-1771, November.
    30. Grzegorz Marcjasz & Micha{l} Narajewski & Rafa{l} Weron & Florian Ziel, 2022. "Distributional neural networks for electricity price forecasting," Papers 2207.02832, arXiv.org, revised Dec 2022.
    31. Ivan Borisov Todorov & Fernando Sánchez Lasheras, 2022. "Forecasting Applied to the Electricity, Energy, Gas and Oil Industries: A Systematic Review," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 10(21), pages 1-15, October.
    32. Stefano Frizzo Stefenon & Laio Oriel Seman & Viviana Cocco Mariani & Leandro dos Santos Coelho, 2023. "Aggregating Prophet and Seasonal Trend Decomposition for Time Series Forecasting of Italian Electricity Spot Prices," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(3), pages 1-18, January.
    33. Bartosz Uniejewski, 2024. "Regularization for electricity price forecasting," Papers 2404.03968, arXiv.org.
    34. Grothe, Oliver & Kächele, Fabian & Krüger, Fabian, 2023. "From point forecasts to multivariate probabilistic forecasts: The Schaake shuffle for day-ahead electricity price forecasting," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 120(C).
    35. Julia Nasiadka & Weronika Nitka & Rafa{l} Weron, 2022. "Calibration window selection based on change-point detection for forecasting electricity prices," Papers 2204.00872, arXiv.org.
    36. Huixin Liu & Xiaodong Shen & Xisheng Tang & Junyong Liu, 2023. "Day-Ahead Electricity Price Probabilistic Forecasting Based on SHAP Feature Selection and LSTNet Quantile Regression," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(13), pages 1-17, July.
    37. Tomasz Serafin & Grzegorz Marcjasz & Rafal Weron, 2020. "Trading on short-term path forecasts of intraday electricity prices," WORking papers in Management Science (WORMS) WORMS/20/17, Department of Operations Research and Business Intelligence, Wroclaw University of Science and Technology.
    38. Viktor Koval & Viktoriia Khaustova & Stella Lippolis & Olha Ilyash & Tetiana Salashenko & Piotr Olczak, 2023. "Fundamental Shifts in the EU’s Electric Power Sector Development: LMDI Decomposition Analysis," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(14), pages 1-22, July.
    39. Nemanja Mišljenović & Matej Žnidarec & Goran Knežević & Damir Šljivac & Andreas Sumper, 2023. "A Review of Energy Management Systems and Organizational Structures of Prosumers," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(7), pages 1-32, March.
    40. Katarzyna Maciejowska & Bartosz Uniejewski & Rafa{l} Weron, 2022. "Forecasting Electricity Prices," Papers 2204.11735, arXiv.org.
    41. Kılıç Depren, Serpil & Kartal, Mustafa Tevfik & Ertuğrul, Hasan Murat & Depren, Özer, 2022. "The role of data frequency and method selection in electricity price estimation: Comparative evidence from Turkey in pre-pandemic and pandemic periods," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 186(C), pages 217-225.
    42. Edna S. Solano & Carolina M. Affonso, 2023. "Solar Irradiation Forecasting Using Ensemble Voting Based on Machine Learning Algorithms," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(10), pages 1-19, May.
    43. Caputo, Antonio C. & Federici, Alessandro & Pelagagge, Pacifico M. & Salini, Paolo, 2023. "Offshore wind power system economic evaluation framework under aleatory and epistemic uncertainty," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 350(C).
    44. Janczura, Joanna & Wójcik, Edyta, 2022. "Dynamic short-term risk management strategies for the choice of electricity market based on probabilistic forecasts of profit and risk measures. The German and the Polish market case study," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 110(C).
    45. Galarneau-Vincent, Rémi & Gauthier, Geneviève & Godin, Frédéric, 2023. "Foreseeing the worst: Forecasting electricity DART spikes," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 119(C).
    46. Ciaran O'Connor & Joseph Collins & Steven Prestwich & Andrea Visentin, 2024. "Electricity Price Forecasting in the Irish Balancing Market," Papers 2402.06714, arXiv.org.
    47. Dorel Mihai Paraschiv & Narciz Balasoiu & Souhir Ben-Amor & Raul Cristian Bag, 2023. "Hybridising Neurofuzzy Model the Seasonal Autoregressive Models for Electricity Price Forecasting on Germany’s Spot Market," The AMFITEATRU ECONOMIC journal, Academy of Economic Studies - Bucharest, Romania, vol. 25(63), pages 463-463, April.
    48. Wagner, Andreas & Ramentol, Enislay & Schirra, Florian & Michaeli, Hendrik, 2022. "Short- and long-term forecasting of electricity prices using embedding of calendar information in neural networks," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 28(C).
    49. Sheybanivaziri, Samaneh & Le Dréau, Jérôme & Kazmi, Hussain, 2024. "Forecasting price spikes in day-ahead electricity markets: techniques, challenges, and the road ahead," Discussion Papers 2024/1, Norwegian School of Economics, Department of Business and Management Science.
    50. Konstantinos Plakas & Ioannis Karampinis & Panayiotis Alefragis & Alexios Birbas & Michael Birbas & Alex Papalexopoulos, 2023. "A Predictive Fuzzy Logic Model for Forecasting Electricity Day-Ahead Market Prices for Scheduling Industrial Applications," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(10), pages 1-21, May.
    51. Demir, Sumeyra & Mincev, Krystof & Kok, Koen & Paterakis, Nikolaos G., 2021. "Data augmentation for time series regression: Applying transformations, autoencoders and adversarial networks to electricity price forecasting," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 304(C).
    52. Stephen Haben & Julien Caudron & Jake Verma, 2021. "Probabilistic Day-Ahead Wholesale Price Forecast: A Case Study in Great Britain," Forecasting, MDPI, vol. 3(3), pages 1-37, August.
    53. Nametala, Ciniro Aparecido Leite & Faria, Wandry Rodrigues & Lage, Guilherme Guimarães & Pereira, Benvindo Rodrigues, 2023. "Analysis of hourly price granularity implementation in the Brazilian deregulated electricity contracting environment," Utilities Policy, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
    54. Roman V. Klyuev & Irbek D. Morgoev & Angelika D. Morgoeva & Oksana A. Gavrina & Nikita V. Martyushev & Egor A. Efremenkov & Qi Mengxu, 2022. "Methods of Forecasting Electric Energy Consumption: A Literature Review," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(23), pages 1-33, November.
    55. Godin, Frédéric & Ibrahim, Zinatu, 2021. "An analysis of electricity congestion price patterns in North America," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 102(C).
    56. Sabbar Dahham Sabbar & Hani Amer Musa & Abdul Rahman Kadir & Mursalim Nohong & Arifuddin Manan & Musran Munizu & Anas Iswanto Anwar, 2023. "The Role of Green Marketing and Promotion of Green Energy Bonds to Reduce Carbon Emissions in Indonesia," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 13(5), pages 73-82, September.
    57. Joanna Janczura & Andrzej Puć, 2023. "ARX-GARCH Probabilistic Price Forecasts for Diversification of Trade in Electricity Markets—Variance Stabilizing Transformation and Financial Risk-Minimizing Portfolio Allocation," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(2), pages 1-28, January.
    58. Lehna, Malte & Scheller, Fabian & Herwartz, Helmut, 2022. "Forecasting day-ahead electricity prices: A comparison of time series and neural network models taking external regressors into account," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 106(C).
    59. Aamer A. Shah & Almani A. Aftab & Xueshan Han & Mazhar Hussain Baloch & Mohamed Shaik Honnurvali & Sohaib Tahir Chauhdary, 2023. "Prediction Error-Based Power Forecasting of Wind Energy System Using Hybrid WT–ROPSO–NARMAX Model," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(7), pages 1-15, April.
    60. Firuz Kamalov & Hana Sulieman & Sherif Moussa & Jorge Avante Reyes & Murodbek Safaraliev, 2024. "Powering Electricity Forecasting with Transfer Learning," Energies, MDPI, vol. 17(3), pages 1-13, January.
    61. Micha{l} Narajewski, 2022. "Probabilistic forecasting of German electricity imbalance prices," Papers 2205.11439, arXiv.org.
    62. Arkadiusz Jedrzejewski & Grzegorz Marcjasz & Rafal Weron, 2021. "Importance of the long-term seasonal component in day-ahead electricity price forecasting revisited: Parameter-rich models estimated via the LASSO," WORking papers in Management Science (WORMS) WORMS/21/04, Department of Operations Research and Business Intelligence, Wroclaw University of Science and Technology.
    63. Fang Guo & Shangyun Deng & Weijia Zheng & An Wen & Jinfeng Du & Guangshan Huang & Ruiyang Wang, 2022. "Short-Term Electricity Price Forecasting Based on the Two-Layer VMD Decomposition Technique and SSA-LSTM," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(22), pages 1-20, November.
    64. Manuel Zamudio López & Hamidreza Zareipour & Mike Quashie, 2024. "Forecasting the Occurrence of Electricity Price Spikes: A Statistical-Economic Investigation Study," Forecasting, MDPI, vol. 6(1), pages 1-23, February.
    65. Nazila Pourhaji & Mohammad Asadpour & Ali Ahmadian & Ali Elkamel, 2022. "The Investigation of Monthly/Seasonal Data Clustering Impact on Short-Term Electricity Price Forecasting Accuracy: Ontario Province Case Study," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(5), pages 1-14, March.
    66. Cramer, Eike & Witthaut, Dirk & Mitsos, Alexander & Dahmen, Manuel, 2023. "Multivariate probabilistic forecasting of intraday electricity prices using normalizing flows," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 346(C).
    67. Lucía Inglada-Pérez & Sandra González y Gil, 2024. "A Study on the Nature of Complexity in the Spanish Electricity Market Using a Comprehensive Methodological Framework," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 12(6), pages 1-21, March.
    68. Diankai Wang & Inna Gryshova & Mykola Kyzym & Tetiana Salashenko & Viktoriia Khaustova & Maryna Shcherbata, 2022. "Electricity Price Instability over Time: Time Series Analysis and Forecasting," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(15), pages 1-24, July.
    69. Aris Dimeas & George Kiokes, 2022. "PV Penetration under Market Environment and with System Constraints," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(22), pages 1-11, November.
    70. Ciarreta, Aitor & Martinez, Blanca & Nasirov, Shahriyar, 2023. "Forecasting electricity prices using bid data," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 39(3), pages 1253-1271.
    71. Hain, Martin & Kargus, Tobias & Schermeyer, Hans & Uhrig-Homburg, Marliese & Fichtner, Wolf, 2022. "An electricity price modeling framework for renewable-dominant markets," Working Paper Series in Production and Energy 66, Karlsruhe Institute of Technology (KIT), Institute for Industrial Production (IIP).

