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Testing limits to policy reversal: Evidence from Indian privatizations

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Author Info
Dastidar, Siddhartha G.
Fisman, Raymond
Khanna, Tarun
Abstract

We examine the effect of regime change on privatization. In the 2004 Indian election, the pro-reform BJP was unexpectedly defeated by a less reformist coalition. Stock prices of government-controlled companies that had been slated for privatization by the BJP dropped 3.5% relative to private firms. Government-controlled companies that were under study for possible privatization fell 7.5% relative to private firms. This is consistent with investor belief of a "point of no return," where advanced reforms are more difficult to reverse. Further analysis suggests that layoffs, combined with the privatization announcement, served as a credible commitment to privatize.

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Publisher Info
Article provided by Elsevier in its journal Journal of Financial Economics.

Volume (Year): 89 (2008)
Issue (Month): 3 (September)
Pages: 513-526
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Handle: RePEc:eee:jfinec:v:89:y:2008:i:3:p:513-526

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Web page: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/inca/505576

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Related research
Keywords: Government commitment Layoffs Emerging markets Electoral turnover Government policy credibility;

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