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Endogenous Symmetry of Shocks in a Monetary Union

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Author Info
Lionel Fontagné ()
Michael Freudenberg ()

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Abstract

The monetary union issue, when assessed with the traditional inferences for optimal currency areas, misses an important dimension. Increased specialisation induced by reduced transaction costs, suggested by Krugman's “lessons of Massachusettsâ€, is only a part of the story. Even if agglomeration and inter-industry trade may occur as a result of reduced transaction costs, this tendency may be counteracted by the elimination of uncertainty associated with bilateral exchange rate variability within the monetary union. Thus, in contradiction to what is generally assumed on the basis of the reduction in transaction costs only, the European Monetary Union (EMU) is likely to foster intra-industry trade in Europe, leading to more symmetric shocks between member states. The monetary union will endogenously create the conditions of its success. Empirical evidence is provided for EU countries' bilateral trade over the period 1980–1994, using disaggregated trade data. Copyright Kluwer Academic Publishers 1999

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File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1023/A:1008325518557
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Publisher Info
Article provided by Springer in its journal Open Economies Review.

Volume (Year): 10 (1999)
Issue (Month): 3 (July)
Pages: 263-287
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Handle: RePEc:kap:openec:v:10:y:1999:i:3:p:263-287

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Related research
Keywords: optimal currency areas; European integration; monetary union; intra-industry trade;

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References listed on IDEAS
Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:
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  4. Tamim Bayoumi & Barry Eichengreen & Jürgen von Hagen, 1997. "European Monetary Unification: Implications of Research for Policy, Implications of Policy for Research," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 8(1), pages 71-90, January. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  6. Maria Demertzis & Andrew Hallett & Ole Rummel, 2000. "Is the European union a natural currency area, or is it held together by policy makers?," Review of World Economics (Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv), Springer, vol. 136(4), pages 657-679, December. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  8. Fatas, Antonio, 1997. "EMU: Countries or regions? Lessons from the EMS experience," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 41(3-5), pages 743-751, April. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  9. Hall, S G & Robertson, D & Wickens, M R, 1992. "Measuring Convergence of the EC Economies," The Manchester School of Economic & Social Studies, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 60(0), pages 99-111, Supplemen.
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  12. Lionel Fontagne & Michael Freudenberg & Nicholas Peridy, 1997. "Trade Patterns Inside the Single Market," Working Papers 1997-07, CEPII research center. [Downloadable!]
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  16. Hooper, Peter & Kohlhagen, Steven W., 1978. "The effect of exchange rate uncertainty on the prices and volume of international trade," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 8(4), pages 483-511, November. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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    Other versions:
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Cited by:
(explanations, Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.)

  1. Mohamed Hedi Bchir & Lionel Fontagné & Sébastien Jean, 2005. "From Bound Duties to Actual Protection: Industrial Liberalisation in the Doha Round," Economics Working Papers 041, European Network of Economic Policy Research Institutes. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  2. Balogun, Emmanuel Dele, 2009. "Determinants of West African Monetary Zone (WAMZ)countries global export trade: do foreign reserves and independent exchange rates matter?," MPRA Paper 12929, University Library of Munich, Germany. [Downloadable!]
  3. Agnes Benassy-Quere & Lionel Fontagne & Amina Lahreche-Revil, 1999. "Exchange rate strategies in the competition for attracting FDI," Working Papers 1999-16, CEPII research center. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  4. Marc Flandreau & Mathilde Maurel, 2005. "Monetary Union, Trade Integration, and Business Cycles in 19th Century Europe," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 16(2), pages 135-152, April. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  5. Balogun, Emmanuel Dele, 2007. "Exchange rate policy and export performance of WAMZ countries," MPRA Paper 6233, University Library of Munich, Germany. [Downloadable!]
  6. Lahcen ACHY & Juliette Milgram, 2005. "Does a free trade area favors an optimum currency area? The Case of Morocco and the European Union," International Trade 0512012, EconWPA. [Downloadable!]
  7. Loisel, Olivier, 2004. "Endogenously asymmetric demand shocks in a monetary union," CEPREMAP Working Papers (Couverture Orange) 0405, CEPREMAP. [Downloadable!]
  8. Hamid Faruqee, 2004. "Measuring the Trade Effects of EMU," IMF Working Papers 04/154, International Monetary Fund. [Downloadable!]
  9. Darvas, Zsolt & Szapáry, György, 2005. "Business Cycle Sychronization in the Enlarged EU," CEPR Discussion Papers 5179, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
  10. Julius Horvath, 2004. "Optimum currency area theory: A selective review," Macroeconomics 0401014, EconWPA. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  11. Maurel, Mathilde, 2002. "On the Way of EMU Enlargement towards CEECs: What is the Appropriate Exchange Rate Regime?," CEPR Discussion Papers 3409, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  12. Égert, Balázs & Morales-Zumaquero, Amalia, 2005. "Exchange rate regimes, foreign exchange volatility and export performance in Central and Eastern Europe: Just another blur project?," BOFIT Discussion Papers 8/2005, Bank of Finland, Institute for Economies in Transition. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  13. Agnès Bénassy-Quéré & Lionel Fontagné & Amina Lahrèche-Révil, 2001. "Foreign Direct Investment and Company Taxation in Europe," Economics Working Papers 004, European Network of Economic Policy Research Institutes. [Downloadable!]
  14. Agnes Benassy-Quere & Lionel Fontagne & Amina Lahreche-Revil, 2000. "Foreign Direct Investment and the Prospects for Tax Co-Ordination in Europe," Working Papers 2000-06, CEPII research center. [Downloadable!]
  15. Balogun, Emmanuel Dele, 2007. "Effects of exchange rate policy on bilateral export trade of WAMZ countries," MPRA Paper 6234, University Library of Munich, Germany. [Downloadable!]
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