  10. Katarzyna Hubicka & Grzegorz Marcjasz & Rafal Weron, 2018. "A note on averaging day-ahead electricity price forecasts across calibration windows," HSC Research Reports HSC/18/03, Hugo Steinhaus Center, Wroclaw University of Technology.

    Cited by:

    1. Jesus Lago & Grzegorz Marcjasz & Bart De Schutter & Rafa{l} Weron, 2020. "Forecasting day-ahead electricity prices: A review of state-of-the-art algorithms, best practices and an open-access benchmark," Papers 2008.08004, arXiv.org, revised Dec 2020.
    2. Kin G. Olivares & Cristian Challu & Grzegorz Marcjasz & Rafal Weron & Artur Dubrawski, 2021. "Neural basis expansion analysis with exogenous variables: Forecasting electricity prices with NBEATSx," WORking papers in Management Science (WORMS) WORMS/21/07, Department of Operations Research and Business Intelligence, Wroclaw University of Science and Technology.
    3. Grzegorz Marcjasz & Tomasz Serafin & Rafal Weron, 2018. "Selection of calibration windows for day-ahead electricity price forecasting," HSC Research Reports HSC/18/06, Hugo Steinhaus Center, Wroclaw University of Technology.
    4. Petropoulos, Fotios & Apiletti, Daniele & Assimakopoulos, Vassilios & Babai, Mohamed Zied & Barrow, Devon K. & Ben Taieb, Souhaib & Bergmeir, Christoph & Bessa, Ricardo J. & Bijak, Jakub & Boylan, Joh, 2022. "Forecasting: theory and practice," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 38(3), pages 705-871.
      • Fotios Petropoulos & Daniele Apiletti & Vassilios Assimakopoulos & Mohamed Zied Babai & Devon K. Barrow & Souhaib Ben Taieb & Christoph Bergmeir & Ricardo J. Bessa & Jakub Bijak & John E. Boylan & Jet, 2020. "Forecasting: theory and practice," Papers 2012.03854, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2022.
    5. Katarzyna Maciejowska & Weronika Nitka & Tomasz Weron, 2019. "Day-Ahead vs. Intraday—Forecasting the Price Spread to Maximize Economic Benefits," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(4), pages 1-15, February.
    6. Uniejewski, Bartosz & Weron, Rafał, 2021. "Regularized quantile regression averaging for probabilistic electricity price forecasting," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 95(C).
    7. Raffaele Sgarlato, 2023. "Statistical electricity price forecasting: A structural approach," Papers 2306.14186, arXiv.org.
    8. Grzegorz Marcjasz & Micha{l} Narajewski & Rafa{l} Weron & Florian Ziel, 2022. "Distributional neural networks for electricity price forecasting," Papers 2207.02832, arXiv.org, revised Dec 2022.
    9. Rafal Weron & Florian Ziel, 2018. "Electricity price forecasting," HSC Research Reports HSC/18/08, Hugo Steinhaus Center, Wroclaw University of Technology.
    10. Katarzyna Maciejowska & Bartosz Uniejewski & Tomasz Serafin, 2020. "PCA forecast averaging - predicting day-ahead and intraday electricity prices," WORking papers in Management Science (WORMS) WORMS/20/02, Department of Operations Research and Business Intelligence, Wroclaw University of Science and Technology.
    11. Tomasz Serafin & Bartosz Uniejewski & Rafal Weron, 2019. "Averaging predictive distributions across calibration windows for day-ahead electricity price forecasting," WORking papers in Management Science (WORMS) WORMS/19/08, Department of Operations Research and Business Intelligence, Wroclaw University of Science and Technology, revised 06 Jul 2019.
    12. Christopher Kath & Weronika Nitka & Tomasz Serafin & Tomasz Weron & Przemyslaw Zaleski & Rafal Weron, 2019. "Balancing RES generation: Profitability of an energy trader," HSC Research Reports HSC/19/07, Hugo Steinhaus Center, Wroclaw University of Technology.
    13. Chun-Yao Lee & Chang-En Wu, 2020. "Short-Term Electricity Price Forecasting Based on Similar Day-Based Neural Network," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(17), pages 1-15, August.
    14. Joanna Janczura & Aleksandra Michalak, 2020. "Optimization of Electric Energy Sales Strategy Based on Probabilistic Forecasts," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(5), pages 1-16, February.
    15. Grzegorz Marcjasz & Bartosz Uniejewski & Rafał Weron, 2020. "Beating the Naïve—Combining LASSO with Naïve Intraday Electricity Price Forecasts," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(7), pages 1-16, April.
    16. Sheybanivaziri, Samaneh & Le Dréau, Jérôme & Kazmi, Hussain, 2024. "Forecasting price spikes in day-ahead electricity markets: techniques, challenges, and the road ahead," Discussion Papers 2024/1, Norwegian School of Economics, Department of Business and Management Science.
    17. Weronika Nitka & Tomasz Serafin & Dimitrios Sotiros, 2021. "Forecasting Electricity Prices: Autoregressive Hybrid Nearest Neighbors (ARHNN) method," WORking papers in Management Science (WORMS) WORMS/21/06, Department of Operations Research and Business Intelligence, Wroclaw University of Science and Technology.
    18. Carlo Fezzi & Luca Mosetti, 2018. "Size matters: Estimation sample length and electricity price forecasting accuracy," DEM Working Papers 2018/10, Department of Economics and Management.
    19. Kath, Christopher & Ziel, Florian, 2021. "Conformal prediction interval estimation and applications to day-ahead and intraday power markets," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 37(2), pages 777-799.
    20. Bartosz Uniejewski & Grzegorz Marcjasz & Rafal Weron, 2018. "Understanding intraday electricity markets: Variable selection and very short-term price forecasting using LASSO," HSC Research Reports HSC/18/07, Hugo Steinhaus Center, Wroclaw University of Technology.
    21. Grzegorz Marcjasz, 2020. "Forecasting Electricity Prices Using Deep Neural Networks: A Robust Hyper-Parameter Selection Scheme," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(18), pages 1-18, September.
    22. Firuz Kamalov & Hana Sulieman & Sherif Moussa & Jorge Avante Reyes & Murodbek Safaraliev, 2024. "Powering Electricity Forecasting with Transfer Learning," Energies, MDPI, vol. 17(3), pages 1-13, January.
    23. Katarzyna Maciejowska & Weronika Nitka & Tomasz Weron, 2019. "Enhancing load, wind and solar generation forecasts in day-ahead forecasting of spot and intraday electricity prices," HSC Research Reports HSC/19/08, Hugo Steinhaus Center, Wroclaw University of Technology.
    24. Christopher Kath & Weronika Nitka & Tomasz Serafin & Tomasz Weron & Przemysław Zaleski & Rafał Weron, 2020. "Balancing Generation from Renewable Energy Sources: Profitability of an Energy Trader," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(1), pages 1-15, January.
    25. Grzegorz Marcjasz & Jesus Lago & Rafa{l} Weron, 2020. "Neural networks in day-ahead electricity price forecasting: Single vs. multiple outputs," Papers 2008.08006, arXiv.org.

