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Core Inflation in the Euro Area

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Author Info
Bagliano, Fabio C
Golinelli, Roberto
Morana, Claudio

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Abstract

Using a common trends model, a forward-looking "core" inflation measure is estimated for the Euro area based on long-run relations among major macroeconomic variables, bearing the interpretation of long-run inflation forecast. The proposed measure may be particularly suitable for the "two-pillar" monetary policy strategy of the ECB which focuses on medium-term inflation prospects. Copyright 2002 by Taylor and Francis Group

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Publisher Info
Article provided by Taylor and Francis Journals in its journal Applied Economics Letters.

Volume (Year): 9 (2002)
Issue (Month): 6 (May)
Pages: 353-57
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Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:9:y:2002:i:6:p:353-57

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  1. Mick Silver, 2006. "Core Inflation Measures and Statistical Issues in Choosing Among Them," IMF Working Papers 06/97, International Monetary Fund. [Downloadable!]
  2. Claudio Morana, 2004. "A structural common factor approach to core inflation estimation and forecasting," Working Paper Series 305, European Central Bank. [Downloadable!]
  3. Melisso Boschi & Alessandro Girardi, 2005. "Euro Area inflation: long-run determinants and short-run dynamics," ISAE Working Papers 60, ISAE - Institute for Studies and Economic Analyses - (Rome, ITALY). [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  4. Nicholas Apergis & Stephen M. Miller & Alexandros Panethimitakis & Athanasios Vamvakidis, 2005. "Inflation Targeting and Output Growth: Empirical Evidence for the European Union," IMF Working Papers 05/89, International Monetary Fund. [Downloadable!]
  5. Martha Misas Arango & Enrique López Enciso & Juana Téllez Corredor & José Fernando Escobar, . "La Inflación Subyacente en Colombia: Un Enfoque de Tendencias Estocásticas Comunes Asociadas a un VEC Estructural," Borradores de Economia 324, Banco de la Republica de Colombia. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  6. Mariano Matilla-García, 2005. "A SVAR model for estimating core inflation in the Euro zone," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 12(3), pages 149-154, February. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  7. José Fernando Escobar R. & Carlos Esteban Posada P., . "Dinero, Precios, Tasa de Interés y Actividad Económica: Un Modelo del Caso Colombiano," Borradores de Economia 303, Banco de la Republica de Colombia. [Downloadable!]
  8. Claudio Morana & Fabio Cesare Bagliano, 2007. "Inflation and monetary dynamics in the USA: a quantity-theory approach," Applied Economics, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 39(2), pages 229-244, February. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  9. Claudio Morana, 2006. "The price stability oriented monetary policy of the ECB: an assessment," Applied Economics, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 38(17), pages 2007-2020, September. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  10. Nicholas Apergis & Stephen M. Miller & Alexandros Panethimitakis & Athanassios Vamvakidis, 2005. "Inflation Targeting and Output Growth: Evidence from Aggregate European Data," Working papers 2005-06, University of Connecticut, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
  11. Roberto Golinelli & Sergio Pastorello, 2002. "Modelling the demand for M3 in the Euro area," European Journal of Finance, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 8(4), pages 371-401, December. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  12. Rapacciuolo, Ciro, 2003. "Un semplice modello univariato per la previsione a breve termine dell'inflazione italiana
    [A simple model for the short term forecasting of Italian inflation]
    ," MPRA Paper 7714, University Library of Munich, Germany. [Downloadable!]
  13. Maria Arrazola & Jose de Hevia, 2008. "A simple inflation indicator for the euro zone," Applied Economics, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 40(18), pages 2387-2394. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  14. José Fernando Escobar R. & Carlos Estaban Posada, 2004. "Dinero, Precios, Tasa De Interés Y Actividad Económica: Un Modelo Del Caso Colombiano (1984:I-2003:Iv)," BORRADORES DE ECONOMIA 002366, BANCO DE LA REPÚBLICA. [Downloadable!]
  15. Cristadoro, Riccardo & Forni, Mario & Reichlin, Lucrezia & Veronese, Giovanni, 2001. "A Core Inflation Index for the Euro Area," CEPR Discussion Papers 3097, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
  16. Stefano Siviero & Giovanni Veronese, 2007. "A policy-sensible core-inflation measure for the euro area," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 617, Bank of Italy, Economic Research Department. [Downloadable!]
  17. Alberto Baffigi & Roberto Golinelli & Giuseppe Parigi, 2002. "Real-time GDP forecasting in the euro area," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 456, Bank of Italy, Economic Research Department. [Downloadable!]
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