  11. Bartosz Uniejewski & Grzegorz Marcjasz & Rafal Weron, 2018. "Understanding intraday electricity markets: Variable selection and very short-term price forecasting using LASSO," HSC Research Reports HSC/18/07, Hugo Steinhaus Center, Wroclaw University of Technology.

    Cited by:

    1. Özen, Kadir & Yıldırım, Dilem, 2021. "Application of bagging in day-ahead electricity price forecasting and factor augmentation," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 103(C).
    2. Lu, Xin & Qiu, Jing & Lei, Gang & Zhu, Jianguo, 2022. "Scenarios modelling for forecasting day-ahead electricity prices: Case studies in Australia," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 308(C).
    3. Narajewski, Michał & Ziel, Florian, 2020. "Econometric modelling and forecasting of intraday electricity prices," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 19(C).
    4. Tim Janke & Florian Steinke, 2019. "Forecasting the Price Distribution of Continuous Intraday Electricity Trading," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(22), pages 1-14, November.
    5. Katarzyna Maciejowska, 2022. "A portfolio management of a small RES utility with a Structural Vector Autoregressive model of German electricity markets," Papers 2205.00975, arXiv.org.
    6. Ulrich, Matthias & Jahnke, Hermann & Langrock, Roland & Pesch, Robert & Senge, Robin, 2022. "Classification-based model selection in retail demand forecasting," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 38(1), pages 209-223.
    7. Michał Narajewski, 2022. "Probabilistic Forecasting of German Electricity Imbalance Prices," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(14), pages 1-17, July.
    8. Jesus Lago & Grzegorz Marcjasz & Bart De Schutter & Rafa{l} Weron, 2020. "Forecasting day-ahead electricity prices: A review of state-of-the-art algorithms, best practices and an open-access benchmark," Papers 2008.08004, arXiv.org, revised Dec 2020.
    9. Billé, Anna Gloria & Gianfreda, Angelica & Del Grosso, Filippo & Ravazzolo, Francesco, 2023. "Forecasting electricity prices with expert, linear, and nonlinear models," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 39(2), pages 570-586.
    10. Micha{l} Narajewski & Florian Ziel, 2021. "Optimal bidding in hourly and quarter-hourly electricity price auctions: trading large volumes of power with market impact and transaction costs," Papers 2104.14204, arXiv.org, revised Feb 2022.
    11. Michał Narajewski & Florian Ziel, 2019. "Estimation and Simulation of the Transaction Arrival Process in Intraday Electricity Markets," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(23), pages 1-16, November.
    12. Christopher Kath & Florian Ziel, 2020. "Optimal Order Execution in Intraday Markets: Minimizing Costs in Trade Trajectories," Papers 2009.07892, arXiv.org, revised Oct 2020.
    13. Ismael Ahrazem Dfuf & José Manuel Mira McWilliams & María Camino González Fernández, 2019. "Multi-Output Conditional Inference Trees Applied to the Electricity Market: Variable Importance Analysis," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(6), pages 1-24, March.
    14. Marcel Kremer & Rüdiger Kiesel & Florentina Paraschiv, 2020. "Intraday Electricity Pricing of Night Contracts," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(17), pages 1-14, September.
    15. Katarzyna Maciejowska & Weronika Nitka & Tomasz Weron, 2019. "Day-Ahead vs. Intraday—Forecasting the Price Spread to Maximize Economic Benefits," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(4), pages 1-15, February.
    16. Hakan Acaroğlu & Fausto Pedro García Márquez, 2021. "Comprehensive Review on Electricity Market Price and Load Forecasting Based on Wind Energy," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(22), pages 1-23, November.
    17. Yang, Yang & Fan, Yawen & Jiang, Lan & Liu, Xiaohui, 2022. "Search query and tourism forecasting during the pandemic: When and where can digital footprints be helpful as predictors?," Annals of Tourism Research, Elsevier, vol. 93(C).
    18. Li, Wei & Paraschiv, Florentina, 2022. "Modelling the evolution of wind and solar power infeed forecasts," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 25(C).
    19. Grzegorz Marcjasz & Micha{l} Narajewski & Rafa{l} Weron & Florian Ziel, 2022. "Distributional neural networks for electricity price forecasting," Papers 2207.02832, arXiv.org, revised Dec 2022.
    20. Christopher Kath, 2019. "Modeling Intraday Markets under the New Advances of the Cross-Border Intraday Project (XBID): Evidence from the German Intraday Market," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(22), pages 1-35, November.
    21. Katarzyna Maciejowska & Bartosz Uniejewski & Tomasz Serafin, 2020. "PCA forecast averaging - predicting day-ahead and intraday electricity prices," WORking papers in Management Science (WORMS) WORMS/20/02, Department of Operations Research and Business Intelligence, Wroclaw University of Science and Technology.
    22. Richter, Lucas & Lehna, Malte & Marchand, Sophie & Scholz, Christoph & Dreher, Alexander & Klaiber, Stefan & Lenk, Steve, 2022. "Artificial Intelligence for Electricity Supply Chain automation," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 163(C).
    23. Juraj Čurpek, 2019. "Time Evolution of Hurst Exponent: Czech Wholesale Electricity Market Study," European Financial and Accounting Journal, Prague University of Economics and Business, vol. 2019(3), pages 25-44.
    24. Lu, Shixiang & Xu, Qifa & Jiang, Cuixia & Liu, Yezheng & Kusiak, Andrew, 2022. "Probabilistic load forecasting with a non-crossing sparse-group Lasso-quantile regression deep neural network," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 242(C).
    25. Christopher Kath & Weronika Nitka & Tomasz Serafin & Tomasz Weron & Przemyslaw Zaleski & Rafal Weron, 2019. "Balancing RES generation: Profitability of an energy trader," HSC Research Reports HSC/19/07, Hugo Steinhaus Center, Wroclaw University of Technology.
    26. Feng Guo & David Schlipf, 2021. "A Spectral Model of Grid Frequency for Assessing the Impact of Inertia Response on Wind Turbine Dynamics," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(9), pages 1-19, April.
    27. Tomasz Serafin & Grzegorz Marcjasz & Rafal Weron, 2020. "Trading on short-term path forecasts of intraday electricity prices," WORking papers in Management Science (WORMS) WORMS/20/17, Department of Operations Research and Business Intelligence, Wroclaw University of Science and Technology.
    28. Narajewski, Michał & Ziel, Florian, 2022. "Optimal bidding in hourly and quarter-hourly electricity price auctions: Trading large volumes of power with market impact and transaction costs," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 110(C).
    29. Ilkay Oksuz & Umut Ugurlu, 2019. "Neural Network Based Model Comparison for Intraday Electricity Price Forecasting," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(23), pages 1-14, November.
    30. Rainer Baule & Michael Naumann, 2021. "Volatility and Dispersion of Hourly Electricity Contracts on the German Continuous Intraday Market," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(22), pages 1-24, November.
    31. Karpinska, Lilia & Śmiech, Sławomir, 2020. "Conceptualising housing costs: The hidden face of energy poverty in Poland," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 147(C).
    32. Joanna Janczura & Aleksandra Michalak, 2020. "Optimization of Electric Energy Sales Strategy Based on Probabilistic Forecasts," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(5), pages 1-16, February.
    33. Katarzyna Maciejowska & Bartosz Uniejewski & Rafa{l} Weron, 2022. "Forecasting Electricity Prices," Papers 2204.11735, arXiv.org.
    34. Janczura, Joanna & Wójcik, Edyta, 2022. "Dynamic short-term risk management strategies for the choice of electricity market based on probabilistic forecasts of profit and risk measures. The German and the Polish market case study," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 110(C).
    35. Grzegorz Marcjasz & Bartosz Uniejewski & Rafał Weron, 2020. "Beating the Naïve—Combining LASSO with Naïve Intraday Electricity Price Forecasts," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(7), pages 1-16, April.
    36. Maciejowska, Katarzyna & Nitka, Weronika & Weron, Tomasz, 2021. "Enhancing load, wind and solar generation for day-ahead forecasting of electricity prices," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 99(C).
    37. Yafen Ye & Renyong Chi & Yuan-Hai Shao & Chun-Na Li & Xiangyu Hua, 2022. "Indicator Selection of Index Construction by Adaptive Lasso with a Generic $$\varepsilon $$ ε -Insensitive Loss," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 60(3), pages 971-990, October.
    38. Micha{l} Narajewski & Florian Ziel, 2020. "Ensemble Forecasting for Intraday Electricity Prices: Simulating Trajectories," Papers 2005.01365, arXiv.org, revised Aug 2020.
    39. Joanna Janczura & Andrzej Puć, 2023. "ARX-GARCH Probabilistic Price Forecasts for Diversification of Trade in Electricity Markets—Variance Stabilizing Transformation and Financial Risk-Minimizing Portfolio Allocation," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(2), pages 1-28, January.
    40. Micha{l} Narajewski, 2022. "Probabilistic forecasting of German electricity imbalance prices," Papers 2205.11439, arXiv.org.
    41. Russo, Marianna & Kraft, Emil & Bertsch, Valentin & Keles, Dogan, 2022. "Short-term risk management of electricity retailers under rising shares of decentralized solar generation," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 109(C).
    42. Auer, Benjamin R. & Schuhmacher, Frank & Niemann, Sebastian, 2023. "Cloning mutual fund returns," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 90(C), pages 31-37.
    43. Katarzyna Maciejowska & Weronika Nitka & Tomasz Weron, 2019. "Enhancing load, wind and solar generation forecasts in day-ahead forecasting of spot and intraday electricity prices," HSC Research Reports HSC/19/08, Hugo Steinhaus Center, Wroclaw University of Technology.
    44. Christopher Kath & Weronika Nitka & Tomasz Serafin & Tomasz Weron & Przemysław Zaleski & Rafał Weron, 2020. "Balancing Generation from Renewable Energy Sources: Profitability of an Energy Trader," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(1), pages 1-15, January.
    45. Kadir Özen & Dilem Yıldırım, 2021. "Application of Bagging in Day-Ahead Electricity Price Forecasting and Factor Augmentation," ERC Working Papers 2101, ERC - Economic Research Center, Middle East Technical University, revised Apr 2021.
    46. Micha{l} Narajewski & Florian Ziel, 2018. "Econometric modelling and forecasting of intraday electricity prices," Papers 1812.09081, arXiv.org, revised Sep 2019.
    47. Nazila Pourhaji & Mohammad Asadpour & Ali Ahmadian & Ali Elkamel, 2022. "The Investigation of Monthly/Seasonal Data Clustering Impact on Short-Term Electricity Price Forecasting Accuracy: Ontario Province Case Study," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(5), pages 1-14, March.
    48. Ayşe Özmen, 2023. "Sparse regression modeling for short- and long‐term natural gas demand prediction," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 322(2), pages 921-946, March.
    49. Simon Hirsch & Florian Ziel, 2023. "Multivariate Simulation-based Forecasting for Intraday Power Markets: Modelling Cross-Product Price Effects," Papers 2306.13419, arXiv.org.
    50. Narajewski, Michał & Ziel, Florian, 2020. "Ensemble forecasting for intraday electricity prices: Simulating trajectories," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 279(C).
    51. Micha{l} Narajewski & Florian Ziel, 2019. "Estimation and simulation of the transaction arrival process in intraday electricity markets," Papers 1901.09729, arXiv.org, revised Dec 2019.

  12. Grzegorz Marcjasz & Bartosz Uniejewski & Rafal Weron, 2018. "Probabilistic electricity price forecasting with NARX networks: Combine point or probabilistic forecasts?," HSC Research Reports HSC/18/05, Hugo Steinhaus Center, Wroclaw University of Technology.

    Cited by:

    1. Jiang, Ping & Nie, Ying & Wang, Jianzhou & Huang, Xiaojia, 2023. "Multivariable short-term electricity price forecasting using artificial intelligence and multi-input multi-output scheme," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 117(C).
    2. Arne Vogler & Florian Ziel, "undated". "On The Evaluation Of Binary Event Probability Predictions In Electricity Price Forecasting," EWL Working Papers 1911, University of Duisburg-Essen, Chair for Management Science and Energy Economics.
    3. Oliver Grothe & Fabian Kachele & Fabian Kruger, 2022. "From point forecasts to multivariate probabilistic forecasts: The Schaake shuffle for day-ahead electricity price forecasting," Papers 2204.10154, arXiv.org.
    4. Jonathan Berrisch & Florian Ziel, 2023. "Multivariate Probabilistic CRPS Learning with an Application to Day-Ahead Electricity Prices," Papers 2303.10019, arXiv.org, revised Feb 2024.
    5. Daniel Manfre Jaimes & Manuel Zamudio López & Hamidreza Zareipour & Mike Quashie, 2023. "A Hybrid Model for Multi-Day-Ahead Electricity Price Forecasting considering Price Spikes," Forecasting, MDPI, vol. 5(3), pages 1-23, July.
    6. Jozef Barunik & Lubos Hanus, 2023. "Learning Probability Distributions of Day-Ahead Electricity Prices," Papers 2310.02867, arXiv.org, revised Oct 2023.
    7. Bartosz Uniejewski, 2023. "Electricity price forecasting with Smoothing Quantile Regression Averaging: Quantifying economic benefits of probabilistic forecasts," Papers 2302.00411, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2024.
    8. Mira Watermeyer & Thomas Mobius & Oliver Grothe & Felix Musgens, 2023. "A hybrid model for day-ahead electricity price forecasting: Combining fundamental and stochastic modelling," Papers 2304.09336, arXiv.org.
    9. Uniejewski, Bartosz & Weron, Rafał, 2021. "Regularized quantile regression averaging for probabilistic electricity price forecasting," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 95(C).
    10. Weronika Nitka & Rafa{l} Weron, 2023. "Combining predictive distributions of electricity prices: Does minimizing the CRPS lead to optimal decisions in day-ahead bidding?," Papers 2308.15443, arXiv.org.
    11. Lee, Juyong & Cho, Youngsang, 2022. "National-scale electricity peak load forecasting: Traditional, machine learning, or hybrid model?," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 239(PD).
    12. Grzegorz Marcjasz & Micha{l} Narajewski & Rafa{l} Weron & Florian Ziel, 2022. "Distributional neural networks for electricity price forecasting," Papers 2207.02832, arXiv.org, revised Dec 2022.
    13. Tomasz Serafin & Bartosz Uniejewski & Rafal Weron, 2019. "Averaging predictive distributions across calibration windows for day-ahead electricity price forecasting," WORking papers in Management Science (WORMS) WORMS/19/08, Department of Operations Research and Business Intelligence, Wroclaw University of Science and Technology, revised 06 Jul 2019.
    14. Grothe, Oliver & Kächele, Fabian & Krüger, Fabian, 2023. "From point forecasts to multivariate probabilistic forecasts: The Schaake shuffle for day-ahead electricity price forecasting," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 120(C).
    15. Tomasz Serafin & Grzegorz Marcjasz & Rafal Weron, 2020. "Trading on short-term path forecasts of intraday electricity prices," WORking papers in Management Science (WORMS) WORMS/20/17, Department of Operations Research and Business Intelligence, Wroclaw University of Science and Technology.
    16. Saâdaoui, Foued & Ben Jabeur, Sami, 2023. "Analyzing the influence of geopolitical risks on European power prices using a multiresolution causal neural network," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 124(C).
    17. Katarzyna Maciejowska & Bartosz Uniejewski & Rafa{l} Weron, 2022. "Forecasting Electricity Prices," Papers 2204.11735, arXiv.org.
    18. Juyong Lee & Youngsang Cho, 2021. "National-scale electricity peak load forecasting: Traditional, machine learning, or hybrid model?," Papers 2107.06174, arXiv.org.
    19. Sheybanivaziri, Samaneh & Le Dréau, Jérôme & Kazmi, Hussain, 2024. "Forecasting price spikes in day-ahead electricity markets: techniques, challenges, and the road ahead," Discussion Papers 2024/1, Norwegian School of Economics, Department of Business and Management Science.
    20. Stephen Haben & Julien Caudron & Jake Verma, 2021. "Probabilistic Day-Ahead Wholesale Price Forecast: A Case Study in Great Britain," Forecasting, MDPI, vol. 3(3), pages 1-37, August.
    21. Elmore, Clay T. & Dowling, Alexander W., 2021. "Learning spatiotemporal dynamics in wholesale energy markets with dynamic mode decomposition," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 232(C).
    22. Micha{l} Narajewski & Florian Ziel, 2020. "Ensemble Forecasting for Intraday Electricity Prices: Simulating Trajectories," Papers 2005.01365, arXiv.org, revised Aug 2020.
    23. Lehna, Malte & Scheller, Fabian & Herwartz, Helmut, 2022. "Forecasting day-ahead electricity prices: A comparison of time series and neural network models taking external regressors into account," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 106(C).
    24. Arne Vogler & Florian Ziel, 2021. "Event-Based Evaluation of Electricity Price Ensemble Forecasts," Forecasting, MDPI, vol. 4(1), pages 1-21, December.

  13. Grzegorz Marcjasz & Tomasz Serafin & Rafal Weron, 2018. "Selection of calibration windows for day-ahead electricity price forecasting," HSC Research Reports HSC/18/06, Hugo Steinhaus Center, Wroclaw University of Technology.

    Cited by:

    1. Oliver Grothe & Fabian Kachele & Fabian Kruger, 2022. "From point forecasts to multivariate probabilistic forecasts: The Schaake shuffle for day-ahead electricity price forecasting," Papers 2204.10154, arXiv.org.
    2. Michał Narajewski, 2022. "Probabilistic Forecasting of German Electricity Imbalance Prices," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(14), pages 1-17, July.
    3. Jesus Lago & Grzegorz Marcjasz & Bart De Schutter & Rafa{l} Weron, 2020. "Forecasting day-ahead electricity prices: A review of state-of-the-art algorithms, best practices and an open-access benchmark," Papers 2008.08004, arXiv.org, revised Dec 2020.
    4. Bartosz Uniejewski & Katarzyna Maciejowska, 2022. "LASSO Principal Component Averaging -- a fully automated approach for point forecast pooling," Papers 2207.04794, arXiv.org.
    5. Jonathan Berrisch & Florian Ziel, 2023. "Multivariate Probabilistic CRPS Learning with an Application to Day-Ahead Electricity Prices," Papers 2303.10019, arXiv.org, revised Feb 2024.
    6. Katarzyna Maciejowska & Weronika Nitka & Tomasz Weron, 2019. "Day-Ahead vs. Intraday—Forecasting the Price Spread to Maximize Economic Benefits," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(4), pages 1-15, February.
    7. Mira Watermeyer & Thomas Mobius & Oliver Grothe & Felix Musgens, 2023. "A hybrid model for day-ahead electricity price forecasting: Combining fundamental and stochastic modelling," Papers 2304.09336, arXiv.org.
    8. Uniejewski, Bartosz & Weron, Rafał, 2021. "Regularized quantile regression averaging for probabilistic electricity price forecasting," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 95(C).
    9. Hakan Acaroğlu & Fausto Pedro García Márquez, 2021. "Comprehensive Review on Electricity Market Price and Load Forecasting Based on Wind Energy," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(22), pages 1-23, November.
    10. Grzegorz Marcjasz & Micha{l} Narajewski & Rafa{l} Weron & Florian Ziel, 2022. "Distributional neural networks for electricity price forecasting," Papers 2207.02832, arXiv.org, revised Dec 2022.
    11. Rafal Weron & Florian Ziel, 2018. "Electricity price forecasting," HSC Research Reports HSC/18/08, Hugo Steinhaus Center, Wroclaw University of Technology.
    12. Katarzyna Maciejowska & Bartosz Uniejewski & Tomasz Serafin, 2020. "PCA forecast averaging - predicting day-ahead and intraday electricity prices," WORking papers in Management Science (WORMS) WORMS/20/02, Department of Operations Research and Business Intelligence, Wroclaw University of Science and Technology.
    13. Tomasz Serafin & Bartosz Uniejewski & Rafal Weron, 2019. "Averaging predictive distributions across calibration windows for day-ahead electricity price forecasting," WORking papers in Management Science (WORMS) WORMS/19/08, Department of Operations Research and Business Intelligence, Wroclaw University of Science and Technology, revised 06 Jul 2019.
    14. Emma Viviani & Luca Di Persio & Matthias Ehrhardt, 2021. "Energy Markets Forecasting. From Inferential Statistics to Machine Learning: The German Case," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(2), pages 1-33, January.
    15. Grothe, Oliver & Kächele, Fabian & Krüger, Fabian, 2023. "From point forecasts to multivariate probabilistic forecasts: The Schaake shuffle for day-ahead electricity price forecasting," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 120(C).
    16. Christopher Kath & Weronika Nitka & Tomasz Serafin & Tomasz Weron & Przemyslaw Zaleski & Rafal Weron, 2019. "Balancing RES generation: Profitability of an energy trader," HSC Research Reports HSC/19/07, Hugo Steinhaus Center, Wroclaw University of Technology.
    17. Uniejewski, Bartosz & Maciejowska, Katarzyna, 2023. "LASSO principal component averaging: A fully automated approach for point forecast pooling," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 39(4), pages 1839-1852.
    18. Joanna Janczura & Aleksandra Michalak, 2020. "Optimization of Electric Energy Sales Strategy Based on Probabilistic Forecasts," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(5), pages 1-16, February.
    19. Katarzyna Maciejowska & Bartosz Uniejewski & Rafa{l} Weron, 2022. "Forecasting Electricity Prices," Papers 2204.11735, arXiv.org.
    20. Philip Beran & Arne Vogler, 2021. "Multi-Day-Ahead Electricity Price Forecasting: A Comparison of fundamental, econometric and hybrid Models," EWL Working Papers 2102, University of Duisburg-Essen, Chair for Management Science and Energy Economics, revised Oct 2021.
    21. Janczura, Joanna & Wójcik, Edyta, 2022. "Dynamic short-term risk management strategies for the choice of electricity market based on probabilistic forecasts of profit and risk measures. The German and the Polish market case study," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 110(C).
    22. Maciejowska, Katarzyna & Nitka, Weronika & Weron, Tomasz, 2021. "Enhancing load, wind and solar generation for day-ahead forecasting of electricity prices," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 99(C).
    23. Rodrigo A. de Marcos & Antonio Bello & Javier Reneses, 2019. "Short-Term Electricity Price Forecasting with a Composite Fundamental-Econometric Hybrid Methodology," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(6), pages 1-15, March.
    24. Weronika Nitka & Tomasz Serafin & Dimitrios Sotiros, 2021. "Forecasting Electricity Prices: Autoregressive Hybrid Nearest Neighbors (ARHNN) method," WORking papers in Management Science (WORMS) WORMS/21/06, Department of Operations Research and Business Intelligence, Wroclaw University of Science and Technology.
    25. Carlo Fezzi & Luca Mosetti, 2018. "Size matters: Estimation sample length and electricity price forecasting accuracy," DEM Working Papers 2018/10, Department of Economics and Management.
    26. Kath, Christopher & Ziel, Florian, 2021. "Conformal prediction interval estimation and applications to day-ahead and intraday power markets," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 37(2), pages 777-799.
    27. Micha{l} Narajewski & Florian Ziel, 2020. "Ensemble Forecasting for Intraday Electricity Prices: Simulating Trajectories," Papers 2005.01365, arXiv.org, revised Aug 2020.
    28. Miguel Pinhão & Miguel Fonseca & Ricardo Covas, 2022. "Electricity Spot Price Forecast by Modelling Supply and Demand Curve," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 10(12), pages 1-20, June.
    29. Grzegorz Marcjasz, 2020. "Forecasting Electricity Prices Using Deep Neural Networks: A Robust Hyper-Parameter Selection Scheme," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(18), pages 1-18, September.
    30. Thomas Mobius & Mira Watermeyer & Oliver Grothe & Felix Musgens, 2023. "Enhancing Energy System Models Using Better Load Forecasts," Papers 2302.11017, arXiv.org.
    31. Micha{l} Narajewski, 2022. "Probabilistic forecasting of German electricity imbalance prices," Papers 2205.11439, arXiv.org.
    32. Katarzyna Maciejowska & Weronika Nitka & Tomasz Weron, 2019. "Enhancing load, wind and solar generation forecasts in day-ahead forecasting of spot and intraday electricity prices," HSC Research Reports HSC/19/08, Hugo Steinhaus Center, Wroclaw University of Technology.
    33. Christopher Kath & Weronika Nitka & Tomasz Serafin & Tomasz Weron & Przemysław Zaleski & Rafał Weron, 2020. "Balancing Generation from Renewable Energy Sources: Profitability of an Energy Trader," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(1), pages 1-15, January.
    34. Rodrigo A. de Marcos & Derek W. Bunn & Antonio Bello & Javier Reneses, 2020. "Short-Term Electricity Price Forecasting with Recurrent Regimes and Structural Breaks," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(20), pages 1-14, October.
    35. Narajewski, Michał & Ziel, Florian, 2020. "Ensemble forecasting for intraday electricity prices: Simulating trajectories," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 279(C).

  14. Grzegorz Marcjasz & Bartosz Uniejewski & Rafal Weron, 2017. "Importance of the long-term seasonal component in day-ahead electricity price forecasting revisited: Neural network models," HSC Research Reports HSC/17/03, Hugo Steinhaus Center, Wroclaw University of Technology.

    Cited by:

    1. Ismail Shah & Hasnain Iftikhar & Sajid Ali & Depeng Wang, 2019. "Short-Term Electricity Demand Forecasting Using Components Estimation Technique," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(13), pages 1-17, July.
    2. Grzegorz Marcjasz & Tomasz Serafin & Rafal Weron, 2018. "Selection of calibration windows for day-ahead electricity price forecasting," HSC Research Reports HSC/18/06, Hugo Steinhaus Center, Wroclaw University of Technology.
    3. Marcjasz, Grzegorz & Uniejewski, Bartosz & Weron, Rafał, 2019. "On the importance of the long-term seasonal component in day-ahead electricity price forecasting with NARX neural networks," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 35(4), pages 1520-1532.
    4. Bartosz Uniejewski & Rafal Weron, 2018. "Efficient forecasting of electricity spot prices with expert and LASSO models," HSC Research Reports HSC/18/02, Hugo Steinhaus Center, Wroclaw University of Technology.
    5. Rafal Weron & Florian Ziel, 2018. "Electricity price forecasting," HSC Research Reports HSC/18/08, Hugo Steinhaus Center, Wroclaw University of Technology.
    6. Christian Giovanelli & Seppo Sierla & Ryutaro Ichise & Valeriy Vyatkin, 2018. "Exploiting Artificial Neural Networks for the Prediction of Ancillary Energy Market Prices," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(7), pages 1-22, July.
    7. Carlo Fezzi & Luca Mosetti, 2018. "Size matters: Estimation sample length and electricity price forecasting accuracy," DEM Working Papers 2018/10, Department of Economics and Management.
    8. Marcjasz, Grzegorz & Uniejewski, Bartosz & Weron, Rafał, 2020. "Probabilistic electricity price forecasting with NARX networks: Combine point or probabilistic forecasts?," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 36(2), pages 466-479.
    9. Rinne, Sonja, 2018. "Radioinactive: Are nuclear power plant outages in France contagious to the German electricity price?," CIW Discussion Papers 3/2018, University of Münster, Center for Interdisciplinary Economics (CIW).
    10. Katarzyna Hubicka & Grzegorz Marcjasz & Rafal Weron, 2018. "A note on averaging day-ahead electricity price forecasts across calibration windows," HSC Research Reports HSC/18/03, Hugo Steinhaus Center, Wroclaw University of Technology.
    11. Ziel, Florian & Weron, Rafał, 2018. "Day-ahead electricity price forecasting with high-dimensional structures: Univariate vs. multivariate modeling frameworks," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 396-420.

  15. Bartosz Uniejewski & Grzegorz Marcjasz & Rafal Weron, 2017. "On the importance of the long-term seasonal component in day-ahead electricity price forecasting. Part II – Probabilistic forecasting," HSC Research Reports HSC/17/02, Hugo Steinhaus Center, Wroclaw University of Technology.

    Cited by:

    1. Lu, Xin & Qiu, Jing & Lei, Gang & Zhu, Jianguo, 2022. "Scenarios modelling for forecasting day-ahead electricity prices: Case studies in Australia," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 308(C).
    2. Guo, Bowei & Newbery, David, 2021. "The cost of uncoupling GB interconnectors," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 158(C).
    3. Finnah, Benedikt & Gönsch, Jochen & Ziel, Florian, 2022. "Integrated day-ahead and intraday self-schedule bidding for energy storage systems using approximate dynamic programming," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 301(2), pages 726-746.
    4. Shao, Zhen & Zheng, Qingru & Yang, Shanlin & Gao, Fei & Cheng, Manli & Zhang, Qiang & Liu, Chen, 2020. "Modeling and forecasting the electricity clearing price: A novel BELM based pattern classification framework and a comparative analytic study on multi-layer BELM and LSTM," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 86(C).
    5. Jesus Lago & Grzegorz Marcjasz & Bart De Schutter & Rafa{l} Weron, 2020. "Forecasting day-ahead electricity prices: A review of state-of-the-art algorithms, best practices and an open-access benchmark," Papers 2008.08004, arXiv.org, revised Dec 2020.
    6. Ismail Shah & Hasnain Iftikhar & Sajid Ali & Depeng Wang, 2019. "Short-Term Electricity Demand Forecasting Using Components Estimation Technique," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(13), pages 1-17, July.
    7. Grzegorz Marcjasz & Tomasz Serafin & Rafal Weron, 2018. "Selection of calibration windows for day-ahead electricity price forecasting," HSC Research Reports HSC/18/06, Hugo Steinhaus Center, Wroclaw University of Technology.
    8. Marcjasz, Grzegorz & Uniejewski, Bartosz & Weron, Rafał, 2019. "On the importance of the long-term seasonal component in day-ahead electricity price forecasting with NARX neural networks," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 35(4), pages 1520-1532.
    9. Mira Watermeyer & Thomas Mobius & Oliver Grothe & Felix Musgens, 2023. "A hybrid model for day-ahead electricity price forecasting: Combining fundamental and stochastic modelling," Papers 2304.09336, arXiv.org.
    10. Bartosz Uniejewski & Rafal Weron, 2018. "Efficient forecasting of electricity spot prices with expert and LASSO models," HSC Research Reports HSC/18/02, Hugo Steinhaus Center, Wroclaw University of Technology.
    11. Uniejewski, Bartosz & Weron, Rafał, 2021. "Regularized quantile regression averaging for probabilistic electricity price forecasting," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 95(C).
    12. Tomasz Zema & Adam Sulich, 2022. "Models of Electricity Price Forecasting: Bibliometric Research," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(15), pages 1-18, August.
    13. Macedo, Daniela Pereira & Marques, António Cardoso & Damette, Olivier, 2020. "The impact of the integration of renewable energy sources in the electricity price formation: is the Merit-Order Effect occurring in Portugal?," Utilities Policy, Elsevier, vol. 66(C).
    14. Grzegorz Marcjasz & Micha{l} Narajewski & Rafa{l} Weron & Florian Ziel, 2022. "Distributional neural networks for electricity price forecasting," Papers 2207.02832, arXiv.org, revised Dec 2022.
    15. Rafal Weron & Florian Ziel, 2018. "Electricity price forecasting," HSC Research Reports HSC/18/08, Hugo Steinhaus Center, Wroclaw University of Technology.
    16. Katarzyna Maciejowska & Bartosz Uniejewski & Tomasz Serafin, 2020. "PCA forecast averaging - predicting day-ahead and intraday electricity prices," WORking papers in Management Science (WORMS) WORMS/20/02, Department of Operations Research and Business Intelligence, Wroclaw University of Science and Technology.
    17. Tomasz Serafin & Bartosz Uniejewski & Rafal Weron, 2019. "Averaging predictive distributions across calibration windows for day-ahead electricity price forecasting," WORking papers in Management Science (WORMS) WORMS/19/08, Department of Operations Research and Business Intelligence, Wroclaw University of Science and Technology, revised 06 Jul 2019.
    18. Tomasz Serafin & Grzegorz Marcjasz & Rafal Weron, 2020. "Trading on short-term path forecasts of intraday electricity prices," WORking papers in Management Science (WORMS) WORMS/20/17, Department of Operations Research and Business Intelligence, Wroclaw University of Science and Technology.
    19. Narajewski, Michał & Ziel, Florian, 2022. "Optimal bidding in hourly and quarter-hourly electricity price auctions: Trading large volumes of power with market impact and transaction costs," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 110(C).
    20. Katarzyna Maciejowska & Bartosz Uniejewski & Rafa{l} Weron, 2022. "Forecasting Electricity Prices," Papers 2204.11735, arXiv.org.
    21. Christian Giovanelli & Seppo Sierla & Ryutaro Ichise & Valeriy Vyatkin, 2018. "Exploiting Artificial Neural Networks for the Prediction of Ancillary Energy Market Prices," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(7), pages 1-22, July.
    22. Janczura, Joanna & Wójcik, Edyta, 2022. "Dynamic short-term risk management strategies for the choice of electricity market based on probabilistic forecasts of profit and risk measures. The German and the Polish market case study," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 110(C).
    23. Grzegorz Marcjasz & Bartosz Uniejewski & Rafał Weron, 2020. "Beating the Naïve—Combining LASSO with Naïve Intraday Electricity Price Forecasts," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(7), pages 1-16, April.
    24. Maciejowska, Katarzyna & Nitka, Weronika & Weron, Tomasz, 2021. "Enhancing load, wind and solar generation for day-ahead forecasting of electricity prices," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 99(C).
    25. Sheybanivaziri, Samaneh & Le Dréau, Jérôme & Kazmi, Hussain, 2024. "Forecasting price spikes in day-ahead electricity markets: techniques, challenges, and the road ahead," Discussion Papers 2024/1, Norwegian School of Economics, Department of Business and Management Science.
    26. Stephen Haben & Julien Caudron & Jake Verma, 2021. "Probabilistic Day-Ahead Wholesale Price Forecast: A Case Study in Great Britain," Forecasting, MDPI, vol. 3(3), pages 1-37, August.
    27. Grzegorz Marcjasz & Bartosz Uniejewski & Rafal Weron, 2017. "Importance of the long-term seasonal component in day-ahead electricity price forecasting revisited: Neural network models," HSC Research Reports HSC/17/03, Hugo Steinhaus Center, Wroclaw University of Technology.
    28. Carlo Fezzi & Luca Mosetti, 2018. "Size matters: Estimation sample length and electricity price forecasting accuracy," DEM Working Papers 2018/10, Department of Economics and Management.
    29. Marcjasz, Grzegorz & Uniejewski, Bartosz & Weron, Rafał, 2020. "Probabilistic electricity price forecasting with NARX networks: Combine point or probabilistic forecasts?," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 36(2), pages 466-479.
    30. Anna Brdulak & Grażyna Chaberek & Jacek Jagodziński, 2020. "Determination of Electricity Demand by Personal Light Electric Vehicles (PLEVs): An Example of e-Motor Scooters in the Context of Large City Management in Poland," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(1), pages 1-18, January.
    31. Rinne, Sonja, 2018. "Radioinactive: Are nuclear power plant outages in France contagious to the German electricity price?," CIW Discussion Papers 3/2018, University of Münster, Center for Interdisciplinary Economics (CIW).
    32. Micha{l} Narajewski & Florian Ziel, 2020. "Ensemble Forecasting for Intraday Electricity Prices: Simulating Trajectories," Papers 2005.01365, arXiv.org, revised Aug 2020.
    33. Usman Zafar & Neil Kellard & Dmitri Vinogradov, 2022. "Multistage optimization filter for trend‐based short‐term forecasting," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 41(2), pages 345-360, March.
    34. Arkadiusz Jedrzejewski & Grzegorz Marcjasz & Rafal Weron, 2021. "Importance of the long-term seasonal component in day-ahead electricity price forecasting revisited: Parameter-rich models estimated via the LASSO," WORking papers in Management Science (WORMS) WORMS/21/04, Department of Operations Research and Business Intelligence, Wroclaw University of Science and Technology.
    35. Katarzyna Hubicka & Grzegorz Marcjasz & Rafal Weron, 2018. "A note on averaging day-ahead electricity price forecasts across calibration windows," HSC Research Reports HSC/18/03, Hugo Steinhaus Center, Wroclaw University of Technology.
    36. Nijolė MAKNICKIENĖ & Jelena STANKEVIČIENĖ & Algirdas MAKNICKAS, 2020. "Comparison of Forex Market Forecasting Tools Based on Evolino Ensemble and Technical Analysis Indicators," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(3), pages 134-148, September.
    37. Katarzyna Maciejowska & Weronika Nitka & Tomasz Weron, 2019. "Enhancing load, wind and solar generation forecasts in day-ahead forecasting of spot and intraday electricity prices," HSC Research Reports HSC/19/08, Hugo Steinhaus Center, Wroclaw University of Technology.
    38. Ziel, Florian & Weron, Rafał, 2018. "Day-ahead electricity price forecasting with high-dimensional structures: Univariate vs. multivariate modeling frameworks," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 396-420.
    39. Arne Vogler & Florian Ziel, 2021. "Event-Based Evaluation of Electricity Price Ensemble Forecasts," Forecasting, MDPI, vol. 4(1), pages 1-21, December.
    40. Narajewski, Michał & Ziel, Florian, 2020. "Ensemble forecasting for intraday electricity prices: Simulating trajectories," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 279(C).

Articles

  1. Serafin, Tomasz & Marcjasz, Grzegorz & Weron, Rafał, 2022. "Trading on short-term path forecasts of intraday electricity prices," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 112(C).
    See citations under working paper version above.
  2. Lago, Jesus & Marcjasz, Grzegorz & De Schutter, Bart & Weron, Rafał, 2021. "Forecasting day-ahead electricity prices: A review of state-of-the-art algorithms, best practices and an open-access benchmark," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 293(C).
    See citations under working paper version above.
  3. Arkadiusz Jędrzejewski & Grzegorz Marcjasz & Rafał Weron, 2021. "Importance of the Long-Term Seasonal Component in Day-Ahead Electricity Price Forecasting Revisited: Parameter-Rich Models Estimated via the LASSO," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(11), pages 1-17, June.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  4. Grzegorz Marcjasz, 2020. "Forecasting Electricity Prices Using Deep Neural Networks: A Robust Hyper-Parameter Selection Scheme," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(18), pages 1-18, September.

    Cited by:

    1. Sajjad Khan & Shahzad Aslam & Iqra Mustafa & Sheraz Aslam, 2021. "Short-Term Electricity Price Forecasting by Employing Ensemble Empirical Mode Decomposition and Extreme Learning Machine," Forecasting, MDPI, vol. 3(3), pages 1-18, June.
    2. Finnah, Benedikt & Gönsch, Jochen & Ziel, Florian, 2022. "Integrated day-ahead and intraday self-schedule bidding for energy storage systems using approximate dynamic programming," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 301(2), pages 726-746.
    3. Behnam Talebjedi & Ali Khosravi & Timo Laukkanen & Henrik Holmberg & Esa Vakkilainen & Sanna Syri, 2020. "Energy Modeling of a Refiner in Thermo-Mechanical Pulping Process Using ANFIS Method," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(19), pages 1-26, October.
    4. Kin G. Olivares & Cristian Challu & Grzegorz Marcjasz & Rafal Weron & Artur Dubrawski, 2021. "Neural basis expansion analysis with exogenous variables: Forecasting electricity prices with NBEATSx," WORking papers in Management Science (WORMS) WORMS/21/07, Department of Operations Research and Business Intelligence, Wroclaw University of Science and Technology.
    5. Jason Runge & Radu Zmeureanu, 2021. "A Review of Deep Learning Techniques for Forecasting Energy Use in Buildings," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(3), pages 1-26, January.
    6. Dimitrios Kontogiannis & Dimitrios Bargiotas & Aspassia Daskalopulu & Athanasios Ioannis Arvanitidis & Lefteri H. Tsoukalas, 2022. "Error Compensation Enhanced Day-Ahead Electricity Price Forecasting," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(4), pages 1-21, February.
    7. Bartosz Uniejewski, 2023. "Electricity price forecasting with Smoothing Quantile Regression Averaging: Quantifying economic benefits of probabilistic forecasts," Papers 2302.00411, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2024.
    8. Uniejewski, Bartosz & Weron, Rafał, 2021. "Regularized quantile regression averaging for probabilistic electricity price forecasting," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 95(C).
    9. Grzegorz Marcjasz & Micha{l} Narajewski & Rafa{l} Weron & Florian Ziel, 2022. "Distributional neural networks for electricity price forecasting," Papers 2207.02832, arXiv.org, revised Dec 2022.
    10. Katarzyna Maciejowska & Bartosz Uniejewski & Rafa{l} Weron, 2022. "Forecasting Electricity Prices," Papers 2204.11735, arXiv.org.
    11. Arkadiusz Jedrzejewski & Grzegorz Marcjasz & Rafal Weron, 2021. "Importance of the long-term seasonal component in day-ahead electricity price forecasting revisited: Parameter-rich models estimated via the LASSO," WORking papers in Management Science (WORMS) WORMS/21/04, Department of Operations Research and Business Intelligence, Wroclaw University of Science and Technology.

  5. Marcjasz, Grzegorz & Uniejewski, Bartosz & Weron, Rafał, 2020. "Probabilistic electricity price forecasting with NARX networks: Combine point or probabilistic forecasts?," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 36(2), pages 466-479.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  6. Grzegorz Marcjasz & Bartosz Uniejewski & Rafał Weron, 2020. "Beating the Naïve—Combining LASSO with Naïve Intraday Electricity Price Forecasts," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(7), pages 1-16, April.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  7. Uniejewski, Bartosz & Marcjasz, Grzegorz & Weron, Rafał, 2019. "Understanding intraday electricity markets: Variable selection and very short-term price forecasting using LASSO," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 35(4), pages 1533-1547.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  8. Marcjasz, Grzegorz & Uniejewski, Bartosz & Weron, Rafał, 2019. "On the importance of the long-term seasonal component in day-ahead electricity price forecasting with NARX neural networks," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 35(4), pages 1520-1532.

    Cited by:

    1. Guo, Bowei & Newbery, David, 2021. "The cost of uncoupling GB interconnectors," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 158(C).
    2. Finnah, Benedikt & Gönsch, Jochen & Ziel, Florian, 2022. "Integrated day-ahead and intraday self-schedule bidding for energy storage systems using approximate dynamic programming," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 301(2), pages 726-746.
    3. Abdelrahman E. E. Eltoukhy & Ibrahim Abdelfadeel Shaban & Felix T. S. Chan & Mohammad A. M. Abdel-Aal, 2020. "Data Analytics for Predicting COVID-19 Cases in Top Affected Countries: Observations and Recommendations," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 17(19), pages 1-25, September.
    4. Jesus Lago & Grzegorz Marcjasz & Bart De Schutter & Rafa{l} Weron, 2020. "Forecasting day-ahead electricity prices: A review of state-of-the-art algorithms, best practices and an open-access benchmark," Papers 2008.08004, arXiv.org, revised Dec 2020.
    5. Ismail Shah & Hasnain Iftikhar & Sajid Ali & Depeng Wang, 2019. "Short-Term Electricity Demand Forecasting Using Components Estimation Technique," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(13), pages 1-17, July.
    6. Daniel Manfre Jaimes & Manuel Zamudio López & Hamidreza Zareipour & Mike Quashie, 2023. "A Hybrid Model for Multi-Day-Ahead Electricity Price Forecasting considering Price Spikes," Forecasting, MDPI, vol. 5(3), pages 1-23, July.
    7. Grzegorz Marcjasz & Tomasz Serafin & Rafal Weron, 2018. "Selection of calibration windows for day-ahead electricity price forecasting," HSC Research Reports HSC/18/06, Hugo Steinhaus Center, Wroclaw University of Technology.
    8. Petropoulos, Fotios & Apiletti, Daniele & Assimakopoulos, Vassilios & Babai, Mohamed Zied & Barrow, Devon K. & Ben Taieb, Souhaib & Bergmeir, Christoph & Bessa, Ricardo J. & Bijak, Jakub & Boylan, Joh, 2022. "Forecasting: theory and practice," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 38(3), pages 705-871.
      • Fotios Petropoulos & Daniele Apiletti & Vassilios Assimakopoulos & Mohamed Zied Babai & Devon K. Barrow & Souhaib Ben Taieb & Christoph Bergmeir & Ricardo J. Bessa & Jakub Bijak & John E. Boylan & Jet, 2020. "Forecasting: theory and practice," Papers 2012.03854, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2022.
    9. Bartosz Uniejewski & Grzegorz Marcjasz & Rafal Weron, 2017. "On the importance of the long-term seasonal component in day-ahead electricity price forecasting. Part II – Probabilistic forecasting," HSC Research Reports HSC/17/02, Hugo Steinhaus Center, Wroclaw University of Technology.
    10. Mira Watermeyer & Thomas Mobius & Oliver Grothe & Felix Musgens, 2023. "A hybrid model for day-ahead electricity price forecasting: Combining fundamental and stochastic modelling," Papers 2304.09336, arXiv.org.
    11. Bartosz Uniejewski & Rafal Weron, 2018. "Efficient forecasting of electricity spot prices with expert and LASSO models," HSC Research Reports HSC/18/02, Hugo Steinhaus Center, Wroclaw University of Technology.
    12. Eric Cebekhulu & Adeiza James Onumanyi & Sherrin John Isaac, 2022. "Performance Analysis of Machine Learning Algorithms for Energy Demand–Supply Prediction in Smart Grids," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(5), pages 1-26, February.
    13. Tomasz Zema & Adam Sulich, 2022. "Models of Electricity Price Forecasting: Bibliometric Research," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(15), pages 1-18, August.
    14. Grzegorz Marcjasz & Micha{l} Narajewski & Rafa{l} Weron & Florian Ziel, 2022. "Distributional neural networks for electricity price forecasting," Papers 2207.02832, arXiv.org, revised Dec 2022.
    15. Ethem Çanakoğlu & Esra Adıyeke, 2020. "Comparison of Electricity Spot Price Modelling and Risk Management Applications," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(18), pages 1-22, September.
    16. Lu, Shixiang & Xu, Qifa & Jiang, Cuixia & Liu, Yezheng & Kusiak, Andrew, 2022. "Probabilistic load forecasting with a non-crossing sparse-group Lasso-quantile regression deep neural network," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 242(C).
    17. Katarzyna Maciejowska & Bartosz Uniejewski & Rafa{l} Weron, 2022. "Forecasting Electricity Prices," Papers 2204.11735, arXiv.org.
    18. Kılıç Depren, Serpil & Kartal, Mustafa Tevfik & Ertuğrul, Hasan Murat & Depren, Özer, 2022. "The role of data frequency and method selection in electricity price estimation: Comparative evidence from Turkey in pre-pandemic and pandemic periods," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 186(C), pages 217-225.
    19. Christian Giovanelli & Seppo Sierla & Ryutaro Ichise & Valeriy Vyatkin, 2018. "Exploiting Artificial Neural Networks for the Prediction of Ancillary Energy Market Prices," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(7), pages 1-22, July.
    20. Shao, Zhen & Yang, Yudie & Zheng, Qingru & Zhou, Kaile & Liu, Chen & Yang, Shanlin, 2022. "A pattern classification methodology for interval forecasts of short-term electricity prices based on hybrid deep neural networks: A comparative analysis," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 327(C).
    21. Janczura, Joanna & Wójcik, Edyta, 2022. "Dynamic short-term risk management strategies for the choice of electricity market based on probabilistic forecasts of profit and risk measures. The German and the Polish market case study," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 110(C).
    22. Grzegorz Marcjasz & Bartosz Uniejewski & Rafał Weron, 2020. "Beating the Naïve—Combining LASSO with Naïve Intraday Electricity Price Forecasts," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(7), pages 1-16, April.
    23. Wagner, Andreas & Ramentol, Enislay & Schirra, Florian & Michaeli, Hendrik, 2022. "Short- and long-term forecasting of electricity prices using embedding of calendar information in neural networks," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 28(C).
    24. Sheybanivaziri, Samaneh & Le Dréau, Jérôme & Kazmi, Hussain, 2024. "Forecasting price spikes in day-ahead electricity markets: techniques, challenges, and the road ahead," Discussion Papers 2024/1, Norwegian School of Economics, Department of Business and Management Science.
    25. Anshuman Satapathy & Niranjan Nayak & Tanmoy Parida, 2022. "Real-Time Power Quality Enhancement in a Hybrid Micro-Grid Using Nonlinear Autoregressive Neural Network," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(23), pages 1-35, November.
    26. Yu, Vincent F. & Le, Thi Huynh Anh & Gupta, Jatinder N.D., 2022. "Sustainable microgrid design with multiple demand areas and peer-to-peer energy trading involving seasonal factors and uncertainties," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 161(C).
    27. Carlo Fezzi & Luca Mosetti, 2018. "Size matters: Estimation sample length and electricity price forecasting accuracy," DEM Working Papers 2018/10, Department of Economics and Management.
    28. Marcjasz, Grzegorz & Uniejewski, Bartosz & Weron, Rafał, 2020. "Probabilistic electricity price forecasting with NARX networks: Combine point or probabilistic forecasts?," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 36(2), pages 466-479.
    29. Anna Brdulak & Grażyna Chaberek & Jacek Jagodziński, 2020. "Determination of Electricity Demand by Personal Light Electric Vehicles (PLEVs): An Example of e-Motor Scooters in the Context of Large City Management in Poland," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(1), pages 1-18, January.
    30. Usman Zafar & Neil Kellard & Dmitri Vinogradov, 2022. "Multistage optimization filter for trend‐based short‐term forecasting," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 41(2), pages 345-360, March.
    31. Grzegorz Marcjasz, 2020. "Forecasting Electricity Prices Using Deep Neural Networks: A Robust Hyper-Parameter Selection Scheme," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(18), pages 1-18, September.
    32. Arkadiusz Jedrzejewski & Grzegorz Marcjasz & Rafal Weron, 2021. "Importance of the long-term seasonal component in day-ahead electricity price forecasting revisited: Parameter-rich models estimated via the LASSO," WORking papers in Management Science (WORMS) WORMS/21/04, Department of Operations Research and Business Intelligence, Wroclaw University of Science and Technology.
    33. Katarzyna Hubicka & Grzegorz Marcjasz & Rafal Weron, 2018. "A note on averaging day-ahead electricity price forecasts across calibration windows," HSC Research Reports HSC/18/03, Hugo Steinhaus Center, Wroclaw University of Technology.
    34. Silvia Golia & Luigi Grossi & Matteo Pelagatti, 2022. "Machine Learning Models and Intra-Daily Market Information for the Prediction of Italian Electricity Prices," Forecasting, MDPI, vol. 5(1), pages 1-21, December.
    35. Grzegorz Marcjasz & Jesus Lago & Rafa{l} Weron, 2020. "Neural networks in day-ahead electricity price forecasting: Single vs. multiple outputs," Papers 2008.08006, arXiv.org.
    36. Ziel, Florian & Weron, Rafał, 2018. "Day-ahead electricity price forecasting with high-dimensional structures: Univariate vs. multivariate modeling frameworks," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 396-420.

  9. Uniejewski, Bartosz & Marcjasz, Grzegorz & Weron, Rafał, 2019. "On the importance of the long-term seasonal component in day-ahead electricity price forecasting: Part II — Probabilistic forecasting," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 79(C), pages 171-182.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  10. Arkadiusz Jędrzejewski & Grzegorz Marcjasz & Paul R Nail & Katarzyna Sznajd-Weron, 2018. "Think then act or act then think?," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 13(11), pages 1-19, November.

    Cited by:

    1. Galam, Serge, 2023. "Identifying a would-be terrorist: An ineradicable error in the data processing?," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 168(C).
    2. Toth, Gabor & Galam, Serge, 2022. "Deviations from the majority: A local flip model," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 159(C).

  11. Grzegorz Marcjasz & Tomasz Serafin & Rafał Weron, 2018. "Selection of Calibration Windows for Day-Ahead Electricity Price Forecasting," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(9), pages 1-20, September.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  12. Rafał Apriasz & Tyll Krueger & Grzegorz Marcjasz & Katarzyna Sznajd-Weron, 2016. "The Hunt Opinion Model—An Agent Based Approach to Recurring Fashion Cycles," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 11(11), pages 1-19, November.

    Cited by:

    1. Shang, Lihui & Zhao, Mingming & Ai, Jun & Su, Zhan, 2021. "Opinion evolution in the Sznajd model on interdependent chains," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 565(C).
    2. Chaitanya S. Gokhale & Joseph Bulbulia & Marcus Frean, 2022. "Collective narratives catalyse cooperation," Palgrave Communications, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 9(1), pages 1-9, December.

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